AFLW · ROUND 8 · SULLIVAN LOGISTICS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Fremantle
Sun 4 Oct 2026, 5:05pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
FRE by 20
FRE to win, 80% chance
WCE 20%80% FRE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WCE by 12
MISS Actual margin 12 · 31.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Roberts | RR | 7.2 | 5.2 to 9.3 | 2.7 to 11.7 | 96% | 88% | 78% | 71% | 56% | inside our 50% range: 6.0 |
| Lucia Painter | R | 4.3 | 2.7 to 5.9 | 0.8 to 7.8 | 76% | 59% | 47% | 32% | 18% | inside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Jessica Rentsch | INT | 3.5 | 2.1 to 4.9 | 0.3 to 6.6 | 56% | 42% | 27% | 13% | 8% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Charlotte Riggs | CHF | 3.1 | 1.8 to 4.5 | 0.2 to 6.1 | 49% | 32% | 15% | 11% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Isabella Lewis | WL | 3.0 | 1.7 to 4.4 | 0.1 to 6.0 | 53% | 32% | 19% | 11% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Isabella Shannon | C | 3.0 | 1.7 to 4.3 | 0.1 to 5.9 | 49% | 31% | 15% | 8% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Jaide Britton | FF | 3.0 | 1.6 to 4.3 | 0.1 to 5.9 | 48% | 31% | 15% | 8% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Keeley Skepper | INT | 3.0 | 1.6 to 4.3 | 0.1 to 5.9 | 48% | 31% | 15% | 8% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Mia Russo | INT | 3.0 | 1.6 to 4.3 | 0.1 to 5.9 | 49% | 31% | 15% | 8% | 5% | outside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Kayla Dalgleish | FPR | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 56% | 33% | 24% | 11% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Lauren Wakfer | RK | 2.7 | 1.4 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 56% | 37% | 23% | 8% | 5% | outside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Zoe Wakfer | FB | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 46% | 25% | 11% | 7% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Emma Swanson | HBFL | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 49% | 30% | 15% | 8% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Kellie Gibson | WR | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 49% | 31% | 15% | 8% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Amy Franklin | HFFR | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 40% | 24% | 11% | 5% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Charlotte Thomas | HBFR | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 38% | 23% | 11% | 7% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Belinda Smith | INT | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 46% | 24% | 11% | 6% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Sarah Lakay | INT | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 31% | 14% | 7% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Sienna Gerardi | HFFL | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 26% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | - |
| Beth Schilling | CHB | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 38% | 19% | 11% | 5% | 2% | - |
| Georgie Cleaver | BPL | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.7 | 0.0 to 3.9 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
Fremantle
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiara Bowers | C | 10.1 | 7.7 to 12.5 | 4.8 to 15.5 | 100% | 99% | 96% | 91% | 84% | inside our 50% range: 11.0 |
| Gabrielle Newton | RR | 6.0 | 4.1 to 7.8 | 1.9 to 10.1 | 88% | 77% | 68% | 53% | 46% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Angelique Stannett | R | 4.6 | 2.9 to 6.2 | 1.0 to 8.2 | 74% | 57% | 46% | 32% | 22% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Aisling McCarthy | INT | 4.2 | 2.7 to 5.8 | 0.8 to 7.7 | 74% | 56% | 46% | 31% | 16% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Mim Strom | RK | 3.9 | 2.4 to 5.4 | 0.6 to 7.2 | 68% | 49% | 38% | 24% | 14% | inside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Matilda Banfield | WR | 3.3 | 1.9 to 4.7 | 0.3 to 6.4 | 64% | 46% | 27% | 13% | 9% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Hayley Miller | CHF | 3.0 | 1.7 to 4.4 | 0.1 to 6.0 | 56% | 32% | 23% | 11% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Megan Kauffman | HFFL | 3.0 | 1.6 to 4.3 | 0.1 to 5.9 | 49% | 31% | 15% | 8% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Aoife Healy | WL | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 56% | 32% | 23% | 11% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Gabby O'Sullivan | FPR | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 49% | 30% | 14% | 8% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Jessica Low | BPL | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 49% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Madeleine Scanlon | INT | 2.3 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 32% | 19% | 7% | 5% | 4% | - |
| Sarah Verrier | HBFL | 2.3 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 38% | 23% | 8% | 5% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Indiana West | CHB | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 27% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Ashleigh Brazill | FB | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 40% | 22% | 11% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Holly Egan | HBFR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 38% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Orlagh Lally | INT | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 38% | 20% | 11% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Bella Smith | HFFR | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 27% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Noa McNaughton | INT | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 31% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Eden Zanker | FF | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 32% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Georgie Brisbane | INT | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 27% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 2% | - |