AFLW · ROUND 7 · VICTORIA PARK
Collingwood v GWS GIANTS
Sun 27 Sep 2026, 1:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
COL by 5
COL to win, 58% chance
COL 58%42% GWS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
COL by 9
HIT Actual margin 9 · 4.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Collingwood
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Bonnici | RR | 19.7 | 16.3 to 23.1 | 11.3 to 28.0 | 84% | 50% | 18% | 3% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 16.0 |
| Tarni White | WL | 19.2 | 15.9 to 22.6 | 11.0 to 27.5 | 80% | 43% | 14% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 24.0 |
| Airlie Runnalls | WR | 18.5 | 15.2 to 21.8 | 10.3 to 26.6 | 77% | 38% | 11% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 15.0 |
| Carly Remmos | HFFR | 14.5 | 11.5 to 17.4 | 7.1 to 21.8 | 48% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 11.0 |
| Lucille Cronin | CHB | 14.1 | 11.1 to 17.0 | 6.8 to 21.3 | 39% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 18.0 |
| Ashley Centra | R | 13.9 | 10.9 to 16.8 | 6.6 to 21.1 | 37% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 18.0 |
| Brianna Davey | INT | 13.9 | 10.9 to 16.8 | 6.6 to 21.1 | 37% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 13.0 |
| Sarah Rowe | INT | 13.9 | 10.9 to 16.8 | 6.6 to 21.1 | 37% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 15.0 |
| Jordyn Allen | HBFR | 13.7 | 10.8 to 16.6 | 6.5 to 20.9 | 37% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Dominique Carbone | INT | 13.2 | 10.3 to 16.1 | 6.1 to 20.3 | 34% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Ruby Schleicher | FF | 12.6 | 9.8 to 15.4 | 5.7 to 19.6 | 30% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Violet Patterson | HFFL | 11.7 | 9.0 to 14.4 | 4.9 to 18.4 | 21% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Amber Schutte | BPL | 11.4 | 8.7 to 14.1 | 4.8 to 18.1 | 20% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Mattea Breed | FPR | 11.0 | 8.4 to 13.7 | 4.4 to 17.6 | 18% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 16.0 |
| Ariana Hetherington | FB | 10.4 | 7.8 to 13.0 | 4.0 to 16.9 | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Jemma Rigoni | C | 9.4 | 6.9 to 12.0 | 3.3 to 15.6 | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |
| Josephine Bamford | RK | 9.2 | 6.7 to 11.7 | 3.1 to 15.3 | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Sabrina Frederick | INT | 8.6 | 6.1 to 11.0 | 2.6 to 14.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 16.0 |
| Eliza James | HBFL | 8.5 | 6.1 to 10.9 | 2.5 to 14.4 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Olivia Lewis | CHF | 8.2 | 5.8 to 10.6 | 2.3 to 14.1 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Amy Smith | INT | 6.0 | 3.9 to 8.1 | 0.8 to 11.2 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Imogen Trengove | INT | 6.0 | 3.9 to 8.2 | 0.8 to 11.3 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Charlotte Brewer | INT | 5.6 | 3.5 to 7.7 | 0.5 to 10.7 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Zara Neuwirth | INT | 5.4 | 3.3 to 7.4 | 0.4 to 10.4 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
GWS GIANTS
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyce Parker | C | 26.4 | 22.5 to 30.2 | 16.9 to 35.8 | 97% | 89% | 63% | 29% | 9% | inside our 50% range: 24.0 |
| Rebecca Beeson | RR | 22.3 | 18.7 to 25.8 | 13.5 to 31.0 | 93% | 69% | 33% | 9% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 25.0 |
| Tilly Lucas-Rodd | HBFR | 19.8 | 16.4 to 23.2 | 11.5 to 28.2 | 84% | 52% | 18% | 3% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 25.0 |
| Cambridge McCormick | HBFL | 18.4 | 15.1 to 21.7 | 10.3 to 26.6 | 77% | 38% | 11% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 16.0 |
| Madison Brazendale | WL | 15.2 | 12.2 to 18.3 | 7.7 to 22.8 | 54% | 18% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 16.0 |
| Eilish O'Dowd | HFFL | 14.4 | 11.4 to 17.4 | 7.1 to 21.7 | 46% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Sara Howley | INT | 12.0 | 9.2 to 14.7 | 5.2 to 18.8 | 23% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Tarni Evans | FF | 11.9 | 9.2 to 14.7 | 5.1 to 18.7 | 23% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 11.0 |
| Emily Pease | INT | 11.2 | 8.6 to 13.9 | 4.6 to 17.9 | 21% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Poppy Boltz | FB | 11.0 | 8.4 to 13.7 | 4.4 to 17.6 | 18% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Grace Kos | R | 10.7 | 8.1 to 13.3 | 4.2 to 17.2 | 17% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Jessica Doyle | CHF | 10.1 | 7.5 to 12.7 | 3.8 to 16.5 | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Mikayla Pauga | FPR | 10.1 | 7.5 to 12.7 | 3.7 to 16.5 | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
| Alicia Eva | INT | 9.9 | 7.3 to 12.4 | 3.6 to 16.2 | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Georgia Garnett | HFFR | 9.8 | 7.3 to 12.4 | 3.5 to 16.1 | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Yasmeen Janschek | RK | 8.7 | 6.2 to 11.1 | 2.7 to 14.7 | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Daisy Walker | CHB | 8.2 | 5.8 to 10.6 | 2.3 to 14.1 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 13.0 |
| Kiera Yerbury | INT | 8.1 | 5.8 to 10.5 | 2.3 to 14.0 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Isabel Huntington | INT | 7.8 | 5.5 to 10.1 | 2.0 to 13.6 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |
| Caitlin Fletcher | BPL | 7.7 | 5.4 to 10.1 | 2.0 to 13.5 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Georgia Clark | WR | 7.6 | 5.3 to 10.0 | 1.9 to 13.3 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |
| Eleanor Brown | INT | 7.1 | 4.8 to 9.3 | 1.5 to 12.6 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Maisy Evans | INT | 6.1 | 4.0 to 8.2 | 0.9 to 11.3 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Sophia Gaukrodger | INT | 6.1 | 4.0 to 8.2 | 0.9 to 11.3 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |