AFLW · ROUND 6 · CORROBOREE GROUP OVAL MANUKA
GWS GIANTS v Richmond
Sun 20 Sep 2026, 12:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
GWS by 0
GWS to win, 50% chance
GWS 50%50% RIC
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
RIC by 7
MISS Actual margin 7 · 7.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarni Evans | FF | 1.1 | 0.7 to 1.5 | 0.0 to 2.5 | 69% | 28% | 14% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Georgia Garnett | HFFR | 0.7 | 0.3 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 1.8 | 47% | 20% | 8% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Jessica Doyle | CHF | 0.7 | 0.3 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 1.7 | 46% | 20% | 8% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Alicia Eva | INT | 0.4 | 0.1 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.2 | 25% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Isabel Huntington | INT | 0.4 | 0.2 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.3 | 26% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Eilish O'Dowd | HFFL | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 15% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Mikayla Pauga | FPR | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 30% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Sara Howley | INT | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 9% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Alyce Parker | C | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Madison Brazendale | WL | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 20% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Rebecca Beeson | RR | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 20% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Cambridge McCormick | HBFL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Emily Pease | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Georgia Clark | WR | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Grace Kos | R | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Grace Martin | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Poppy Boltz | FB | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Tilly Lucas-Rodd | HBFR | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Yasmeen Janschek | RK | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Caitlin Fletcher | BPL | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Daisy Walker | CHB | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
Richmond
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Greiser | FPR | 1.1 | 0.7 to 1.5 | 0.0 to 2.5 | 69% | 27% | 14% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Olivia Wolmarans | FF | 1.0 | 0.6 to 1.4 | 0.0 to 2.4 | 64% | 25% | 12% | 2% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Katie Brennan | WR | 0.9 | 0.5 to 1.3 | 0.0 to 2.2 | 57% | 20% | 9% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Ellie McKenzie | RR | 0.7 | 0.4 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 1.8 | 57% | 20% | 9% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Emelia Yassir | R | 0.6 | 0.3 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.6 | 39% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Gabby Seymour | CHF | 0.5 | 0.2 to 0.8 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 25% | 11% | 2% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Sierra Grieves | HFFR | 0.4 | 0.1 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.2 | 39% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Charli Wicksteed | C | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 1.0 | 17% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Mackenzie Ford | HFFL | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 15% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Aoibhin Cleary | INT | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 25% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Georgia Stubs | INT | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 21% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Isabel Bacon | WL | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 23% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Baia Pugh | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Beth Lynch | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 15% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Dana East | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 15% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Fina Dethlefsen | HBFR | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Laura McClelland | BPL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Montana Beruldsen | CHB | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Poppy Kelly | RK | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Rebecca Miller | FB | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Libby Graham | HBFL | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |