AFLW · ROUND 9 · ALBERTON OVAL
Port Adelaide v West Coast Eagles
Sat 10 Oct 2026, 3:05pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
PA by 5
PA to win, 59% chance
PA 59%41% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
PA by 4
HIT Actual margin 4 · 1.1 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Port Adelaide
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbey Dowrick | C | 21.9 | 18.4 to 25.4 | 13.2 to 30.6 | 92% | 67% | 30% | 8% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 25.0 |
| Ashleigh Woodland | RR | 19.1 | 15.7 to 22.4 | 10.8 to 27.3 | 79% | 42% | 14% | 2% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Matilda Scholz | RK | 18.8 | 15.5 to 22.1 | 10.6 to 27.0 | 78% | 40% | 13% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 15.0 |
| Maria Moloney | R | 15.4 | 12.3 to 18.4 | 7.9 to 22.9 | 55% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Molly Brooksby | HBFR | 13.8 | 10.9 to 16.8 | 6.6 to 21.1 | 37% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 12.0 |
| Shineah Goody | WL | 13.2 | 10.3 to 16.0 | 6.1 to 20.2 | 34% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 10.0 |
| Lauren Young | FPR | 11.6 | 8.9 to 14.3 | 4.9 to 18.3 | 21% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 14.0 |
| Sophie Eaton | WR | 11.4 | 8.7 to 14.1 | 4.7 to 18.1 | 20% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Teagan Germech | BPL | 11.1 | 8.4 to 13.8 | 4.5 to 17.7 | 19% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 16.0 |
| Katelyn Pope | INT | 10.2 | 7.6 to 12.8 | 3.8 to 16.6 | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Kirsty Lamb | INT | 9.7 | 7.2 to 12.3 | 3.5 to 16.0 | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Cheyenne Hammond | HBFL | 9.4 | 6.9 to 11.9 | 3.2 to 15.6 | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
| Ebony O'Dea | CHB | 8.9 | 6.5 to 11.4 | 2.9 to 15.0 | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Justine Mules-Robinson | CHF | 8.4 | 6.0 to 10.8 | 2.5 to 14.3 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 12.0 |
| Piper Window | HFFR | 8.2 | 5.8 to 10.6 | 2.3 to 14.1 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |
| Emily Elkington | HFFL | 8.1 | 5.7 to 10.4 | 2.2 to 13.9 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Gemma Houghton | INT | 7.6 | 5.3 to 9.9 | 1.9 to 13.3 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Amelie Borg | FB | 7.2 | 4.9 to 9.5 | 1.6 to 12.8 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Julia Teakle | FF | 6.9 | 4.6 to 9.1 | 1.4 to 12.3 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Lucy Boyd | INT | 6.5 | 4.3 to 8.7 | 1.1 to 11.9 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Grace Parsons | INT | 5.5 | 3.4 to 7.5 | 0.4 to 10.5 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
West Coast Eagles
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Roberts | RR | 25.5 | 21.8 to 29.3 | 16.2 to 34.8 | 96% | 85% | 57% | 24% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 22.0 |
| Isabella Lewis | WL | 19.7 | 16.3 to 23.1 | 11.4 to 28.1 | 84% | 51% | 18% | 3% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 17.0 |
| Charlotte Thomas | HBFR | 16.4 | 13.3 to 19.5 | 8.7 to 24.1 | 64% | 24% | 7% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 17.0 |
| Emma Swanson | HBFL | 16.2 | 13.1 to 19.4 | 8.5 to 23.9 | 63% | 23% | 6% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 10.0 |
| Jaide Britton | FF | 14.8 | 11.8 to 17.8 | 7.4 to 22.2 | 51% | 16% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 19.0 |
| Lucia Painter | R | 13.3 | 10.4 to 16.2 | 6.2 to 20.4 | 35% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Charlotte Riggs | CHF | 12.4 | 9.6 to 15.2 | 5.5 to 19.3 | 29% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Isabella Shannon | C | 11.7 | 9.0 to 14.5 | 5.0 to 18.5 | 22% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Kellie Gibson | WR | 11.3 | 8.6 to 14.0 | 4.7 to 18.0 | 19% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Georgie Cleaver | BPL | 10.5 | 7.9 to 13.1 | 4.0 to 16.9 | 15% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Kayla Dalgleish | FPR | 10.3 | 7.7 to 12.9 | 3.9 to 16.7 | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Keeley Skepper | INT | 9.1 | 6.6 to 11.6 | 3.0 to 15.2 | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Mia Russo | INT | 9.1 | 6.6 to 11.6 | 3.0 to 15.2 | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Belinda Smith | INT | 8.9 | 6.4 to 11.4 | 2.8 to 15.0 | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Lauren Wakfer | RK | 8.8 | 6.4 to 11.2 | 2.8 to 14.8 | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Amy Franklin | HFFR | 8.7 | 6.3 to 11.1 | 2.7 to 14.7 | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
| Zoe Wakfer | FB | 8.7 | 6.3 to 11.1 | 2.7 to 14.7 | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Jessica Rentsch | INT | 8.3 | 5.9 to 10.7 | 2.4 to 14.2 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Beth Schilling | CHB | 7.6 | 5.3 to 9.9 | 1.9 to 13.3 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Sienna Gerardi | HFFL | 6.8 | 4.6 to 9.0 | 1.3 to 12.3 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Sarah Lakay | INT | 6.6 | 4.4 to 8.7 | 1.2 to 11.9 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |