AFLW · ROUND 6 · CORROBOREE GROUP OVAL MANUKA
GWS GIANTS v Richmond
Sun 20 Sep 2026, 12:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
GWS by 0
GWS to win, 50% chance
GWS 50%50% RIC
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
RIC by 7
MISS Actual margin 7 · 7.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyce Parker | C | 97 | 82 to 112 | 60 to 134 | 89% | 78% | 61% | 43% | 28% | inside our 50% range: 96 |
| Rebecca Beeson | RR | 81 | 67 to 96 | 47 to 116 | 71% | 52% | 32% | 17% | 9% | inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Tilly Lucas-Rodd | HBFR | 69 | 56 to 82 | 36 to 101 | 45% | 29% | 16% | 7% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Cambridge McCormick | HBFL | 63 | 50 to 76 | 32 to 95 | 37% | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Madison Brazendale | WL | 61 | 48 to 74 | 30 to 93 | 29% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Yasmeen Janschek | RK | 58 | 45 to 71 | 28 to 89 | 23% | 11% | 5% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 25 |
| Tarni Evans | FF | 57 | 44 to 70 | 27 to 88 | 27% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Eilish O'Dowd | HFFL | 56 | 43 to 68 | 26 to 86 | 23% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Georgia Garnett | HFFR | 49 | 37 to 61 | 20 to 78 | 14% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Grace Kos | R | 47 | 36 to 59 | 19 to 76 | 11% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Alicia Eva | INT | 47 | 35 to 58 | 18 to 75 | 10% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Poppy Boltz | FB | 46 | 34 to 58 | 18 to 74 | 9% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 26 |
| Jessica Doyle | CHF | 45 | 33 to 56 | 17 to 72 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Sara Howley | INT | 44 | 33 to 56 | 17 to 72 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Mikayla Pauga | FPR | 42 | 31 to 54 | 15 to 70 | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Emily Pease | INT | 42 | 30 to 53 | 14 to 69 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Georgia Clark | WR | 36 | 25 to 46 | 10 to 62 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 23 |
| Daisy Walker | CHB | 35 | 24 to 46 | 9 to 61 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Grace Martin | INT | 35 | 24 to 46 | 9 to 61 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Isabel Huntington | INT | 34 | 24 to 45 | 9 to 60 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Caitlin Fletcher | BPL | 32 | 22 to 43 | 7 to 58 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 33 |
Richmond
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie McKenzie | RR | 86 | 71 to 100 | 51 to 121 | 77% | 60% | 40% | 25% | 12% | inside our 90% range: 71 |
| Isabel Bacon | WL | 66 | 53 to 79 | 34 to 98 | 40% | 25% | 12% | 4% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Poppy Kelly | RK | 61 | 48 to 74 | 30 to 92 | 28% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Dana East | INT | 54 | 42 to 67 | 24 to 84 | 20% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Emelia Yassir | R | 53 | 41 to 65 | 23 to 83 | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Katie Brennan | WR | 53 | 40 to 65 | 23 to 82 | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Montana Beruldsen | CHB | 52 | 40 to 64 | 22 to 81 | 14% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Sierra Grieves | HFFR | 51 | 39 to 63 | 22 to 80 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Libby Graham | HBFL | 51 | 39 to 63 | 22 to 80 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Gabby Seymour | CHF | 51 | 38 to 63 | 22 to 80 | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 99 |
| Laura McClelland | BPL | 50 | 38 to 62 | 21 to 79 | 16% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Caitlin Greiser | FPR | 48 | 36 to 60 | 20 to 77 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 93 |
| Rebecca Miller | FB | 46 | 35 to 58 | 18 to 74 | 10% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 22 |
| Olivia Wolmarans | FF | 45 | 34 to 57 | 17 to 73 | 8% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 93 |
| Charli Wicksteed | C | 45 | 34 to 57 | 17 to 73 | 8% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Mackenzie Ford | HFFL | 40 | 29 to 52 | 14 to 68 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Beth Lynch | INT | 40 | 29 to 51 | 13 to 67 | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Georgia Stubs | INT | 35 | 24 to 46 | 9 to 61 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 27 |
| Baia Pugh | INT | 34 | 23 to 44 | 8 to 59 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Fina Dethlefsen | HBFR | 34 | 23 to 44 | 8 to 59 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 20 |
| Aoibhin Cleary | INT | 30 | 20 to 40 | 5 to 54 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 66 |