AFLW · ROUND 7 · VICTORIA PARK
Collingwood v GWS GIANTS
Sun 27 Sep 2026, 1:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
COL by 5
COL to win, 58% chance
COL 58%42% GWS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
COL by 9
HIT Actual margin 9 · 4.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Collingwood
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Bonnici | RR | 80 | 66 to 94 | 46 to 114 | 68% | 49% | 30% | 16% | 8% | inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Tarni White | WL | 75 | 61 to 89 | 42 to 109 | 59% | 40% | 26% | 12% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Airlie Runnalls | WR | 69 | 56 to 83 | 37 to 102 | 45% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Carly Remmos | HFFR | 65 | 52 to 78 | 33 to 97 | 39% | 23% | 11% | 4% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Ashley Centra | R | 62 | 49 to 75 | 31 to 94 | 32% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 87 |
| Lucille Cronin | CHB | 60 | 48 to 73 | 30 to 91 | 28% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Brianna Davey | INT | 60 | 47 to 72 | 29 to 90 | 26% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Ruby Schleicher | FF | 59 | 46 to 72 | 28 to 89 | 25% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Jordyn Allen | HBFR | 56 | 43 to 68 | 26 to 86 | 23% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 25 |
| Dominique Carbone | INT | 56 | 43 to 68 | 26 to 86 | 23% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Sarah Rowe | INT | 52 | 40 to 65 | 23 to 82 | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Mattea Breed | FPR | 50 | 38 to 62 | 21 to 79 | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Violet Patterson | HFFL | 48 | 36 to 60 | 19 to 77 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Josephine Bamford | RK | 47 | 36 to 59 | 19 to 76 | 11% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Ariana Hetherington | FB | 45 | 34 to 57 | 17 to 73 | 8% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Amber Schutte | BPL | 45 | 34 to 57 | 17 to 73 | 8% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 23 |
| Jemma Rigoni | C | 44 | 32 to 55 | 16 to 71 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Sabrina Frederick | INT | 44 | 32 to 55 | 16 to 72 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Eliza James | HBFL | 41 | 30 to 52 | 14 to 68 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 33 |
| Olivia Lewis | CHF | 36 | 25 to 47 | 10 to 62 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 4 |
| Imogen Trengove | INT | 29 | 19 to 40 | 5 to 54 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 16 |
| Amy Smith | INT | 29 | 19 to 39 | 5 to 54 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Charlotte Brewer | INT | 29 | 19 to 39 | 5 to 53 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Zara Neuwirth | INT | 29 | 19 to 39 | 5 to 53 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
GWS GIANTS
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyce Parker | C | 99 | 83 to 114 | 62 to 136 | 91% | 80% | 65% | 46% | 30% | inside our 50% range: 100 |
| Rebecca Beeson | RR | 84 | 70 to 99 | 49 to 119 | 75% | 56% | 37% | 21% | 11% | inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Tilly Lucas-Rodd | HBFR | 69 | 56 to 83 | 37 to 102 | 45% | 29% | 16% | 7% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 101 |
| Cambridge McCormick | HBFL | 68 | 55 to 82 | 36 to 100 | 44% | 28% | 15% | 6% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Madison Brazendale | WL | 59 | 47 to 72 | 29 to 90 | 26% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Tarni Evans | FF | 57 | 45 to 70 | 27 to 88 | 27% | 15% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Eilish O'Dowd | HFFL | 57 | 45 to 70 | 27 to 88 | 27% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 8 |
| Yasmeen Janschek | RK | 49 | 37 to 61 | 20 to 78 | 14% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Georgia Garnett | HFFR | 48 | 36 to 60 | 19 to 76 | 13% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Grace Kos | R | 48 | 36 to 60 | 19 to 76 | 13% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 18 |
| Jessica Doyle | CHF | 47 | 35 to 59 | 18 to 75 | 10% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 20 |
| Mikayla Pauga | FPR | 45 | 34 to 57 | 17 to 74 | 9% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Sara Howley | INT | 45 | 33 to 56 | 17 to 72 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Emily Pease | INT | 44 | 33 to 56 | 16 to 72 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Poppy Boltz | FB | 44 | 32 to 55 | 16 to 71 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 8 |
| Alicia Eva | INT | 43 | 32 to 55 | 16 to 71 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Daisy Walker | CHB | 38 | 27 to 49 | 12 to 64 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Isabel Huntington | INT | 37 | 26 to 48 | 11 to 63 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Georgia Clark | WR | 37 | 26 to 48 | 10 to 63 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Caitlin Fletcher | BPL | 33 | 23 to 44 | 8 to 58 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 21 |
| Kiera Yerbury | INT | 32 | 22 to 43 | 7 to 58 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 22 |
| Eleanor Brown | INT | 32 | 22 to 43 | 7 to 57 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Maisy Evans | INT | 30 | 20 to 40 | 6 to 54 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Sophia Gaukrodger | INT | 30 | 20 to 40 | 6 to 54 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |