AFLW · ROUND 7 · MISSION WHITTEN OVAL
Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide
Fri 25 Sep 2026, 2:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
WB by 10
WB to win, 67% chance
WB 67%33% PA
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WB by 13
HIT Actual margin 13 · 2.5 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Western Bulldogs
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabelle Pritchard | C | 92 | 77 to 107 | 56 to 128 | 84% | 71% | 52% | 34% | 20% | inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Jess Fitzgerald | HBFR | 74 | 61 to 88 | 41 to 108 | 58% | 40% | 24% | 11% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 97 |
| Ellie Blackburn | FPR | 74 | 60 to 88 | 40 to 107 | 57% | 39% | 24% | 10% | 5% | outside our 90% range: 40 |
| Mikala Cann | RR | 64 | 50 to 77 | 32 to 95 | 37% | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 85 |
| Britney Gutknecht | CHB | 57 | 44 to 70 | 27 to 87 | 26% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Rylie Wilcox | WR | 56 | 44 to 69 | 26 to 87 | 25% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Emma McDonald | FF | 56 | 44 to 69 | 26 to 86 | 24% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Elisabeth Georgostathis | INT | 53 | 41 to 65 | 23 to 82 | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Jasmyn Smith | WL | 51 | 39 to 63 | 22 to 80 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Elle Bennetts | INT | 50 | 38 to 62 | 21 to 79 | 16% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Ellie Gavalas | INT | 50 | 38 to 62 | 21 to 79 | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Heidi Woodley | HFFR | 49 | 37 to 61 | 20 to 78 | 15% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 94 |
| Cleo Buttifant | R | 49 | 37 to 61 | 20 to 78 | 13% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Kaylee Kimber | BPL | 46 | 35 to 58 | 18 to 75 | 10% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Elaine Grigg | HFFL | 46 | 34 to 58 | 18 to 74 | 9% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Sarah Hartwig | CHF | 45 | 33 to 56 | 17 to 72 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Vaomua Laloifi | FB | 41 | 30 to 52 | 14 to 68 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Isabella Grant | HBFL | 41 | 30 to 52 | 14 to 68 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Keeley Hardingham | RK | 40 | 29 to 51 | 13 to 67 | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Sarah Poustie | INT | 38 | 28 to 50 | 12 to 65 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Analea McKee | INT | 31 | 21 to 41 | 6 to 56 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 56 |
Port Adelaide
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbey Dowrick | C | 94 | 79 to 109 | 57 to 130 | 86% | 73% | 56% | 37% | 22% | inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Matilda Scholz | RK | 86 | 72 to 101 | 51 to 121 | 78% | 61% | 41% | 25% | 13% | inside our 90% range: 110 |
| Ashleigh Woodland | RR | 80 | 66 to 95 | 46 to 115 | 70% | 50% | 31% | 17% | 8% | outside our 90% range: 33 |
| Maria Moloney | INT | 63 | 50 to 76 | 31 to 94 | 36% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 37 |
| Shineah Goody | WL | 61 | 48 to 73 | 30 to 92 | 28% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Molly Brooksby | HBFR | 54 | 42 to 66 | 24 to 84 | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Lauren Young | CHF | 54 | 41 to 66 | 24 to 83 | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Kirsty Lamb | R | 52 | 39 to 64 | 22 to 81 | 14% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Katelyn Pope | HFFR | 48 | 36 to 60 | 19 to 76 | 13% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Sophie Eaton | WR | 47 | 36 to 59 | 19 to 76 | 11% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Teagan Germech | BPL | 44 | 33 to 56 | 17 to 72 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Emily Elkington | INT | 40 | 29 to 51 | 13 to 67 | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 30 |
| Piper Window | FPR | 39 | 28 to 50 | 13 to 66 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Ellie Hampson | INT | 39 | 28 to 50 | 12 to 66 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Cheyenne Hammond | HBFL | 39 | 28 to 50 | 12 to 65 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Gemma Houghton | INT | 38 | 27 to 49 | 12 to 65 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Justine Mules-Robinson | HFFL | 38 | 27 to 49 | 12 to 65 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Ebony O'Dea | INT | 35 | 25 to 46 | 10 to 61 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 22 |
| Julia Teakle | FF | 35 | 24 to 45 | 9 to 60 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 30 |
| Lucy Boyd | CHB | 34 | 24 to 45 | 9 to 60 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 19 |
| Amelie Borg | FB | 32 | 22 to 42 | 7 to 57 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 26 |