AFLW · ROUND 7 · VICTORIA PARK
Collingwood v GWS GIANTS
Sun 27 Sep 2026, 1:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
COL by 5
COL to win, 58% chance
COL 58%42% GWS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
COL by 9
HIT Actual margin 9 · 4.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Collingwood
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Remmos | HFFR | 6.0 | 4.1 to 7.8 | 1.8 to 10.1 | 88% | 77% | 68% | 53% | 46% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Brittany Bonnici | RR | 5.9 | 4.0 to 7.8 | 1.8 to 10.0 | 88% | 77% | 65% | 53% | 44% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Dominique Carbone | INT | 4.4 | 2.8 to 6.0 | 0.9 to 7.9 | 77% | 62% | 49% | 32% | 22% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Mattea Breed | FPR | 4.3 | 2.7 to 5.9 | 0.8 to 7.8 | 74% | 57% | 47% | 32% | 18% | outside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Brianna Davey | INT | 4.2 | 2.6 to 5.8 | 0.7 to 7.6 | 74% | 56% | 46% | 31% | 15% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Airlie Runnalls | WR | 3.8 | 2.3 to 5.3 | 0.5 to 7.0 | 64% | 49% | 32% | 23% | 13% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Ashley Centra | R | 3.7 | 2.2 to 5.2 | 0.5 to 7.0 | 70% | 49% | 32% | 17% | 11% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Tarni White | WL | 3.6 | 2.1 to 5.0 | 0.4 to 6.7 | 61% | 46% | 31% | 15% | 10% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Violet Patterson | HFFL | 3.6 | 2.1 to 5.0 | 0.4 to 6.8 | 61% | 48% | 31% | 15% | 11% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Lucille Cronin | CHB | 3.5 | 2.1 to 5.0 | 0.4 to 6.7 | 60% | 46% | 29% | 15% | 8% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Jemma Rigoni | C | 3.3 | 1.9 to 4.7 | 0.2 to 6.4 | 62% | 45% | 27% | 13% | 9% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Josephine Bamford | RK | 3.1 | 1.8 to 4.5 | 0.1 to 6.1 | 49% | 32% | 15% | 10% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Ruby Schleicher | FF | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 53% | 32% | 23% | 11% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Sarah Rowe | INT | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 32% | 19% | 9% | 6% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Sabrina Frederick | INT | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 27% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Ariana Hetherington | FB | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 37% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Charlotte Brewer | INT | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 0% | - |
| Olivia Lewis | CHF | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 32% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Amber Schutte | BPL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 32% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Amy Smith | INT | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 32% | 16% | 11% | 4% | 1% | - |
| Eliza James | HBFL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Imogen Trengove | INT | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 31% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Jordyn Allen | HBFR | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 31% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Zara Neuwirth | INT | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 31% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 1% | - |
GWS GIANTS
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyce Parker | C | 5.3 | 3.5 to 7.0 | 1.4 to 9.1 | 84% | 71% | 56% | 40% | 31% | inside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Rebecca Beeson | RR | 4.8 | 3.2 to 6.5 | 1.1 to 8.6 | 78% | 64% | 49% | 32% | 24% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Grace Kos | R | 3.8 | 2.3 to 5.3 | 0.5 to 7.1 | 65% | 49% | 37% | 24% | 13% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Madison Brazendale | WL | 3.4 | 2.0 to 4.8 | 0.3 to 6.5 | 53% | 40% | 24% | 11% | 7% | outside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Eilish O'Dowd | HFFL | 3.2 | 1.8 to 4.5 | 0.2 to 6.2 | 49% | 32% | 18% | 11% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Cambridge McCormick | HBFL | 3.1 | 1.8 to 4.5 | 0.2 to 6.1 | 49% | 32% | 15% | 11% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Daisy Walker | CHB | 3.1 | 1.7 to 4.4 | 0.1 to 6.0 | 56% | 37% | 24% | 11% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Mikayla Pauga | FPR | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 49% | 31% | 15% | 8% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Tarni Evans | FF | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 50% | 32% | 17% | 8% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Tilly Lucas-Rodd | HBFR | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 55% | 32% | 23% | 11% | 7% | outside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Yasmeen Janschek | RK | 2.7 | 1.4 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 57% | 38% | 23% | 8% | 6% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Alicia Eva | INT | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 46% | 27% | 13% | 7% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Georgia Clark | WR | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 40% | 24% | 11% | 5% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Sara Howley | INT | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 49% | 28% | 13% | 7% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Poppy Boltz | FB | 2.3 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 32% | 19% | 7% | 5% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Eleanor Brown | INT | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 32% | 15% | 7% | 5% | 2% | - |
| Caitlin Fletcher | BPL | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 35% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Emily Pease | INT | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 31% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Georgia Garnett | HFFR | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Kiera Yerbury | INT | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Maisy Evans | INT | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 27% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | - |
| Sophia Gaukrodger | INT | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 27% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | - |
| Jessica Doyle | CHF | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 30% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Isabel Huntington | INT | 1.5 | 0.6 to 2.5 | 0.0 to 3.6 | 14% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |