AFLW · ROUND 9 · GMHBA STADIUM
Geelong Cats v GWS GIANTS
Sat 10 Oct 2026, 5:05pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GEE by 42
GEE to win, 95% chance
GEE 95%5% GWS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 63
HIT Actual margin 63 · 21.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Geelong Cats
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Morrison | RR | 99 | 84 to 114 | 62 to 136 | 91% | 80% | 65% | 47% | 30% | inside our 50% range: 113 |
| Georgie Prespakis | R | 98 | 83 to 113 | 61 to 135 | 90% | 79% | 64% | 45% | 29% | inside our 90% range: 121 |
| Mikayla Bowen | C | 91 | 76 to 106 | 55 to 127 | 83% | 70% | 52% | 33% | 19% | inside our 90% range: 108 |
| Rebecca Webster | CHB | 72 | 58 to 86 | 39 to 105 | 54% | 35% | 18% | 9% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 87 |
| Amy McDonald | INT | 70 | 56 to 83 | 37 to 102 | 50% | 33% | 15% | 7% | 3% | outside our 90% range: 105 |
| Aishling Moloney | FF | 67 | 54 to 80 | 35 to 99 | 42% | 27% | 13% | 5% | 2% | outside our 90% range: 119 |
| Jacqueline Parry | HFFR | 64 | 51 to 78 | 33 to 96 | 37% | 23% | 10% | 4% | 2% | outside our 90% range: 130 |
| Chantel Emonson | FB | 61 | 48 to 74 | 30 to 92 | 28% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Julia Crockett-Grills | WL | 60 | 47 to 72 | 29 to 90 | 26% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Rachel Kearns | HFFL | 53 | 41 to 66 | 24 to 83 | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Kate Surman | CHF | 52 | 40 to 65 | 23 to 82 | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 26 |
| Emma Murray | WR | 52 | 40 to 64 | 23 to 82 | 14% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Piper Dunlop | RK | 49 | 37 to 61 | 20 to 78 | 14% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Chloe Scheer | FPR | 48 | 36 to 60 | 19 to 76 | 13% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Claudia Gunjaca | BPL | 47 | 35 to 59 | 19 to 76 | 11% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Chantal Mason | INT | 46 | 35 to 58 | 18 to 75 | 10% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Evie Cowcher | HBFL | 45 | 33 to 57 | 17 to 73 | 8% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Jasmin Stewart | INT | 40 | 29 to 52 | 14 to 68 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 21 |
| Annie Lee | INT | 37 | 26 to 48 | 11 to 64 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Alexis Gregor | HBFR | 35 | 24 to 46 | 9 to 61 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Nicola Stevens | INT | 33 | 23 to 44 | 8 to 58 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 27 |
GWS GIANTS
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyce Parker | C | 96 | 81 to 111 | 60 to 133 | 88% | 77% | 60% | 41% | 26% | inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Rebecca Beeson | RR | 81 | 67 to 95 | 47 to 115 | 71% | 52% | 32% | 17% | 9% | inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Tilly Lucas-Rodd | HBFR | 67 | 54 to 80 | 35 to 99 | 42% | 27% | 13% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Cambridge McCormick | HBFL | 66 | 52 to 79 | 34 to 98 | 40% | 24% | 12% | 4% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Madison Brazendale | WL | 57 | 44 to 70 | 27 to 88 | 27% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Eilish O'Dowd | HFFL | 55 | 43 to 68 | 25 to 85 | 22% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Tarni Evans | FF | 55 | 42 to 67 | 25 to 85 | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Yasmeen Janschek | RK | 47 | 35 to 59 | 18 to 75 | 10% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Georgia Garnett | HFFR | 45 | 34 to 57 | 17 to 73 | 8% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Grace Kos | R | 45 | 34 to 57 | 17 to 73 | 8% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Jessica Doyle | CHF | 45 | 33 to 56 | 17 to 72 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Mikayla Pauga | FPR | 43 | 32 to 55 | 16 to 71 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Emily Pease | INT | 43 | 31 to 54 | 15 to 70 | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 32 |
| Sara Howley | INT | 42 | 31 to 54 | 15 to 70 | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Poppy Boltz | FB | 42 | 30 to 53 | 14 to 69 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Alicia Eva | INT | 42 | 30 to 53 | 14 to 69 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 15 |
| Daisy Walker | CHB | 36 | 25 to 47 | 10 to 62 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Grace Martin | INT | 35 | 25 to 46 | 10 to 61 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 13 |
| Isabel Huntington | INT | 35 | 24 to 45 | 9 to 60 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 29 |
| Georgia Clark | WR | 34 | 24 to 45 | 9 to 60 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Caitlin Fletcher | BPL | 31 | 21 to 42 | 6 to 56 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |