AFLW · ROUND 6 · CORROBOREE GROUP OVAL MANUKA
GWS GIANTS v Richmond
Sun 20 Sep 2026, 12:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
GWS by 0
GWS to win, 50% chance
GWS 50%50% RIC
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
RIC by 7
MISS Actual margin 7 · 7.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Marks: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Garnett | HFFR | 3.6 | 2.2 to 5.1 | 0.1 to 7.2 | 58% | 40% | 24% | 15% | 9% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Jessica Doyle | CHF | 2.7 | 1.5 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.9 | 39% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Tarni Evans | FF | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 33% | 17% | 9% | 3% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Madison Brazendale | WL | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 31% | 19% | 10% | 3% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Tilly Lucas-Rodd | HBFR | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 33% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Alyce Parker | C | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 25% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Cambridge McCormick | HBFL | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 24% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Eilish O'Dowd | HFFL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 24% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Poppy Boltz | FB | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 18% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Rebecca Beeson | RR | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 16% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Isabel Huntington | INT | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 12% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Caitlin Fletcher | BPL | 1.6 | 0.6 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Mikayla Pauga | FPR | 1.5 | 0.6 to 2.5 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 11% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Grace Martin | INT | 1.3 | 0.4 to 2.1 | 0.0 to 3.5 | 11% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Sara Howley | INT | 1.2 | 0.3 to 2.1 | 0.0 to 3.3 | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Alicia Eva | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Daisy Walker | CHB | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Emily Pease | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Georgia Clark | WR | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Grace Kos | R | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Yasmeen Janschek | RK | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
Richmond
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Greiser | FPR | 3.1 | 1.8 to 4.4 | 0.0 to 6.4 | 48% | 33% | 19% | 10% | 6% | inside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Laura McClelland | BPL | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 6.1 | 48% | 25% | 15% | 6% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Libby Graham | HBFL | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 6.1 | 40% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Rebecca Miller | FB | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 38% | 21% | 9% | 3% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Olivia Wolmarans | FF | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 38% | 24% | 11% | 4% | 2% | outside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Katie Brennan | WR | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 33% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Beth Lynch | INT | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 29% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Ellie McKenzie | RR | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 24% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Isabel Bacon | WL | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 20% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Gabby Seymour | CHF | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 25% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Poppy Kelly | RK | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 22% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Charli Wicksteed | C | 1.9 | 0.8 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 22% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Emelia Yassir | R | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 24% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Montana Beruldsen | CHB | 1.9 | 0.8 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 22% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Sierra Grieves | HFFR | 1.6 | 0.6 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Baia Pugh | INT | 1.2 | 0.3 to 2.0 | 0.0 to 3.3 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Dana East | INT | 1.1 | 0.2 to 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Aoibhin Cleary | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Fina Dethlefsen | HBFR | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Georgia Stubs | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Mackenzie Ford | HFFL | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |