AFLW · ROUND 5 · KENNEDY COMMUNITY CENTRE
Hawthorn v Western Bulldogs
Sat 12 Sep 2026, 1:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
HAW by 1
HAW to win, 52% chance
HAW 52%48% WB
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
HAW by 11
HIT Actual margin 11 · 9.7 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Hawthorn
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza West | R | 23.2 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 102 |
| Emily Bates | C | 20.8 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Lucy Wales | RK | 18.1 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Jasmine Fleming | RR | 16.1 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Jenna Richardson | CHB | 14.4 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 76 |
| Mikayla Williamson | WR | 13.8 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Hayley McLaughlin | WL | 12.7 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Jacqueline Dupuy | FPR | 11.8 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 85 |
| Laura Elliott | HBFR | 11.8 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Tamara Smith | BPL | 11.7 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 53 / outside our 90% range: 87 |
| Laura Stone | INT | 11.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 52 / outside our 90% range: 0 |
| Aine McDonagh | CHF | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 80 |
| Casey Sherriff | HBFL | 10.9 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Kaitlyn Ashmore | INT | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Daisy Flockart | HFFR | 10.3 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 50 / outside our 90% range: 11 |
| Mackenzie Eardley | INT | 8.1 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Keely Coyne | INT | 8.0 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 36 / inside our 50% range: 32 |
| Poppy Stockwell | FF | 7.9 / outside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 36 / outside our 90% range: 73 |
| Annabelle Embelton | FB | 7.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 33 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Mikaylah Antony | HFFL | 6.8 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 37 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Niamh Martin | INT | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 31 / inside our 50% range: 21 |
Western Bulldogs
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabelle Pritchard | C | 24.1 / inside our 90% range: 31.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 93 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Jess Fitzgerald | HBFL | 21.3 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Mikala Cann | RR | 17.2 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Rylie Wilcox | WR | 15.6 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Britney Gutknecht | CHB | 15.3 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Elle Bennetts | INT | 15.2 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Elisabeth Georgostathis | R | 14.9 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Alice Edmonds | RK | 13.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Jasmyn Smith | WL | 13.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Ellie Gavalas | INT | 13.0 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Emma McDonald | FPR | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Elaine Grigg | HFFL | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Heidi Woodley | HFFR | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Dominique Carruthers | INT | 10.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 24 |
| Isabella Grant | HBFR | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 41 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Vaomua Laloifi | FB | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 41 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Sarah Poustie | INT | 9.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.8 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 18 |
| Kaylee Kimber | BPL | 9.3 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 38 / outside our 90% range: 67 |
| Sarah Hartwig | CHF | 8.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Cleo Buttifant | INT | 8.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 34 / inside our 90% range: 16 |
| Analea McKee | FF | 6.7 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 35 / inside our 50% range: 37 |