AFLW · ROUND 7 · MISSION WHITTEN OVAL
Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide
Fri 25 Sep 2026, 2:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
WB by 10
WB to win, 67% chance
WB 67%33% PA
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WB by 13
HIT Actual margin 13 · 2.5 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Western Bulldogs
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabelle Pritchard | C | 24.5 | 20.8 to 28.2 | 15.3 to 33.6 | 96% | 82% | 49% | 19% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 23.0 |
| Jess Fitzgerald | HBFR | 20.8 | 17.3 to 24.2 | 12.2 to 29.3 | 89% | 60% | 23% | 5% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 21.0 |
| Ellie Blackburn | FPR | 18.9 | 15.6 to 22.3 | 10.7 to 27.1 | 78% | 41% | 13% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Mikala Cann | RR | 16.0 | 12.9 to 19.1 | 8.4 to 23.7 | 61% | 21% | 5% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 19.0 |
| Britney Gutknecht | CHB | 15.4 | 12.3 to 18.4 | 7.8 to 22.9 | 55% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Rylie Wilcox | WR | 14.0 | 11.0 to 16.9 | 6.7 to 21.2 | 38% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 16.0 |
| Elle Bennetts | INT | 13.3 | 10.4 to 16.2 | 6.2 to 20.4 | 35% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 13.0 |
| Elisabeth Georgostathis | INT | 13.2 | 10.3 to 16.0 | 6.1 to 20.2 | 34% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 16.0 |
| Jasmyn Smith | WL | 13.0 | 10.2 to 15.9 | 6.0 to 20.0 | 32% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 12.0 |
| Ellie Gavalas | INT | 12.1 | 9.4 to 14.9 | 5.3 to 19.0 | 26% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Heidi Woodley | HFFR | 11.5 | 8.8 to 14.2 | 4.8 to 18.2 | 21% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 18.0 |
| Kaylee Kimber | BPL | 11.1 | 8.4 to 13.8 | 4.5 to 17.7 | 19% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 13.0 |
| Emma McDonald | FF | 11.0 | 8.4 to 13.7 | 4.4 to 17.6 | 18% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Cleo Buttifant | R | 10.8 | 8.1 to 13.4 | 4.3 to 17.3 | 17% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 15.0 |
| Elaine Grigg | HFFL | 10.4 | 7.8 to 13.0 | 4.0 to 16.8 | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Isabella Grant | HBFL | 10.1 | 7.6 to 12.7 | 3.8 to 16.5 | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Vaomua Laloifi | FB | 9.8 | 7.3 to 12.4 | 3.5 to 16.1 | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 12.0 |
| Sarah Hartwig | CHF | 8.6 | 6.2 to 11.1 | 2.6 to 14.6 | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 13.0 |
| Sarah Poustie | INT | 7.9 | 5.6 to 10.2 | 2.1 to 13.7 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Keeley Hardingham | RK | 7.7 | 5.4 to 10.1 | 2.0 to 13.5 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 13.0 |
| Analea McKee | INT | 6.2 | 4.0 to 8.3 | 0.9 to 11.5 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
Port Adelaide
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbey Dowrick | C | 21.7 | 18.2 to 25.2 | 13.0 to 30.4 | 92% | 66% | 29% | 8% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 22.0 |
| Ashleigh Woodland | RR | 18.9 | 15.5 to 22.2 | 10.7 to 27.1 | 78% | 40% | 13% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 11.0 |
| Matilda Scholz | RK | 18.6 | 15.3 to 21.9 | 10.5 to 26.8 | 77% | 39% | 12% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 22.0 |
| Molly Brooksby | HBFR | 13.7 | 10.8 to 16.6 | 6.5 to 20.9 | 37% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 11.0 |
| Maria Moloney | INT | 13.3 | 10.4 to 16.2 | 6.2 to 20.4 | 35% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Shineah Goody | WL | 13.0 | 10.1 to 15.8 | 5.9 to 20.0 | 32% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 12.0 |
| Lauren Young | CHF | 11.2 | 8.5 to 13.8 | 4.5 to 17.8 | 20% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 14.0 |
| Sophie Eaton | WR | 11.1 | 8.5 to 13.8 | 4.5 to 17.7 | 20% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Kirsty Lamb | R | 11.0 | 8.3 to 13.6 | 4.4 to 17.5 | 18% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Teagan Germech | BPL | 11.0 | 8.3 to 13.6 | 4.4 to 17.5 | 18% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Katelyn Pope | HFFR | 10.6 | 8.0 to 13.3 | 4.2 to 17.1 | 16% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Cheyenne Hammond | HBFL | 9.2 | 6.7 to 11.7 | 3.1 to 15.3 | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Ellie Hampson | INT | 8.3 | 6.0 to 10.7 | 2.4 to 14.3 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 12.0 |
| Justine Mules-Robinson | HFFL | 7.8 | 5.4 to 10.1 | 2.0 to 13.5 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 11.0 |
| Lucy Boyd | CHB | 7.6 | 5.3 to 10.0 | 1.9 to 13.4 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 6.0 |
| Ebony O'Dea | INT | 7.5 | 5.2 to 9.8 | 1.8 to 13.2 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 6.0 |
| Piper Window | FPR | 7.5 | 5.2 to 9.8 | 1.9 to 13.2 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 11.0 |
| Gemma Houghton | INT | 7.3 | 5.0 to 9.6 | 1.7 to 12.9 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 6.0 |
| Amelie Borg | FB | 7.1 | 4.8 to 9.3 | 1.5 to 12.6 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |
| Emily Elkington | INT | 6.7 | 4.5 to 8.9 | 1.3 to 12.1 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Julia Teakle | FF | 6.2 | 4.0 to 8.3 | 0.9 to 11.5 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |