AFLW · ROUND 9 · KENNEDY COMMUNITY CENTRE
Hawthorn v Brisbane Lions
Sun 11 Oct 2026, 1:05pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
BRI by 3
BRI to win, 55% chance
HAW 45%55% BRI
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
HAW by 25
MISS Actual margin 25 · 28.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Hawthorn
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza West | R | 23.4 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 89 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Lucy Wales | RK | 19.0 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 87 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Jasmine Fleming | RR | 18.8 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Jenna Richardson | CHB | 14.8 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Mikayla Williamson | WR | 14.4 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Laura Elliott | HBFR | 13.9 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Hayley McLaughlin | C | 13.0 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Jacqueline Dupuy | FPR | 12.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Tamara Smith | BPL | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Aine McDonagh | CHF | 12.2 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.9 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 63 / outside our 90% range: 105 |
| Casey Sherriff | HBFL | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Kaitlyn Ashmore | INT | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Keely Coyne | WL | 10.5 / - | 0.1 / - | 2.0 / - | 2.0 / - | 43 / - |
| Laura Stone | INT | 9.8 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Mackenzie Eardley | HFFR | 9.5 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Poppy Stockwell | FF | 9.3 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 42 / outside our 90% range: 72 |
| Mikaylah Antony | HFFL | 8.8 / - | 0.3 / - | 1.9 / - | 2.6 / - | 42 / - |
| Bridie Hipwell | INT | 7.8 / - | 0.1 / - | 1.0 / - | 2.5 / - | 36 / - |
| Annabelle Embelton | FB | 7.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 33 / inside our 90% range: 17 |
| Daisy Flockart | INT | 7.6 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 38 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Niamh Martin | INT | 6.5 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 32 / inside our 50% range: 25 |
Brisbane Lions
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Anderson | C | 25.0 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.7 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Isabel Dawes | RR | 21.9 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 104 |
| Orla O'Dwyer | WR | 20.4 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Sophie Conway | HFFL | 16.8 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Jennifer Dunne | FB | 16.1 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Natalie Grider | HBFL | 14.7 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Breanna Koenen | BPL | 14.4 / outside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 81 |
| Tahlia Hickie | RK | 13.5 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Catherine Svarc | R | 13.4 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 62 / outside our 90% range: 23 |
| Shannon Campbell | CHB | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Marlo Graham | CHF | 10.8 / - | 0.4 / - | 1.1 / - | 3.0 / - | 45 / - |
| Ruby Svarc | HFFR | 10.4 / - | 0.7 / - | 2.0 / - | 3.1 / - | 48 / - |
| Shanae Davison | WL | 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Sophie Peters | HBFR | 9.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 39 / outside our 90% range: 10 |
| Lily-Rose Williamson | INT | 9.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 39 / outside our 90% range: 0 |
| Asher Fearn-Wannan | INT | 8.5 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 36 / inside our 50% range: 27 |
| Dakota Davidson | FF | 8.5 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Eleanor Hartill | FPR | 8.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 39 / inside our 90% range: 18 |
| Claudia Wright | INT | 7.4 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 31 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Evie Long | INT | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 30 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Rania Crozier | INT | 5.8 / - | 0.2 / - | 1.0 / - | 1.8 / - | 29 / - |