AFLW · ROUND 6 · VICTORIA PARK
Collingwood v Geelong Cats
Sat 19 Sep 2026, 12:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GEE by 26
GEE to win, 86% chance
COL 14%86% GEE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 41
HIT Actual margin 41 · 15.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Bonnici | RR | 84 | 70 to 99 | 49 to 119 | 75% | 57% | 37% | 21% | 11% | inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Tarni White | WL | 74 | 60 to 87 | 40 to 107 | 57% | 39% | 23% | 10% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 90 |
| Airlie Runnalls | WR | 69 | 56 to 83 | 37 to 102 | 48% | 30% | 15% | 6% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Carly Remmos | HFFR | 60 | 47 to 73 | 29 to 91 | 27% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Ashley Centra | R | 60 | 47 to 72 | 29 to 90 | 26% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Ruby Schleicher | FF | 57 | 45 to 70 | 27 to 88 | 27% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Jordyn Allen | HBFR | 57 | 44 to 70 | 27 to 87 | 26% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Lucille Cronin | CHB | 54 | 42 to 67 | 25 to 84 | 21% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Dominique Carbone | INT | 50 | 38 to 63 | 22 to 80 | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Josephine Bamford | RK | 48 | 36 to 60 | 20 to 77 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Ariana Hetherington | FB | 48 | 36 to 60 | 19 to 76 | 13% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Amber Schutte | BPL | 47 | 35 to 59 | 19 to 76 | 11% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Sarah Rowe | INT | 47 | 35 to 59 | 19 to 76 | 11% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Mattea Breed | FPR | 47 | 35 to 58 | 18 to 75 | 10% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Violet Patterson | HFFL | 46 | 35 to 58 | 18 to 75 | 10% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Jemma Rigoni | C | 44 | 33 to 56 | 17 to 72 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Sabrina Frederick | INT | 37 | 26 to 48 | 11 to 63 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Eliza James | HBFL | 34 | 24 to 45 | 9 to 60 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 63 |
| Olivia Lewis | CHF | 33 | 23 to 44 | 8 to 59 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Imogen Trengove | INT | 29 | 19 to 39 | 4 to 53 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 9 |
| Zara Neuwirth | INT | 27 | 17 to 37 | 3 to 51 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 0 |
Geelong Cats
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgie Prespakis | R | 100 | 84 to 115 | 62 to 137 | 91% | 81% | 66% | 48% | 31% | inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Mikayla Bowen | C | 98 | 82 to 113 | 61 to 134 | 89% | 79% | 63% | 44% | 29% | inside our 50% range: 99 |
| Nina Morrison | RR | 98 | 82 to 113 | 61 to 134 | 89% | 79% | 63% | 44% | 29% | inside our 90% range: 120 |
| Rebecca Webster | CHB | 71 | 57 to 84 | 38 to 104 | 51% | 34% | 17% | 8% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Jacqueline Parry | HFFR | 63 | 50 to 76 | 31 to 94 | 36% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Chantel Emonson | FB | 61 | 48 to 74 | 30 to 92 | 29% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 85 |
| Aishling Moloney | FF | 61 | 48 to 74 | 30 to 92 | 28% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 105 |
| Emma Murray | WR | 57 | 45 to 70 | 27 to 88 | 27% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Julia Crockett-Grills | CHF | 56 | 43 to 68 | 26 to 86 | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Bryde O'Rourke | WL | 53 | 40 to 65 | 23 to 82 | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Rachel Kearns | HFFL | 52 | 40 to 65 | 23 to 82 | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Piper Dunlop | RK | 49 | 37 to 60 | 20 to 77 | 13% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Kate Surman | INT | 48 | 36 to 60 | 20 to 77 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Claudia Gunjaca | BPL | 46 | 34 to 58 | 18 to 74 | 10% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Evie Cowcher | HBFL | 44 | 32 to 56 | 16 to 72 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Chloe Scheer | FPR | 43 | 32 to 55 | 16 to 71 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 64 |
| Chantal Mason | INT | 41 | 29 to 52 | 14 to 68 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 78 |
| Annie Lee | HBFR | 39 | 28 to 50 | 12 to 66 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 29 |
| Nicola Stevens | INT | 37 | 26 to 48 | 11 to 63 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Renee Morgan | INT | 36 | 26 to 47 | 10 to 63 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Alexis Gregor | INT | 34 | 23 to 44 | 8 to 59 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 16 |