AFLW · ROUND 7 · MISSION WHITTEN OVAL
Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide
Fri 25 Sep 2026, 2:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
WB by 10
WB to win, 67% chance
WB 67%33% PA
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WB by 13
HIT Actual margin 13 · 2.5 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Western Bulldogs
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabelle Pritchard | C | 5.5 | 3.7 to 7.2 | 1.5 to 9.4 | 85% | 73% | 56% | 49% | 32% | inside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Mikala Cann | RR | 5.2 | 3.4 to 6.9 | 1.3 to 9.0 | 84% | 71% | 53% | 40% | 27% | outside our 90% range: 10.0 |
| Elaine Grigg | HFFL | 4.1 | 2.5 to 5.6 | 0.7 to 7.5 | 71% | 56% | 46% | 27% | 15% | inside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Ellie Blackburn | FPR | 3.8 | 2.3 to 5.3 | 0.5 to 7.1 | 65% | 49% | 37% | 24% | 13% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Cleo Buttifant | R | 3.6 | 2.2 to 5.1 | 0.4 to 6.8 | 64% | 49% | 32% | 15% | 11% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Sarah Poustie | INT | 3.6 | 2.1 to 5.0 | 0.4 to 6.8 | 64% | 49% | 31% | 15% | 11% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Elisabeth Georgostathis | INT | 3.0 | 1.7 to 4.4 | 0.1 to 6.0 | 56% | 32% | 23% | 11% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Jasmyn Smith | WL | 3.0 | 1.6 to 4.3 | 0.1 to 5.9 | 46% | 28% | 15% | 8% | 5% | outside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Jess Fitzgerald | HBFR | 3.0 | 1.7 to 4.3 | 0.1 to 5.9 | 53% | 32% | 15% | 9% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Heidi Woodley | HFFR | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 56% | 39% | 24% | 11% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Rylie Wilcox | WR | 2.7 | 1.4 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 57% | 38% | 23% | 8% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Ellie Gavalas | INT | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 46% | 27% | 13% | 7% | 5% | outside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Emma McDonald | FF | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 46% | 27% | 13% | 7% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Keeley Hardingham | RK | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 38% | 24% | 11% | 7% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Kaylee Kimber | BPL | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 40% | 18% | 8% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Sarah Hartwig | CHF | 2.2 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 38% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Britney Gutknecht | CHB | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 27% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Analea McKee | INT | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 31% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Vaomua Laloifi | FB | 1.9 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Elle Bennetts | INT | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Isabella Grant | HBFL | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.7 | 0.0 to 3.9 | 20% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
Port Adelaide
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbey Dowrick | C | 6.6 | 4.6 to 8.5 | 2.3 to 10.9 | 91% | 84% | 71% | 61% | 49% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |
| Maria Moloney | INT | 5.6 | 3.8 to 7.4 | 1.6 to 9.6 | 85% | 74% | 62% | 49% | 38% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Ashleigh Woodland | RR | 5.4 | 3.6 to 7.2 | 1.5 to 9.3 | 85% | 73% | 56% | 43% | 32% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Kirsty Lamb | R | 4.3 | 2.7 to 5.9 | 0.8 to 7.8 | 74% | 56% | 47% | 31% | 17% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Shineah Goody | WL | 4.3 | 2.7 to 5.9 | 0.8 to 7.8 | 74% | 56% | 47% | 31% | 17% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Emily Elkington | INT | 4.1 | 2.6 to 5.7 | 0.7 to 7.6 | 72% | 56% | 46% | 27% | 15% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Sophie Eaton | WR | 3.1 | 1.7 to 4.4 | 0.1 to 6.0 | 56% | 35% | 24% | 11% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Matilda Scholz | RK | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 62% | 46% | 24% | 13% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Piper Window | FPR | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 53% | 32% | 23% | 11% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Katelyn Pope | HFFR | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 49% | 31% | 15% | 7% | 5% | - |
| Lucy Boyd | CHB | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 49% | 31% | 15% | 7% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Ebony O'Dea | INT | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 40% | 24% | 11% | 5% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Teagan Germech | BPL | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 32% | 19% | 9% | 6% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Lauren Young | CHF | 2.3 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 36% | 22% | 8% | 5% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Justine Mules-Robinson | HFFL | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 27% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Molly Brooksby | HBFR | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 37% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Cheyenne Hammond | HBFL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 32% | 15% | 11% | 4% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Ellie Hampson | INT | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 32% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Amelie Borg | FB | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Julia Teakle | FF | 1.8 | 0.7 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Gemma Houghton | INT | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.7 | 0.0 to 3.9 | 22% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |