AFLW · ROUND 9 · GMHBA STADIUM
Geelong Cats v GWS GIANTS
Sat 10 Oct 2026, 5:05pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GEE by 42
GEE to win, 95% chance
GEE 95%5% GWS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 63
HIT Actual margin 63 · 21.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Geelong Cats
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aishling Moloney | FF | 1.9 | 1.4 to 2.5 | 0.1 to 3.7 | 100% | 57% | 30% | 15% | 8% | outside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Jacqueline Parry | HFFR | 1.3 | 0.8 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 2.8 | 84% | 34% | 15% | 6% | 2% | outside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Chloe Scheer | FPR | 1.0 | 0.6 to 1.4 | 0.0 to 2.3 | 64% | 25% | 11% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Julia Crockett-Grills | WL | 0.9 | 0.5 to 1.3 | 0.0 to 2.2 | 56% | 20% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Rachel Kearns | HFFL | 0.9 | 0.5 to 1.3 | 0.0 to 2.2 | 57% | 22% | 10% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Chantal Mason | INT | 0.6 | 0.3 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.6 | 43% | 15% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Kate Surman | CHF | 0.6 | 0.3 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.6 | 43% | 15% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Georgie Prespakis | R | 0.5 | 0.2 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.3 | 42% | 11% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Nina Morrison | RR | 0.5 | 0.2 to 0.8 | 0.0 to 1.4 | 46% | 15% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Amy McDonald | INT | 0.4 | 0.1 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.2 | 17% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Jasmin Stewart | INT | 0.4 | 0.2 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.3 | 40% | 11% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Mikayla Bowen | C | 0.4 | 0.2 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.3 | 30% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Emma Murray | WR | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 15% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Annie Lee | INT | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 15% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Rebecca Webster | CHB | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 20% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Alexis Gregor | HBFR | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Chantel Emonson | FB | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Evie Cowcher | HBFL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Nicola Stevens | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Piper Dunlop | RK | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 19% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Claudia Gunjaca | BPL | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
GWS GIANTS
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarni Evans | FF | 0.8 | 0.5 to 1.2 | 0.0 to 2.1 | 43% | 20% | 7% | 1% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Georgia Garnett | HFFR | 0.6 | 0.3 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.6 | 43% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Jessica Doyle | CHF | 0.6 | 0.3 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 30% | 15% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Isabel Huntington | INT | 0.4 | 0.2 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.3 | 39% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Mikayla Pauga | FPR | 0.4 | 0.1 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.2 | 39% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Alicia Eva | INT | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 1.0 | 25% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Eilish O'Dowd | HFFL | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 1.0 | 25% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Alyce Parker | C | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 20% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Rebecca Beeson | RR | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 20% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Sara Howley | INT | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 13% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Grace Martin | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Madison Brazendale | WL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 15% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Caitlin Fletcher | BPL | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Cambridge McCormick | HBFL | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Daisy Walker | CHB | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Emily Pease | INT | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Georgia Clark | WR | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Grace Kos | R | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Poppy Boltz | FB | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Tilly Lucas-Rodd | HBFR | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Yasmeen Janschek | RK | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |