AFLW · ROUND 8 · ARDEN STREET OVAL
North Melbourne v Sydney Swans
Sun 4 Oct 2026, 1:05pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
NM by 38
NM to win, 93% chance
NM 93%7% SYD
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
NM by 55
HIT Actual margin 55 · 17.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
North Melbourne
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ash Riddell | RR | 29.9 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 108 / inside our 90% range: 90 |
| Jasmine Garner | R | 29.0 / inside our 50% range: 32.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 110 / inside our 50% range: 96 |
| Eilish Sheerin | C | 22.7 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 6.5 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 88 / outside our 90% range: 36 |
| Erika O'Shea | HBFR | 19.7 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Tess Craven | WR | 16.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 63 / outside our 90% range: 96 |
| Kim Rennie | RK | 14.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Ruby Tripodi | INT | 14.5 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Jenna Bruton | FPR | 13.6 / outside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Tessa Boyd | BPL | 13.6 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Eliza Shannon | CHB | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Claire Mahony | HBFL | 13.1 / - | 0.0 / - | 2.9 / - | 1.8 / - | 49 / - |
| Amy Gavin Mangan | INT | 12.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Vikki Wall | HFFL | 12.6 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Alice O'Loughlin | INT | 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Bella Eddey | HFFR | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Blaithin Bogue | CHF | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Tahlia Randall | FF | 10.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Jasmine Ferguson | FB | 9.9 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 41 / inside our 50% range: 32 |
| Abby Favell | WL | 8.8 / - | 0.2 / - | 1.2 / - | 2.5 / - | 37 / - |
| Kristie-Lee Weston-Turner | INT | 7.6 / - | 0.3 / - | 1.2 / - | 1.9 / - | 32 / - |
| Emma King | INT | 7.1 / - | 0.5 / - | 2.2 / - | 1.4 / - | 36 / - |
Sydney Swans
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Gardiner | INT | 21.4 / inside our 90% range: 30.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 115 |
| Zippy Fish | HBFL | 19.9 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Montana Ham | R | 19.1 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Tanya Kennedy | RR | 18.1 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 7.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Lucy McEvoy | C | 14.7 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Ally Morphett | RK | 14.4 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 71 / outside our 90% range: 3 |
| Chloe Molloy | FF | 14.1 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Lulu Pullar | WL | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Emma Juneja | WR | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Alexia Hamilton | CHB | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Lara Hausegger | FB | 10.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Cynthia Hamilton | CHF | 9.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Taylor Smith | FPR | 8.2 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Julie O'Sullivan | HBFR | 8.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 36 / inside our 90% range: 17 |
| Jas Grierson | INT | 7.3 / - | 0.0 / - | 1.8 / - | 1.6 / - | 33 / - |
| Ash Van Loon | BPL | 7.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 33 / inside our 50% range: 29 |
| Paris McCarthy | HFFL | 7.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 40 / inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Imogen Brown | INT | 7.1 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 34 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Holly Cooper | HFFR | 7.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 37 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Sarah Grunden | INT | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 32 / inside our 90% range: 9 |
| Maddie Quinn | INT | 5.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 32 / inside our 90% range: 45 |