AFLW · ROUND 7 · IKON PARK
Carlton v Richmond
Fri 25 Sep 2026, 4:00pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
CAR by 18
CAR to win, 78% chance
CAR 78%22% RIC
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
CAR by 55
HIT Actual margin 55 · 37.1 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Carlton
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbie McKay | R | 22.8 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Dayna Finn | WR | 21.9 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.1 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Claudia Whitfort | C | 21.6 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 6.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Mimi Hill | HFFL | 20.6 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 71 / outside our 90% range: 105 |
| Erone Fitzpatrick | FPR | 18.5 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Harriet Cordner | BPL | 18.2 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 93 |
| Keeley Sherar | HFFR | 15.9 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.8 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Amelia Velardo | HBFR | 15.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Ciara Fitzgerald | HBFL | 13.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Jessica Good | RK | 12.9 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Lily Goss | INT | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Poppy Scholz | CHF | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Sophie McKay | INT | 10.9 / outside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Siofra O'Connell | CHB | 10.8 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Yasmin Duursma | WL | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Nell Morris-Dalton | FF | 8.9 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Tayla McMillan | RR | 7.9 / outside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 40 / outside our 90% range: 80 |
| Brooke Vickers | INT | 7.4 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 34 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Madeline Hendrie | FB | 7.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 33 / inside our 50% range: 27 |
| Lauren Bella | INT | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 34 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Aisling Reidy | INT | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 30 / inside our 50% range: 27 |
Richmond
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie McKenzie | RR | 21.9 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Isabel Bacon | C | 15.8 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Sierra Grieves | HFFR | 14.5 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 54 / outside our 90% range: 23 |
| Montana Beruldsen | CHB | 13.9 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Dana East | INT | 13.2 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Libby Graham | HBFL | 12.7 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 48 / outside our 90% range: 86 |
| Katie Brennan | WR | 12.0 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Laura McClelland | BPL | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Charli Wicksteed | WL | 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 64 |
| Caitlin Greiser | FPR | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Olivia Wolmarans | FF | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Gabby Seymour | RK | 10.1 / outside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 90 |
| Beth Lynch | HBFR | 9.9 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 64 |
| Aoibhin Cleary | R | 9.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 43 / inside our 90% range: 16 |
| Paige Scott | CHF | 9.0 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 39 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Montana McKinnon | FB | 8.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Baia Pugh | INT | 8.8 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 35 / outside our 90% range: 0 |
| Mackenzie Ford | HFFL | 8.2 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Georgia Stubs | INT | 7.0 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 31 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Ana Mulholland | INT | 5.7 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 28 / inside our 50% range: 29 |
| Fina Dethlefsen | INT | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 28 / inside our 50% range: 37 |