AFLW · ROUND 8 · SULLIVAN LOGISTICS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Fremantle
Sun 4 Oct 2026, 5:05pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
FRE by 20
FRE to win, 80% chance
WCE 20%80% FRE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WCE by 12
MISS Actual margin 12 · 31.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Marks: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Roberts | RR | 3.2 | 1.9 to 4.6 | 0.0 to 6.6 | 54% | 37% | 20% | 12% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Emma Swanson | HBFL | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.9 | 46% | 24% | 15% | 6% | 3% | outside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Charlotte Thomas | HBFR | 2.7 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 38% | 23% | 12% | 4% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Isabella Lewis | WL | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 38% | 22% | 10% | 6% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Lucia Painter | R | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 37% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Zoe Wakfer | FB | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 24% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Georgie Cleaver | BPL | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 24% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Beth Schilling | CHB | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 15% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | - |
| Charlotte Riggs | CHF | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 23% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Jaide Britton | FF | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Lauren Wakfer | RK | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 20% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Amy Franklin | HFFR | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Isabella Shannon | C | 1.9 | 0.8 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Kellie Gibson | WR | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Belinda Smith | INT | 1.8 | 0.7 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Jessica Rentsch | INT | 1.1 | 0.2 to 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.2 | 15% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Keeley Skepper | INT | 1.1 | 0.3 to 2.0 | 0.0 to 3.2 | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Kayla Dalgleish | FPR | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Mia Russo | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Sarah Lakay | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Sienna Gerardi | HFFL | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | - |
Fremantle
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiara Bowers | C | 3.4 | 2.0 to 4.8 | 0.0 to 6.8 | 55% | 38% | 23% | 12% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Eden Zanker | FF | 3.1 | 1.8 to 4.5 | 0.0 to 6.4 | 46% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Hayley Miller | CHF | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 6.0 | 46% | 28% | 15% | 6% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Gabrielle Newton | RR | 2.7 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.8 | 38% | 23% | 12% | 4% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Aisling McCarthy | INT | 2.6 | 1.3 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 37% | 20% | 10% | 3% | 2% | outside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Bella Smith | HFFR | 2.6 | 1.3 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 37% | 20% | 10% | 3% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Megan Kauffman | HFFL | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 35% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Aoife Healy | WL | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 37% | 20% | 10% | 6% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Holly Egan | HBFR | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 24% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Ashleigh Brazill | FB | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 27% | 19% | 6% | 2% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Gabby O'Sullivan | FPR | 2.1 | 0.9 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 23% | 15% | 4% | 2% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Mim Strom | RK | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 23% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Jessica Low | BPL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 23% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Matilda Banfield | WR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 23% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Sarah Verrier | HBFL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 24% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Indiana West | CHB | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Orlagh Lally | INT | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 12% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Madeleine Scanlon | INT | 1.6 | 0.6 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 11% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | - |
| Georgie Brisbane | INT | 1.5 | 0.5 to 2.4 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 10% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | - |
| Angelique Stannett | R | 1.1 | 0.2 to 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 12% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Noa McNaughton | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 2.9 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |