AFLW · ROUND 6 · CORROBOREE GROUP OVAL MANUKA
GWS GIANTS v Richmond
Sun 20 Sep 2026, 12:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
GWS by 0
GWS to win, 50% chance
GWS 50%50% RIC
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
RIC by 7
MISS Actual margin 7 · 7.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyce Parker | C | 5.4 | 3.6 to 7.1 | 1.5 to 9.3 | 85% | 73% | 56% | 40% | 31% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Rebecca Beeson | RR | 5.3 | 3.6 to 7.1 | 1.4 to 9.2 | 85% | 72% | 56% | 40% | 31% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Yasmeen Janschek | RK | 3.7 | 2.2 to 5.2 | 0.5 to 7.0 | 71% | 52% | 32% | 19% | 11% | outside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Grace Kos | R | 3.6 | 2.2 to 5.1 | 0.4 to 6.9 | 65% | 49% | 32% | 15% | 11% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Madison Brazendale | WL | 3.3 | 1.9 to 4.7 | 0.2 to 6.3 | 61% | 42% | 24% | 13% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Alicia Eva | INT | 3.2 | 1.8 to 4.6 | 0.2 to 6.2 | 53% | 37% | 23% | 11% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Eilish O'Dowd | HFFL | 3.2 | 1.9 to 4.6 | 0.2 to 6.3 | 56% | 40% | 24% | 13% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Tarni Evans | FF | 3.1 | 1.7 to 4.4 | 0.1 to 6.0 | 56% | 35% | 24% | 11% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Daisy Walker | CHB | 3.0 | 1.6 to 4.3 | 0.1 to 5.9 | 46% | 30% | 15% | 8% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Cambridge McCormick | HBFL | 2.7 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 56% | 32% | 22% | 8% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Mikayla Pauga | FPR | 2.7 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 56% | 33% | 23% | 8% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Tilly Lucas-Rodd | HBFR | 2.7 | 1.5 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 49% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Sara Howley | INT | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 46% | 27% | 13% | 7% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Emily Pease | INT | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 32% | 19% | 9% | 6% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Georgia Clark | WR | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 40% | 24% | 11% | 5% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Georgia Garnett | HFFR | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 45% | 24% | 11% | 6% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Poppy Boltz | FB | 2.3 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 36% | 22% | 8% | 5% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Grace Martin | INT | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 29% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Caitlin Fletcher | BPL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 32% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Jessica Doyle | CHF | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Isabel Huntington | INT | 1.6 | 0.6 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 3.7 | 15% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
Richmond
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana East | INT | 4.9 | 3.2 to 6.6 | 1.2 to 8.7 | 79% | 67% | 49% | 32% | 24% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Ellie McKenzie | RR | 4.9 | 3.2 to 6.6 | 1.2 to 8.7 | 79% | 68% | 49% | 32% | 24% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Isabel Bacon | WL | 4.9 | 3.2 to 6.6 | 1.2 to 8.7 | 79% | 68% | 49% | 32% | 24% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Mackenzie Ford | HFFL | 4.0 | 2.5 to 5.6 | 0.6 to 7.4 | 71% | 55% | 42% | 27% | 15% | outside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Emelia Yassir | R | 3.9 | 2.4 to 5.4 | 0.6 to 7.2 | 69% | 52% | 38% | 24% | 14% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Charli Wicksteed | C | 3.1 | 1.8 to 4.5 | 0.1 to 6.1 | 49% | 31% | 15% | 10% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Sierra Grieves | HFFR | 3.1 | 1.8 to 4.5 | 0.2 to 6.1 | 49% | 32% | 15% | 11% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Poppy Kelly | RK | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 49% | 30% | 15% | 8% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Beth Lynch | INT | 2.7 | 1.4 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 56% | 37% | 23% | 8% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Montana Beruldsen | CHB | 2.7 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 53% | 32% | 16% | 8% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Katie Brennan | WR | 2.6 | 1.3 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 44% | 24% | 11% | 7% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Baia Pugh | INT | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 46% | 27% | 11% | 6% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Gabby Seymour | CHF | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 37% | 23% | 11% | 7% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Georgia Stubs | INT | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 27% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Fina Dethlefsen | HBFR | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 32% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Laura McClelland | BPL | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 37% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Aoibhin Cleary | INT | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 27% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Caitlin Greiser | FPR | 1.9 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.2 | 24% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Olivia Wolmarans | FF | 1.9 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.2 | 24% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Libby Graham | HBFL | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.7 | 0.0 to 3.9 | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Rebecca Miller | FB | 1.6 | 0.7 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 16% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |