AFLW · ROUND 5 · CASEY FIELDS
Melbourne v Port Adelaide
Sun 13 Sep 2026, 12:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
MEL by 19
MEL to win, 79% chance
MEL 79%21% PA
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
MEL by 51
HIT Actual margin 51 · 32.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Purcell | C | 27.6 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.5 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 94 / inside our 90% range: 126 |
| Tyla Hanks | R | 23.6 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 7.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 96 / inside our 90% range: 76 |
| Eliza McNamara | WL | 22.9 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Kate Hore | FF | 20.2 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 91 |
| Maeve Chaplin | CHB | 17.1 / outside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Jordyn Allen | FB | 15.0 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Tahlia Gillard | HBFR | 14.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Megan Fitzsimon | RR | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 81 |
| Sarah Lampard | BPL | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Shelley Heath-Barker | INT | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Paxy Paxman | INT | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Tayla Harris | FPR | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Molly O'Hehir | HBFL | 11.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Georgia Campbell | RK | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Alyssa Bannan | HFFL | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Ryleigh Wotherspoon | HFFR | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Laela Ebert | WR | 10.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 41 / outside our 90% range: 10 |
| Maggie Mahony | INT | 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Mia Austin | CHF | 7.9 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 40 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Georgia Gall | INT | 7.4 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 36 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Lauren Clifton | INT | 6.9 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 34 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbey Dowrick | C | 19.6 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Matilda Scholz | RK | 18.7 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Ashleigh Woodland | RR | 17.6 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Ella Heads | HBFR | 14.9 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Maria Moloney | R | 14.3 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 6.9 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 73 / outside our 90% range: 23 |
| Shineah Goody | WL | 13.2 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.7 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Teagan Germech | HBFL | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Molly Brooksby | INT | 11.3 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Katelyn Pope | CHF | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 47 / outside our 90% range: 18 |
| Gemma Houghton | FF | 8.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Cheyenne Hammond | WR | 8.5 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 38 / inside our 90% range: 15 |
| Ebony O'Dea | CHB | 8.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 37 / inside our 90% range: 22 |
| Kirsty Lamb | INT | 8.2 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 38 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Sophie Eaton | INT | 7.8 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 38 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Piper Window | INT | 7.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 39 / inside our 90% range: 18 |
| Justine Mules-Robinson | HFFL | 7.2 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 33 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Olivia Crane | BPL | 6.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 30 / inside our 90% range: 6 |
| Amelie Borg | FB | 6.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 30 / inside our 90% range: 10 |
| Emily Elkington | FPR | 6.6 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 35 / outside our 90% range: 66 |
| Grace Parsons | HFFR | 6.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 32 / inside our 90% range: 16 |
| Julia Teakle | INT | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 28 / inside our 50% range: 37 |