AFLW · ROUND 6 · CAZALYS STADIUM
Hawthorn v North Melbourne
Fri 18 Sep 2026, 5:45pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
NM by 37
NM to win, 93% chance
HAW 7%93% NM
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
HAW by 7
MISS Actual margin 7 · 44.0 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Hawthorn
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza West | R | 23.5 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Lucy Wales | RK | 20.1 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Jasmine Fleming | RR | 16.5 / outside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 95 |
| Jenna Richardson | CHB | 14.4 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Mikayla Williamson | WR | 13.7 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 79 |
| Tamara Smith | BPL | 13.6 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 76 |
| Laura Elliott | HBFR | 13.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Hayley McLaughlin | C | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Casey Sherriff | HBFL | 12.2 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Jacqueline Dupuy | FPR | 11.8 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
| Kaitlyn Ashmore | INT | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Aine McDonagh | CHF | 10.7 / outside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Keely Coyne | WL | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 39 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Mackenzie Eardley | HFFR | 8.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Poppy Stockwell | FF | 8.4 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 64 |
| Daisy Flockart | INT | 7.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 37 / inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Annabelle Embelton | FB | 7.6 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 33 / inside our 50% range: 30 |
| Najwa Allen | INT | 7.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 33 / inside our 90% range: 20 |
| Bridie Hipwell | INT | 7.0 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 33 / inside our 50% range: 27 |
| Mikaylah Antony | HFFL | 6.2 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 35 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Niamh Martin | INT | 5.7 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 28 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
North Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ash Riddell | RR | 32.2 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 113 / inside our 50% range: 101 |
| Jasmine Garner | R | 30.8 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 6.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 115 / inside our 90% range: 97 |
| Eilish Sheerin | C | 21.3 / outside our 90% range: 31.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 7.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Erika O'Shea | HBFR | 19.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 47 |
| Tess Craven | WR | 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Kim Rennie | RK | 14.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Jenna Bruton | FPR | 13.9 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Ruby Tripodi | INT | 13.8 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Amy Gavin Mangan | INT | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Claire Mahony | HBFL | 13.0 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Vikki Wall | HFFL | 13.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Eliza Shannon | CHB | 12.7 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Bella Eddey | HFFR | 12.6 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Tessa Boyd | BPL | 12.3 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 43 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Alice O'Loughlin | INT | 11.2 / outside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Blaithin Bogue | CHF | 10.9 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Tahlia Randall | FF | 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Jasmine Ferguson | FB | 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Abby Favell | WL | 8.4 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 38 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Kristie-Lee Weston-Turner | INT | 7.5 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 31 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Emma King | INT | 7.1 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 36 / inside our 50% range: 37 |