AFLW · ROUND 9 · ALBERTON OVAL
Port Adelaide v West Coast Eagles
Sat 10 Oct 2026, 3:05pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
PA by 5
PA to win, 59% chance
PA 59%41% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
PA by 4
HIT Actual margin 4 · 1.1 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Port Adelaide
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbey Dowrick | C | 95 | 80 to 110 | 58 to 131 | 87% | 75% | 58% | 39% | 24% | inside our 50% range: 106 |
| Matilda Scholz | RK | 87 | 73 to 102 | 52 to 123 | 79% | 63% | 44% | 28% | 14% | inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Ashleigh Woodland | RR | 81 | 67 to 96 | 47 to 116 | 71% | 52% | 32% | 17% | 9% | inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Maria Moloney | R | 71 | 58 to 85 | 39 to 104 | 52% | 35% | 18% | 9% | 3% | outside our 90% range: 27 |
| Shineah Goody | WL | 61 | 48 to 74 | 30 to 92 | 28% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Molly Brooksby | HBFR | 54 | 42 to 67 | 24 to 84 | 20% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Lauren Young | FPR | 54 | 41 to 66 | 24 to 83 | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Sophie Eaton | WR | 48 | 36 to 60 | 19 to 76 | 13% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Teagan Germech | BPL | 45 | 33 to 56 | 17 to 73 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Katelyn Pope | INT | 45 | 33 to 56 | 17 to 72 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Kirsty Lamb | INT | 44 | 33 to 56 | 17 to 72 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Emily Elkington | HFFL | 44 | 33 to 56 | 16 to 72 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 19 |
| Piper Window | HFFR | 40 | 29 to 51 | 13 to 67 | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Ebony O'Dea | CHB | 40 | 28 to 51 | 13 to 66 | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Justine Mules-Robinson | CHF | 39 | 28 to 50 | 13 to 66 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Cheyenne Hammond | HBFL | 39 | 28 to 50 | 12 to 66 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 30 |
| Gemma Houghton | INT | 39 | 28 to 50 | 12 to 66 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Julia Teakle | FF | 35 | 24 to 46 | 9 to 61 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Amelie Borg | FB | 32 | 22 to 43 | 7 to 58 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 20 |
| Lucy Boyd | INT | 31 | 21 to 41 | 6 to 56 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Grace Parsons | INT | 29 | 19 to 40 | 5 to 54 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
West Coast Eagles
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Roberts | RR | 102 | 86 to 117 | 64 to 139 | 92% | 83% | 70% | 52% | 33% | inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Isabella Lewis | WL | 72 | 59 to 86 | 39 to 105 | 54% | 37% | 20% | 9% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Lucia Painter | R | 63 | 50 to 76 | 31 to 94 | 35% | 20% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Charlotte Thomas | HBFR | 61 | 48 to 74 | 30 to 92 | 28% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Charlotte Riggs | CHF | 59 | 46 to 71 | 28 to 89 | 25% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Emma Swanson | HBFL | 58 | 46 to 71 | 28 to 89 | 24% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 24 |
| Jaide Britton | FF | 58 | 45 to 70 | 27 to 88 | 23% | 11% | 5% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Isabella Shannon | C | 49 | 37 to 61 | 20 to 78 | 14% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 20 |
| Kellie Gibson | WR | 49 | 37 to 61 | 20 to 77 | 13% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Lauren Wakfer | RK | 48 | 36 to 60 | 20 to 77 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 11 |
| Kayla Dalgleish | FPR | 46 | 34 to 58 | 18 to 74 | 10% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Amy Franklin | HFFR | 45 | 34 to 57 | 17 to 74 | 8% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Keeley Skepper | INT | 42 | 31 to 54 | 15 to 70 | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 22 |
| Georgie Cleaver | BPL | 40 | 29 to 51 | 13 to 67 | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Jessica Rentsch | INT | 40 | 28 to 51 | 13 to 66 | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 9 |
| Belinda Smith | INT | 39 | 28 to 50 | 12 to 65 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 12 |
| Zoe Wakfer | FB | 38 | 27 to 49 | 12 to 65 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 26 |
| Mia Russo | INT | 37 | 26 to 48 | 11 to 64 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Sarah Lakay | INT | 36 | 26 to 47 | 10 to 62 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Beth Schilling | CHB | 35 | 24 to 46 | 9 to 61 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 23 |
| Sienna Gerardi | HFFL | 33 | 22 to 43 | 8 to 58 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | - |