AFLW · ROUND 7 · PEOPLE FIRST STADIUM
Gold Coast SUNS v St Kilda
Sun 27 Sep 2026, 5:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GCS by 19
GCS to win, 79% chance
GCS 79%21% STK
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GCS by 30
HIT Actual margin 30 · 10.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Gold Coast SUNS
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Rowbottom | C | 104 | 88 to 120 | 66 to 142 | 94% | 85% | 73% | 56% | 38% | inside our 50% range: 105 |
| Niamh McLaughlin | R | 83 | 68 to 97 | 48 to 117 | 73% | 53% | 34% | 20% | 10% | inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Anne Hatchard | CHF | 80 | 66 to 95 | 46 to 115 | 70% | 50% | 31% | 17% | 8% | inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Daisy D'Arcy | HBFR | 72 | 58 to 86 | 39 to 105 | 54% | 36% | 19% | 9% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Havana Harris | FPR | 64 | 51 to 77 | 33 to 96 | 37% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Darcie Davies | RK | 63 | 50 to 76 | 32 to 94 | 36% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Ava Usher | RR | 56 | 44 to 69 | 26 to 87 | 24% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Maddy Brancatisano | HFFL | 56 | 43 to 68 | 26 to 86 | 23% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Lily Mithen | WR | 54 | 41 to 66 | 24 to 83 | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Meara Girvan | FB | 49 | 37 to 60 | 20 to 77 | 13% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Elise Barwick | INT | 43 | 31 to 54 | 15 to 70 | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Sunny Lappin | INT | 40 | 29 to 51 | 13 to 67 | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Bronte Parker | WL | 40 | 29 to 51 | 13 to 67 | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Clara Fitzpatrick | BPL | 39 | 28 to 50 | 12 to 66 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Georja Davies | HBFL | 39 | 28 to 50 | 12 to 65 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 26 |
| Annabel Kievit | CHB | 38 | 27 to 49 | 12 to 65 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Alannah Welsh | INT | 36 | 25 to 47 | 10 to 62 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Lily Quigley | HFFR | 36 | 25 to 46 | 10 to 62 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Dekota Baron | FF | 35 | 24 to 45 | 9 to 60 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Paige Price | INT | 34 | 23 to 44 | 8 to 59 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Heidi Talbot | INT | 30 | 20 to 40 | 6 to 55 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 64 |
| Ellie Veerhuis | INT | 30 | 20 to 40 | 6 to 55 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Rhianna Ingram | INT | 30 | 20 to 40 | 5 to 54 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Tara Harrington | INT | 29 | 19 to 39 | 5 to 54 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
St Kilda
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaimee Lambert | RR | 75 | 61 to 89 | 42 to 109 | 59% | 40% | 26% | 12% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Ashleigh Richards | HFFL | 69 | 56 to 83 | 37 to 102 | 48% | 33% | 14% | 7% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Georgia Patrikios | R | 68 | 54 to 81 | 36 to 100 | 43% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Serene Watson | HBFL | 61 | 48 to 74 | 30 to 92 | 28% | 14% | 8% | 2% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 102 |
| Molly McDonald | C | 54 | 42 to 67 | 24 to 84 | 20% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Nicola Barr | WL | 52 | 40 to 65 | 23 to 82 | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Paige Trudgeon | FB | 51 | 39 to 63 | 22 to 80 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Jesse Tawhiao-Wardlaw | FF | 49 | 37 to 61 | 20 to 77 | 13% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 96 |
| Zoe Besanko | RK | 48 | 36 to 60 | 20 to 77 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 18 |
| Nicola Xenos | INT | 48 | 36 to 60 | 19 to 76 | 13% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Alana Gee | INT | 46 | 34 to 57 | 18 to 74 | 9% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Charlotte Baskaran | WR | 46 | 34 to 57 | 17 to 74 | 9% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Emmelie Fiedler | INT | 40 | 29 to 51 | 13 to 66 | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 17 |
| Bianca Jakobsson | CHB | 39 | 28 to 50 | 12 to 66 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 22 |
| Rene Caris | INT | 38 | 27 to 49 | 12 to 65 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 15 |
| Maya Louvel-Finn | HBFR | 38 | 27 to 49 | 12 to 64 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 73 |
| Jade McLay | CHF | 36 | 25 to 46 | 10 to 62 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Darcy Guttridge | HFFR | 34 | 24 to 45 | 9 to 60 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Kyla Forbes | FPR | 34 | 23 to 44 | 8 to 59 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Ella Friend | BPL | 34 | 23 to 44 | 8 to 59 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Sophie Butterworth | INT | 29 | 19 to 39 | 5 to 53 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Chelsea Sutton | INT | 29 | 19 to 39 | 4 to 53 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 28 |
| Carys D'Addario | INT | 28 | 18 to 38 | 4 to 52 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Zoe Barbakos | INT | 28 | 18 to 38 | 4 to 52 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 33 |