AFLW · ROUND 7 · IKON PARK
Melbourne v North Melbourne
Fri 25 Sep 2026, 7:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
NM by 17
NM to win, 76% chance
MEL 24%76% NM
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
NM by 31
HIT Actual margin 31 · 14.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Melbourne
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Purcell | RR | 26.6 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 96 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Tyla Hanks | BPL | 22.1 / outside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 6.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 110 |
| Kate Hore | FF | 19.8 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Maeve Chaplin | C | 18.8 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Jordyn S. Allen | CHB | 16.0 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 37 |
| Shelley Heath-Barker | R | 14.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.6 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 66 / outside our 90% range: 20 |
| Megan Fitzsimon | WR | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Tahlia Gillard | CHF | 13.0 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Tayla Harris | FB | 12.4 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 76 |
| Sarah Lampard | HFFL | 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Paxy Paxman | HBFL | 11.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 22 |
| Georgia Campbell | RK | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Molly O'Hehir | WL | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Ryleigh Wotherspoon | FPR | 10.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Alyssa Bannan | INT | 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Laela Ebert | HBFR | 9.2 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 37 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Maggie Mahony | INT | 8.9 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Mia Austin | HFFR | 7.3 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.9 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 42 / outside our 90% range: 70 |
| Georgia Gall | INT | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 32 / inside our 50% range: 23 |
| Alyssia Pisano | INT | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 32 / inside our 90% range: 13 |
| Jorja Livingstone | INT | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 28 / inside our 50% range: 23 |
North Melbourne
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ash Riddell | RR | 29.5 / inside our 50% range: 33.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 106 / inside our 50% range: 112 |
| Jasmine Garner | R | 27.8 / inside our 50% range: 31.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 109 / inside our 50% range: 118 |
| Eilish Sheerin | C | 21.2 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 106 |
| Erika O'Shea | HBFR | 18.7 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Emma Kearney | CHB | 16.3 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Tess Craven | WR | 15.6 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Libby Birch | HBFL | 14.0 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Kim Rennie | RK | 13.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Amy Gavin Mangan | WL | 13.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Ruby Tripodi | INT | 13.1 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
| Tessa Boyd | BPL | 12.8 / - | -0.0 / - | 2.4 / - | 1.8 / - | 46 / - |
| Jenna Bruton | HFFR | 12.5 / outside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 51 / outside our 90% range: 103 |
| Alice O'Loughlin | HFFL | 12.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Eliza Shannon | INT | 10.9 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Vikki Wall | INT | 10.7 / outside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 79 |
| Blaithin Bogue | CHF | 9.9 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Taylah Gatt | INT | 9.9 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Tahlia Randall | FF | 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Kate Shierlaw | FPR | 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Jasmine Ferguson | FB | 9.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 40 / inside our 90% range: 15 |
| Emma King | INT | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 34 / inside our 90% range: 13 |