AFLW · ROUND 6 · CASEY FIELDS
Melbourne v Carlton
Sat 19 Sep 2026, 1:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
MEL by 6
MEL to win, 61% chance
MEL 61%39% CAR
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
MEL by 34
HIT Actual margin 34 · 27.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Purcell | RR | 29.3 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 98 / inside our 50% range: 109 |
| Kate Hore | C | 22.2 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Tyla Hanks | FPR | 21.8 / outside our 90% range: 33.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 87 / inside our 90% range: 122 |
| Maeve Chaplin | WR | 18.2 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Jordyn S. Allen | CHB | 17.2 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Megan Fitzsimon | WL | 14.3 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Sarah Lampard | HBFL | 14.2 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Tahlia Gillard | FF | 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Shelley Heath-Barker | INT | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Tayla Harris | FB | 13.0 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Alyssa Bannan | R | 12.0 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Georgia Campbell | RK | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Paxy Paxman | INT | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Maggie Mahony | CHF | 11.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Molly O'Hehir | BPL | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Ryleigh Wotherspoon | HFFR | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Laela Ebert | HBFR | 9.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 36 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Mia Austin | HFFL | 8.1 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Lauren Clifton | INT | 7.7 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 35 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Georgia Gall | INT | 7.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 35 / inside our 50% range: 25 |
| Jorja Livingstone | INT | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 29 / inside our 90% range: 13 |
Carlton
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbie McKay | R | 22.8 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Dayna Finn | WR | 22.6 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Mimi Hill | RR | 21.9 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Claudia Whitfort | C | 20.2 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 89 |
| Erone Fitzpatrick | HFFL | 18.3 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Harriet Cordner | BPL | 16.8 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Amelia Velardo | HBFR | 14.8 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Keeley Sherar | HFFR | 14.4 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.2 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 87 |
| Jessica Good | RK | 14.1 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Lily Goss | INT | 13.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Ciara Fitzgerald | HBFL | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Sophie McKay | FPR | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Poppy Scholz | CHF | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Yasmin Duursma | WL | 10.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 47 / outside our 90% range: 14 |
| Lila Keck | INT | 9.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 45 / outside our 90% range: 17 |
| Nell Morris-Dalton | FF | 8.9 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 18 |
| Siofra O'Connell | CHB | 8.9 / outside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 36 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Madeline Hendrie | FB | 7.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 32 / outside our 90% range: 4 |
| Brooke Vickers | INT | 7.1 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 32 / inside our 50% range: 23 |
| Tara Bohanna | INT | 6.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 34 / inside our 90% range: 18 |
| Lauren Bella | INT | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 31 / inside our 90% range: 44 |