AFLW · ROUND 7 · MISSION WHITTEN OVAL
Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide
Fri 25 Sep 2026, 2:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
WB by 10
WB to win, 67% chance
WB 67%33% PA
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WB by 13
HIT Actual margin 13 · 2.5 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Marks: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Western Bulldogs
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma McDonald | FF | 3.3 | 2.0 to 4.7 | 0.0 to 6.7 | 54% | 37% | 23% | 12% | 6% | inside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Jess Fitzgerald | HBFR | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 37% | 20% | 10% | 3% | 2% | outside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Vaomua Laloifi | FB | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 37% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Isabella Grant | HBFL | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 32% | 16% | 6% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Kaylee Kimber | BPL | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 29% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Rylie Wilcox | WR | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 23% | 11% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Cleo Buttifant | R | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Ellie Blackburn | FPR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 23% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Heidi Woodley | HFFR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 20% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Isabelle Pritchard | C | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 15% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Jasmyn Smith | WL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 12% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Sarah Hartwig | CHF | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 20% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Britney Gutknecht | CHB | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 20% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Elle Bennetts | INT | 1.9 | 0.8 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Elisabeth Georgostathis | INT | 1.8 | 0.7 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 10% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Ellie Gavalas | INT | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.7 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Keeley Hardingham | RK | 1.1 | 0.2 to 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 12% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Analea McKee | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Elaine Grigg | HFFL | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Mikala Cann | RR | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Sarah Poustie | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
Port Adelaide
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matilda Scholz | RK | 3.1 | 1.8 to 4.5 | 0.0 to 6.4 | 46% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Shineah Goody | WL | 2.7 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 38% | 23% | 11% | 4% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Molly Brooksby | HBFR | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 37% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Lauren Young | CHF | 2.3 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 36% | 18% | 6% | 4% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Abbey Dowrick | C | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 23% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Teagan Germech | BPL | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 23% | 15% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Ashleigh Woodland | RR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 23% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Justine Mules-Robinson | HFFL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Katelyn Pope | HFFR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 12% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% | - |
| Sophie Eaton | WR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 15% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Gemma Houghton | INT | 1.9 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Julia Teakle | FF | 1.9 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Maria Moloney | INT | 1.6 | 0.6 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 11% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Emily Elkington | INT | 1.5 | 0.5 to 2.4 | 0.0 to 3.9 | 10% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Amelie Borg | FB | 1.1 | 0.3 to 2.0 | 0.0 to 3.2 | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Kirsty Lamb | R | 1.1 | 0.2 to 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 12% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Lucy Boyd | CHB | 1.1 | 0.3 to 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.2 | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Cheyenne Hammond | HBFL | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Ebony O'Dea | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 10% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Ellie Hampson | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 10% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Piper Window | FPR | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |