AFLW · ROUND 8 · IKON PARK
Carlton v Hawthorn
Thu 1 Oct 2026, 7:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
CAR by 8
CAR to win, 64% chance
CAR 64%36% HAW
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
CAR by 12
HIT Actual margin 12 · 3.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Carlton
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbie McKay | R | 22.9 / outside our 90% range: 34.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 116 |
| Dayna Finn | WR | 22.4 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Mimi Hill | RR | 22.0 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Claudia Whitfort | C | 21.8 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Erone Fitzpatrick | HFFL | 19.0 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 105 |
| Harriet Cordner | BPL | 18.6 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Keeley Sherar | HFFR | 16.1 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 81 |
| Amelia Velardo | HBFR | 15.5 / - | 0.0 / - | 2.1 / - | 2.2 / - | 56 / - |
| Ciara Fitzgerald | HBFL | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Jessica Good | RK | 12.9 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Lily Goss | INT | 12.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 55 / outside our 90% range: 23 |
| Sophie McKay | FPR | 12.3 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Poppy Scholz | CHF | 11.6 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Siofra O'Connell | CHB | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Yasmin Duursma | WL | 10.4 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Lila Keck | INT | 9.1 / - | 0.6 / - | 1.8 / - | 2.8 / - | 42 / - |
| Nell Morris-Dalton | FF | 9.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Brooke Vickers | INT | 7.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 34 / inside our 50% range: 32 |
| Madeline Hendrie | FB | 7.3 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 33 / outside our 90% range: 59 |
| Tara Bohanna | INT | 7.1 / - | 0.6 / - | 1.8 / - | 1.6 / - | 34 / - |
| Lauren Bella | INT | 6.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 34 / inside our 50% range: 25 |
Hawthorn
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza West | R | 23.5 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Lucy Wales | RK | 19.2 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 87 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Jasmine Fleming | RR | 18.9 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Jenna Richardson | CHB | 14.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Mikayla Williamson | WR | 14.5 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Laura Elliott | HBFR | 14.1 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Hayley McLaughlin | C | 13.0 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Tamara Smith | BPL | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Jacqueline Dupuy | FPR | 12.8 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / outside our 90% range: 18 |
| Aine McDonagh | CHF | 12.4 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Casey Sherriff | HBFL | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Kaitlyn Ashmore | INT | 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Keely Coyne | WL | 10.6 / - | 0.1 / - | 2.0 / - | 2.0 / - | 42 / - |
| Laura Stone | INT | 9.9 / outside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Mackenzie Eardley | HFFR | 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Poppy Stockwell | FF | 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Mikaylah Antony | HFFL | 8.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Bridie Hipwell | INT | 7.8 / - | 0.1 / - | 1.0 / - | 2.5 / - | 35 / - |
| Annabelle Embelton | FB | 7.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 33 / inside our 90% range: 18 |
| Daisy Flockart | INT | 7.7 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 38 / outside our 90% range: 74 |
| Niamh Martin | INT | 6.6 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 32 / inside our 90% range: 49 |