AFLW · ROUND 7 · WINDY HILL
Essendon v West Coast Eagles
Fri 25 Sep 2026, 12:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
WCE by 6
WCE to win, 60% chance
ESS 40%60% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WCE by 10
HIT Actual margin 10 · 4.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Essendon
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Prespakis | C | 99 | 83 to 114 | 62 to 136 | 91% | 80% | 65% | 46% | 30% | inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Amy Gaylor | RR | 78 | 64 to 92 | 44 to 112 | 64% | 46% | 31% | 14% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Georgia Nanscawen | R | 77 | 63 to 91 | 43 to 111 | 61% | 42% | 29% | 13% | 6% | outside our 90% range: 40 |
| Maddison Gay | CHB | 74 | 60 to 88 | 41 to 108 | 58% | 39% | 24% | 11% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Stephanie Wales | RK | 70 | 57 to 84 | 38 to 103 | 50% | 33% | 16% | 8% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 86 |
| Bonnie Toogood | CHF | 66 | 52 to 79 | 34 to 97 | 40% | 24% | 12% | 4% | 2% | outside our 90% range: 101 |
| Stephanie Cain | HBFR | 55 | 42 to 67 | 25 to 85 | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Georgia Gee | WR | 55 | 42 to 67 | 25 to 85 | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Mia Busch | INT | 52 | 39 to 64 | 22 to 81 | 14% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Bess Keaney | INT | 51 | 39 to 63 | 22 to 80 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Georgia Clarke | INT | 48 | 36 to 60 | 19 to 76 | 13% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Chloe Adams | HFFR | 48 | 36 to 60 | 19 to 76 | 11% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 15 |
| Alexandra Morcom | HBFL | 46 | 34 to 57 | 18 to 74 | 9% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Grace Belloni | FPR | 45 | 34 to 57 | 17 to 73 | 8% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Holly Ridewood | INT | 43 | 32 to 54 | 16 to 71 | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Emily Gough | FF | 42 | 31 to 54 | 15 to 70 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Zoe Prowse | FB | 42 | 31 to 53 | 15 to 69 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 17 |
| Sophie Van De Heuvel | INT | 42 | 30 to 53 | 14 to 69 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Maggie MacLachlan | WL | 40 | 29 to 51 | 13 to 67 | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: -2 |
| Matilda Dyke | BPL | 38 | 27 to 49 | 12 to 65 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Nalu Brothwell | HFFL | 38 | 27 to 49 | 12 to 64 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 42 |
West Coast Eagles
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Roberts | RR | 103 | 88 to 119 | 66 to 141 | 93% | 84% | 72% | 54% | 35% | inside our 90% range: 124 |
| Isabella Lewis | C | 76 | 62 to 90 | 42 to 110 | 60% | 41% | 27% | 13% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Charlotte Riggs | RK | 62 | 49 to 75 | 31 to 94 | 33% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Charlotte Thomas | HBFR | 62 | 49 to 75 | 31 to 93 | 32% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Jaide Britton | WL | 60 | 47 to 73 | 29 to 91 | 27% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Lucia Painter | FF | 60 | 47 to 73 | 29 to 91 | 27% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Emma Swanson | HBFL | 59 | 47 to 72 | 29 to 90 | 26% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Courtney Rowley | R | 56 | 44 to 69 | 26 to 86 | 24% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Kellie Gibson | WR | 50 | 38 to 62 | 21 to 78 | 15% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Kayla Dalgleish | FPR | 47 | 35 to 59 | 19 to 75 | 11% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Keeley Skepper | HFFL | 47 | 35 to 59 | 19 to 75 | 11% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Abbygail Bushby | INT | 47 | 35 to 58 | 18 to 75 | 10% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Amy Franklin | HFFR | 46 | 35 to 58 | 18 to 75 | 10% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Mia Russo | CHF | 43 | 31 to 54 | 15 to 70 | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 17 |
| Georgie Cleaver | CHB | 42 | 31 to 54 | 15 to 70 | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Isabella Shannon | INT | 42 | 31 to 54 | 15 to 70 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Belinda Smith | BPL | 42 | 30 to 53 | 14 to 69 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Lauren Wakfer | INT | 41 | 30 to 53 | 14 to 68 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Jessica Rentsch | INT | 40 | 29 to 52 | 14 to 68 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 20 |
| Sarah Lakay | INT | 37 | 26 to 48 | 11 to 64 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 30 |
| Beth Schilling | FB | 34 | 23 to 44 | 8 to 59 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 0 |