AFLW · ROUND 6 · COCKBURN ARC OVAL
Fremantle v Western Bulldogs
Sat 19 Sep 2026, 3:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
FRE by 6
FRE to win, 61% chance
FRE 61%39% WB
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WB by 10
MISS Actual margin 10 · 16.3 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiara Bowers | C | 114 | 98 to 130 | 75 to 153 | 98% | 93% | 84% | 72% | 56% | inside our 50% range: 122 |
| Gabrielle Newton | RR | 97 | 82 to 112 | 60 to 134 | 88% | 78% | 61% | 43% | 28% | inside our 50% range: 91 |
| Mim Strom | RK | 87 | 72 to 101 | 51 to 122 | 78% | 61% | 42% | 26% | 14% | inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Aisling McCarthy | INT | 81 | 67 to 96 | 47 to 116 | 71% | 52% | 32% | 18% | 9% | inside our 90% range: 97 |
| Matilda Banfield | WR | 62 | 49 to 74 | 30 to 93 | 29% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Megan Kauffman | HFFL | 60 | 48 to 73 | 29 to 91 | 27% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Aoife Healy | WL | 59 | 46 to 72 | 28 to 90 | 26% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Hayley Miller | CHF | 58 | 45 to 71 | 28 to 88 | 23% | 11% | 5% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Angelique Stannett | R | 57 | 44 to 70 | 27 to 87 | 26% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Sarah Verrier | HBFL | 55 | 43 to 68 | 25 to 85 | 23% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Eden Zanker | FF | 51 | 39 to 63 | 22 to 80 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Gabby O'Sullivan | FPR | 50 | 38 to 63 | 21 to 80 | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Orlagh Lally | INT | 48 | 36 to 60 | 20 to 77 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 19 |
| Ashleigh Brazill | FB | 44 | 33 to 56 | 17 to 72 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Holly Egan | HBFR | 42 | 31 to 53 | 15 to 69 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Bella Smith | HFFR | 42 | 30 to 53 | 14 to 69 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 70 |
| Indiana West | CHB | 39 | 28 to 50 | 12 to 66 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 29 |
| Madeleine Scanlon | INT | 38 | 27 to 49 | 12 to 65 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Jessica Low | BPL | 37 | 26 to 48 | 11 to 64 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Noa McNaughton | INT | 33 | 22 to 43 | 8 to 58 | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 16 |
| Georgie Brisbane | INT | 30 | 20 to 41 | 6 to 55 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 21 |
Western Bulldogs
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabelle Pritchard | C | 89 | 74 to 104 | 54 to 125 | 81% | 67% | 47% | 30% | 16% | inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Jess Fitzgerald | HBFR | 72 | 58 to 86 | 39 to 105 | 54% | 35% | 19% | 9% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 90 |
| Ellie Blackburn | FPR | 71 | 57 to 84 | 38 to 103 | 50% | 33% | 16% | 8% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Alice Edmonds | RK | 70 | 56 to 84 | 37 to 103 | 50% | 33% | 15% | 7% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Mikala Cann | RR | 63 | 50 to 76 | 32 to 95 | 37% | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Rylie Wilcox | WR | 61 | 48 to 74 | 30 to 92 | 28% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 28 |
| Elle Bennetts | CHB | 55 | 43 to 68 | 25 to 85 | 22% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Elisabeth Georgostathis | INT | 55 | 43 to 68 | 25 to 85 | 22% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Emma McDonald | FF | 54 | 42 to 67 | 24 to 84 | 20% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Britney Gutknecht | INT | 52 | 40 to 64 | 23 to 82 | 14% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Ellie Gavalas | INT | 52 | 40 to 64 | 22 to 81 | 14% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Jasmyn Smith | WL | 48 | 36 to 60 | 20 to 77 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Elaine Grigg | HFFL | 48 | 36 to 60 | 19 to 77 | 13% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 24 |
| Heidi Woodley | HFFR | 48 | 36 to 60 | 20 to 77 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Sarah Hartwig | CHF | 45 | 33 to 56 | 17 to 72 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Cleo Buttifant | R | 42 | 31 to 54 | 15 to 70 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 70 |
| Isabella Grant | HBFL | 42 | 30 to 53 | 14 to 69 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Kaylee Kimber | BPL | 41 | 30 to 53 | 14 to 69 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Vaomua Laloifi | FB | 40 | 29 to 52 | 13 to 67 | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Louise Stephenson | INT | 40 | 28 to 51 | 13 to 66 | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 23 |
| Dominique Carruthers | INT | 38 | 27 to 48 | 11 to 64 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 36 |