AFLW · ROUND 5 · ARDEN STREET OVAL
North Melbourne v Carlton
Sun 13 Sep 2026, 3:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
NM by 30
NM to win, 89% chance
NM 89%11% CAR
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
NM by 10
HIT Actual margin 10 · 19.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
North Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ash Riddell | RR | 30.4 / inside our 90% range: 39.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 111 / inside our 50% range: 122 |
| Jasmine Garner | R | 30.2 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 114 / inside our 50% range: 118 |
| Eilish Sheerin | INT | 18.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 5.8 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Erika O'Shea | HBFR | 17.8 / outside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Emma Kearney | HBFL | 17.3 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Tess Craven | WR | 15.6 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Libby Birch | BPL | 15.4 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 59 / outside our 90% range: 25 |
| Ruby Tripodi | C | 15.3 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Kim Rennie | RK | 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Amy Gavin Mangan | INT | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Bella Eddey | WL | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Eliza Shannon | CHB | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Vikki Wall | HFFL | 11.9 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Alice O'Loughlin | HFFR | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Tahlia Randall | FF | 11.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Claire Mahony | INT | 9.7 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 40 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Blaithin Bogue | INT | 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 32 |
| Jasmine Ferguson | FB | 9.3 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 39 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Kate Shierlaw | INT | 9.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 22 |
| Emma King | FPR | 8.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 42 / outside our 90% range: 10 |
| Kristie-Lee Weston-Turner | CHF | 7.0 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 32 / inside our 50% range: 30 |
Carlton
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mimi Hill | RR | 23.2 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 80 / outside our 90% range: 32 |
| Abbie McKay | R | 20.9 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Dayna Finn | WR | 20.4 / outside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 2.5 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 72 / outside our 90% range: 128 |
| Claudia Whitfort | C | 19.8 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Erone Fitzpatrick | HFFR | 16.9 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 87 |
| Harriet Cordner | BPL | 15.1 / outside our 90% range: 29.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / outside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 57 / outside our 90% range: 122 |
| Amelia Velardo | HBFL | 13.8 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Ciara Fitzgerald | HBFR | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Jessica Good | RK | 11.9 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 80 |
| Lily Goss | INT | 11.5 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Yasmin Duursma | WL | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 26 |
| Poppy Scholz | HFFL | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Lila Keck | FPR | 8.6 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 41 / outside our 90% range: 70 |
| Nell Morris-Dalton | FF | 8.2 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Siofra O'Connell | CHB | 8.1 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 32 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Brooke Vickers | INT | 7.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 36 / inside our 90% range: 10 |
| Madeline Hendrie | FB | 7.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 31 / inside our 90% range: 16 |
| Gabriella Pound | INT | 7.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 30 / inside our 90% range: 11 |
| Brooke Boileau | INT | 6.8 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 32 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Tara Bohanna | CHF | 6.2 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 34 / inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Aisling Reidy | INT | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 25 / inside our 90% range: 13 |