AFLW · ROUND 6 · CORROBOREE GROUP OVAL MANUKA
GWS GIANTS v Richmond
Sun 20 Sep 2026, 12:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
GWS by 0
GWS to win, 50% chance
GWS 50%50% RIC
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
RIC by 7
MISS Actual margin 7 · 7.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyce Parker | C | 25.1 | 21.3 to 28.8 | 15.8 to 34.3 | 96% | 84% | 54% | 22% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 27.0 |
| Rebecca Beeson | RR | 21.4 | 17.9 to 24.9 | 12.8 to 30.1 | 91% | 64% | 27% | 7% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 23.0 |
| Tilly Lucas-Rodd | HBFR | 19.5 | 16.1 to 22.9 | 11.2 to 27.8 | 82% | 46% | 15% | 3% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 20.0 |
| Cambridge McCormick | HBFL | 16.5 | 13.4 to 19.7 | 8.8 to 24.3 | 66% | 25% | 8% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 24.0 |
| Madison Brazendale | WL | 15.9 | 12.8 to 19.0 | 8.3 to 23.5 | 60% | 21% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Eilish O'Dowd | HFFL | 13.7 | 10.7 to 16.6 | 6.5 to 20.8 | 37% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 15.0 |
| Tarni Evans | FF | 12.1 | 9.3 to 14.9 | 5.3 to 18.9 | 26% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Poppy Boltz | FB | 11.7 | 9.0 to 14.4 | 5.0 to 18.5 | 21% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Sara Howley | INT | 10.8 | 8.2 to 13.4 | 4.3 to 17.3 | 17% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 13.0 |
| Grace Kos | R | 10.6 | 8.0 to 13.3 | 4.1 to 17.1 | 16% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
| Alicia Eva | INT | 10.1 | 7.5 to 12.7 | 3.8 to 16.5 | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Georgia Garnett | HFFR | 10.1 | 7.6 to 12.7 | 3.8 to 16.5 | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Emily Pease | INT | 9.7 | 7.2 to 12.2 | 3.4 to 16.0 | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 16.0 |
| Mikayla Pauga | FPR | 9.7 | 7.1 to 12.2 | 3.4 to 15.9 | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 11.0 |
| Yasmeen Janschek | RK | 9.6 | 7.1 to 12.1 | 3.3 to 15.8 | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Jessica Doyle | CHF | 8.8 | 6.4 to 11.3 | 2.8 to 14.8 | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 13.0 |
| Grace Martin | INT | 8.1 | 5.7 to 10.5 | 2.3 to 13.9 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Caitlin Fletcher | BPL | 7.4 | 5.1 to 9.7 | 1.8 to 13.1 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Daisy Walker | CHB | 7.4 | 5.2 to 9.7 | 1.8 to 13.1 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 11.0 |
| Georgia Clark | WR | 7.4 | 5.1 to 9.7 | 1.8 to 13.1 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Isabel Huntington | INT | 6.9 | 4.7 to 9.2 | 1.4 to 12.4 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
Richmond
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie McKenzie | RR | 21.2 | 17.7 to 24.7 | 12.6 to 29.8 | 90% | 63% | 25% | 6% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 20.0 |
| Isabel Bacon | WL | 14.2 | 11.2 to 17.1 | 6.9 to 21.5 | 41% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 18.0 |
| Montana Beruldsen | CHB | 13.2 | 10.3 to 16.1 | 6.1 to 20.3 | 35% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 15.0 |
| Sierra Grieves | HFFR | 13.1 | 10.2 to 15.9 | 6.0 to 20.1 | 32% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 18.0 |
| Dana East | INT | 12.7 | 9.9 to 15.5 | 5.7 to 19.7 | 30% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 17.0 |
| Libby Graham | HBFL | 12.7 | 9.9 to 15.6 | 5.8 to 19.7 | 30% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 12.0 |
| Laura McClelland | BPL | 12.3 | 9.6 to 15.1 | 5.5 to 19.2 | 29% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Rebecca Miller | FB | 11.8 | 9.0 to 14.5 | 5.0 to 18.5 | 22% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Katie Brennan | WR | 11.4 | 8.7 to 14.1 | 4.7 to 18.1 | 20% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 14.0 |
| Emelia Yassir | R | 10.8 | 8.1 to 13.4 | 4.3 to 17.3 | 17% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Poppy Kelly | RK | 9.8 | 7.2 to 12.3 | 3.5 to 16.1 | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Gabby Seymour | CHF | 9.5 | 7.0 to 12.0 | 3.3 to 15.7 | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 15.0 |
| Charli Wicksteed | C | 9.4 | 6.9 to 11.9 | 3.2 to 15.5 | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 16.0 |
| Olivia Wolmarans | FF | 9.3 | 6.8 to 11.8 | 3.1 to 15.4 | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 15.0 |
| Caitlin Greiser | FPR | 8.9 | 6.5 to 11.4 | 2.9 to 15.0 | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 18.0 |
| Beth Lynch | INT | 8.3 | 5.9 to 10.7 | 2.4 to 14.2 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Baia Pugh | INT | 8.1 | 5.7 to 10.5 | 2.3 to 14.0 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 13.0 |
| Mackenzie Ford | HFFL | 8.1 | 5.8 to 10.5 | 2.3 to 14.0 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 6.0 |
| Georgia Stubs | INT | 7.6 | 5.3 to 9.9 | 1.9 to 13.3 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 6.0 |
| Fina Dethlefsen | HBFR | 7.2 | 5.0 to 9.5 | 1.6 to 12.8 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Aoibhin Cleary | INT | 6.4 | 4.2 to 8.5 | 1.0 to 11.7 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 16.0 |