AFLW · ROUND 8 · SULLIVAN LOGISTICS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Fremantle
Sun 4 Oct 2026, 5:05pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
FRE by 20
FRE to win, 80% chance
WCE 20%80% FRE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WCE by 12
MISS Actual margin 12 · 31.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Roberts | RR | 25.3 | 21.5 to 29.0 | 16.0 to 34.5 | 96% | 84% | 55% | 23% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 22.0 |
| Isabella Lewis | WL | 19.7 | 16.3 to 23.0 | 11.3 to 28.0 | 84% | 50% | 18% | 3% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Charlotte Thomas | HBFR | 16.4 | 13.2 to 19.5 | 8.7 to 24.1 | 63% | 24% | 7% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 13.0 |
| Emma Swanson | HBFL | 16.2 | 13.1 to 19.3 | 8.5 to 23.9 | 63% | 22% | 6% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 16.0 |
| Jaide Britton | FF | 14.6 | 11.6 to 17.5 | 7.2 to 21.9 | 50% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 14.0 |
| Lucia Painter | R | 13.2 | 10.3 to 16.1 | 6.1 to 20.3 | 35% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 12.0 |
| Charlotte Riggs | CHF | 12.1 | 9.3 to 14.9 | 5.3 to 18.9 | 26% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 17.0 |
| Isabella Shannon | C | 11.7 | 9.0 to 14.4 | 5.0 to 18.4 | 21% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Kellie Gibson | WR | 11.2 | 8.6 to 13.9 | 4.6 to 17.9 | 21% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 12.0 |
| Georgie Cleaver | BPL | 10.4 | 7.8 to 13.0 | 4.0 to 16.8 | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 12.0 |
| Kayla Dalgleish | FPR | 10.0 | 7.4 to 12.6 | 3.7 to 16.3 | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 13.0 |
| Keeley Skepper | INT | 9.1 | 6.6 to 11.5 | 3.0 to 15.2 | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |
| Mia Russo | INT | 9.0 | 6.5 to 11.5 | 2.9 to 15.1 | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 11.0 |
| Belinda Smith | INT | 8.9 | 6.4 to 11.3 | 2.8 to 14.9 | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 11.0 |
| Lauren Wakfer | RK | 8.7 | 6.2 to 11.1 | 2.7 to 14.7 | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |
| Zoe Wakfer | FB | 8.7 | 6.3 to 11.1 | 2.7 to 14.7 | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Amy Franklin | HFFR | 8.5 | 6.1 to 10.9 | 2.5 to 14.4 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 16.0 |
| Jessica Rentsch | INT | 8.2 | 5.8 to 10.6 | 2.3 to 14.1 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |
| Beth Schilling | CHB | 7.5 | 5.2 to 9.8 | 1.8 to 13.2 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Sarah Lakay | INT | 6.5 | 4.3 to 8.7 | 1.1 to 11.9 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Sienna Gerardi | HFFL | 6.5 | 4.4 to 8.7 | 1.2 to 11.9 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
Fremantle
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabrielle Newton | RR | 24.2 | 20.5 to 27.9 | 15.1 to 33.3 | 96% | 80% | 46% | 18% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 23.0 |
| Kiara Bowers | C | 23.7 | 20.1 to 27.4 | 14.7 to 32.8 | 96% | 78% | 43% | 16% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 20.0 |
| Aisling McCarthy | INT | 22.0 | 18.5 to 25.5 | 13.3 to 30.7 | 92% | 68% | 31% | 9% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 28.0 |
| Mim Strom | RK | 18.9 | 15.6 to 22.2 | 10.7 to 27.1 | 78% | 40% | 13% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 23.0 |
| Matilda Banfield | WR | 14.3 | 11.3 to 17.2 | 7.0 to 21.6 | 42% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 12.0 |
| Megan Kauffman | HFFL | 14.1 | 11.1 to 17.0 | 6.8 to 21.3 | 39% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 17.0 |
| Sarah Verrier | HBFL | 13.8 | 10.9 to 16.7 | 6.6 to 21.0 | 37% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 13.0 |
| Aoife Healy | WL | 13.3 | 10.4 to 16.1 | 6.2 to 20.3 | 35% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 14.0 |
| Ashleigh Brazill | FB | 12.9 | 10.1 to 15.8 | 5.9 to 19.9 | 31% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Angelique Stannett | R | 11.8 | 9.0 to 14.5 | 5.0 to 18.5 | 22% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Hayley Miller | CHF | 11.5 | 8.7 to 14.2 | 4.8 to 18.1 | 20% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 14.0 |
| Orlagh Lally | INT | 10.9 | 8.2 to 13.5 | 4.3 to 17.4 | 18% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Gabby O'Sullivan | FPR | 10.6 | 8.0 to 13.2 | 4.1 to 17.1 | 15% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Jessica Low | BPL | 10.2 | 7.6 to 12.7 | 3.8 to 16.5 | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Eden Zanker | FF | 10.1 | 7.5 to 12.7 | 3.7 to 16.4 | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Holly Egan | HBFR | 10.0 | 7.4 to 12.6 | 3.7 to 16.3 | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 12.0 |
| Bella Smith | HFFR | 9.6 | 7.1 to 12.1 | 3.3 to 15.8 | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Indiana West | CHB | 9.4 | 6.9 to 11.9 | 3.2 to 15.6 | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Madeleine Scanlon | INT | 8.8 | 6.4 to 11.3 | 2.8 to 14.8 | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Georgie Brisbane | INT | 6.0 | 3.9 to 8.1 | 0.8 to 11.2 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Noa McNaughton | INT | 5.5 | 3.5 to 7.6 | 0.5 to 10.6 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 8.0 |