HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFLW2026 Round 7ADE v FRE
AFLW · ROUND 7 · UNLEY OVAL

Adelaide Crows v Fremantle

Sun 27 Sep 2026, 1:05pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL MISS
OUR TIP

ADE by 9

ADE to win, 64% chance

ADE 64%36% FRE
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

FRE by 25

MISS Actual margin 25 · 33.6 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 21 Sep 2026

Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Adelaide Crows

ANNOUNCED
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Ebony Marinoff R 26.5 / inside our 90% range: 22.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.010.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0116 / inside our 90% range: 94
Madison Newman WL 21.1 / inside our 50% range: 19.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.075 / inside our 90% range: 58
Sarah Goodwin C 20.0 / inside our 50% range: 22.00.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.02.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.04.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.079 / inside our 50% range: 93
Grace Egan HFFR 18.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.00.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.03.5 / outside our 90% range: 7.073 / inside our 50% range: 69
Teah Charlton RR 15.8 / inside our 90% range: 10.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.06.8 / inside our 50% range: 8.073 / inside our 90% range: 53
Niamh Kelly WR 15.5 / inside our 50% range: 16.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.059 / inside our 50% range: 49
Chelsea Biddell CHB 14.8 / inside our 50% range: 17.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.060 / inside our 50% range: 56
Grace Kelly CHF 12.9 / inside our 90% range: 9.00.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.02.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.059 / inside our 90% range: 44
Chloe Bown INT 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.047 / inside our 50% range: 46
Hannah Munyard FPR 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.051 / inside our 50% range: 55
Jemmika Douglas BPL 11.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.042 / inside our 90% range: 25
India Rasheed HFFL 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.00.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.02.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.02.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.049 / inside our 50% range: 44
Eloise Jones HBFL 10.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.00.2 / outside our 90% range: 2.02.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.047 / inside our 50% range: 55
Caitlin Gould FF 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.01.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.02.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.057 / inside our 50% range: 50
Sarah Allan FB 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 10.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.043 / inside our 50% range: 43
Jess Allan RK 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.060 / inside our 50% range: 50
Juliet Kelly INT 9.4 / -0.1 / -1.1 / -3.0 / -42 / -
Keeley Kustermann HBFR 8.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.037 / inside our 90% range: 21
Amy Boyle-Carr INT 7.5 / inside our 90% range: 12.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.034 / inside our 50% range: 37
Lucy Waye INT 6.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.031 / inside our 90% range: 16
Olivia Gorman INT 6.4 / inside our 90% range: 10.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.01.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.030 / inside our 50% range: 27
Lily Tarlinton INT 6.2 / -0.1 / -1.0 / -2.8 / -34 / -
Ava Stewart INT 5.8 / -0.1 / -1.0 / -2.0 / -30 / -
Kayleigh Cronin INT 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.030 / inside our 50% range: 26

Fremantle

ANNOUNCED
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Gabrielle Newton RR 24.4 / inside our 50% range: 24.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.06.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.096 / inside our 50% range: 94
Kiara Bowers C 23.8 / inside our 90% range: 29.00.3 / outside our 90% range: 2.03.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.010.3 / inside our 50% range: 8.0110 / inside our 50% range: 126
Aisling McCarthy INT 21.8 / inside our 50% range: 19.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.04.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.083 / inside our 90% range: 61
Mim Strom RK 18.8 / inside our 90% range: 15.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.03.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.087 / inside our 50% range: 73
Matilda Banfield WR 14.3 / inside our 90% range: 10.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.03.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.057 / inside our 50% range: 51
Megan Kauffman HFFL 13.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.058 / inside our 50% range: 53
Sarah Verrier HBFL 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.055 / inside our 50% range: 45
Aoife Healy WL 13.3 / inside our 50% range: 11.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.02.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.051 / inside our 50% range: 41
Ashleigh Brazill FB 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 14.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.048 / inside our 90% range: 60
Angelique Stannett R 11.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.00.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.04.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.054 / inside our 90% range: 40
Hayley Miller CHF 11.3 / outside our 90% range: 20.00.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.02.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.03.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.056 / outside our 90% range: 92
Orlagh Lally INT 10.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.044 / inside our 50% range: 39
Gabby O'Sullivan FPR 10.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.00.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.049 / inside our 50% range: 42
Jessica Low BPL 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.042 / inside our 50% range: 35
Holly Egan HBFR 10.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.041 / inside our 50% range: 31
Eden Zanker FF 9.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.01.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.03.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.01.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.048 / inside our 50% range: 58
Indiana West CHB 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.038 / inside our 50% range: 41
Bella Smith HFFR 9.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.00.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.047 / inside our 90% range: 21
Madeleine Scanlon INT 8.9 / -0.1 / -1.6 / -2.3 / -39 / -
Lily Johnson INT 8.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.02.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.035 / inside our 90% range: 48
Indi Strom INT 7.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.032 / inside our 50% range: 25
Evie Parker INT 6.0 / -0.1 / -1.0 / -1.9 / -30 / -
Georgie Brisbane INT 5.9 / -0.3 / -1.4 / -1.7 / -30 / -
Noa McNaughton INT 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 7.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.01.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.030 / inside our 90% range: 17