AFLW · ROUND 5 · WINDY HILL
Richmond v St Kilda
Sun 13 Sep 2026, 1:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
RIC by 3
RIC to win, 56% chance
RIC 56%44% STK
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
RIC by 15
HIT Actual margin 15 · 11.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Richmond
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie McKenzie | RR | 21.3 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 90 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Libby Graham | HBFL | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Sierra Grieves | HFFR | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Montana Beruldsen | CHB | 13.3 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Dana East | INT | 13.0 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 76 |
| Isabel Bacon | WL | 12.7 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 90 |
| Emelia Yassir | R | 12.0 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Katie Brennan | WR | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Laura McClelland | BPL | 11.4 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 45 / outside our 90% range: 74 |
| Gabby Seymour | CHF | 10.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.4 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Georgia Stubs | FPR | 10.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Beth Lynch | INT | 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 26 |
| Baia Pugh | INT | 9.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 32 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Poppy Kelly | RK | 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Olivia Wolmarans | FF | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Charli Wicksteed | C | 9.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Mackenzie Ford | HFFL | 9.1 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Maddie Shevlin | INT | 9.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 35 / inside our 90% range: 10 |
| Fina Dethlefsen | HBFR | 8.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 35 / inside our 90% range: 24 |
| Montana McKinnon | FB | 8.6 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Aoibhin Cleary | INT | 7.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 29 / inside our 50% range: 27 |
St Kilda
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyanna Smith | R | 20.0 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Georgia Patrikios | INT | 19.2 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 73 / outside our 90% range: 28 |
| Serene Watson | HBFL | 19.1 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Jaimee Lambert | RR | 16.3 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.8 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 89 |
| Olivia Vesely | C | 12.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / outside our 90% range: 14 |
| Ashleigh Richards | HFFL | 12.4 / outside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.3 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 60 / outside our 90% range: 118 |
| Paige Trudgeon | FB | 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Charlotte Baskaran | WR | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Alana Gee | WL | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Jesse Tawhiao-Wardlaw | FF | 11.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Molly McDonald | FPR | 11.2 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Nicola Barr | INT | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Bianca Jakobsson | CHB | 10.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 23 |
| Hannah Priest | HFFR | 10.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Ella Friend | BPL | 9.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 36 / inside our 90% range: 20 |
| Zoe Besanko | RK | 8.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Jade McLay | CHF | 8.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 34 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Maya Louvel-Finn | HBFR | 7.9 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 36 / inside our 50% range: 30 |
| Kyla Forbes | INT | 6.7 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 30 / inside our 50% range: 33 |
| Darcy Guttridge | INT | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 32 / inside our 90% range: 19 |
| Sophie Butterworth | INT | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 29 / inside our 90% range: 8 |