AFLW · ROUND 9 · ALBERTON OVAL
Port Adelaide v West Coast Eagles
Sat 10 Oct 2026, 3:05pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
PA by 5
PA to win, 59% chance
PA 59%41% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
PA by 4
HIT Actual margin 4 · 1.1 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Port Adelaide
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbey Dowrick | C | 6.5 | 4.5 to 8.4 | 2.2 to 10.7 | 91% | 84% | 71% | 56% | 49% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
| Maria Moloney | R | 6.3 | 4.4 to 8.2 | 2.1 to 10.5 | 91% | 84% | 71% | 56% | 49% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Ashleigh Woodland | RR | 5.3 | 3.6 to 7.1 | 1.4 to 9.2 | 84% | 72% | 56% | 40% | 31% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Emily Elkington | HFFL | 4.3 | 2.7 to 5.9 | 0.8 to 7.8 | 75% | 57% | 47% | 32% | 18% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Shineah Goody | WL | 4.2 | 2.7 to 5.8 | 0.8 to 7.7 | 74% | 56% | 46% | 31% | 16% | inside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Kirsty Lamb | INT | 3.4 | 2.0 to 4.8 | 0.3 to 6.5 | 53% | 40% | 24% | 11% | 7% | - |
| Sophie Eaton | WR | 3.1 | 1.7 to 4.4 | 0.1 to 6.0 | 56% | 32% | 24% | 11% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Piper Window | HFFR | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 5.8 | 41% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 5% | outside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Matilda Scholz | RK | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 56% | 33% | 23% | 11% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Lucy Boyd | INT | 2.6 | 1.3 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 40% | 24% | 11% | 6% | 4% | - |
| Ebony O'Dea | CHB | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 40% | 24% | 9% | 5% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Katelyn Pope | INT | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 46% | 24% | 11% | 6% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Lauren Young | FPR | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 40% | 24% | 11% | 5% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Teagan Germech | BPL | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 40% | 24% | 11% | 5% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Grace Parsons | INT | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 27% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 2% | - |
| Molly Brooksby | HBFR | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Cheyenne Hammond | HBFL | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 31% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Justine Mules-Robinson | CHF | 1.9 | 0.8 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.2 | 27% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Amelie Borg | FB | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Gemma Houghton | INT | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.7 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 20% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Julia Teakle | FF | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.7 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
West Coast Eagles
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Roberts | RR | 7.4 | 5.3 to 9.4 | 2.8 to 11.9 | 96% | 90% | 80% | 71% | 56% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Lucia Painter | R | 4.4 | 2.8 to 6.0 | 0.9 to 7.9 | 77% | 62% | 49% | 32% | 22% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Jessica Rentsch | INT | 3.5 | 2.1 to 5.0 | 0.4 to 6.7 | 59% | 46% | 28% | 15% | 8% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Charlotte Riggs | CHF | 3.2 | 1.8 to 4.6 | 0.2 to 6.2 | 56% | 40% | 24% | 11% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Isabella Lewis | WL | 3.1 | 1.7 to 4.4 | 0.1 to 6.1 | 49% | 31% | 15% | 10% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Isabella Shannon | C | 3.0 | 1.7 to 4.4 | 0.1 to 6.0 | 56% | 32% | 23% | 11% | 7% | outside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Jaide Britton | FF | 3.0 | 1.7 to 4.3 | 0.1 to 5.9 | 53% | 32% | 16% | 9% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Keeley Skepper | INT | 3.0 | 1.7 to 4.4 | 0.1 to 6.0 | 53% | 32% | 19% | 11% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Mia Russo | INT | 3.0 | 1.7 to 4.3 | 0.1 to 5.9 | 53% | 32% | 16% | 9% | 6% | - |
| Kayla Dalgleish | FPR | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 61% | 40% | 24% | 13% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Lauren Wakfer | RK | 2.7 | 1.5 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 49% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Kellie Gibson | WR | 2.6 | 1.3 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 42% | 24% | 11% | 7% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Zoe Wakfer | FB | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 49% | 31% | 15% | 7% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Charlotte Thomas | HBFR | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 46% | 27% | 13% | 7% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Emma Swanson | HBFL | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 53% | 32% | 15% | 9% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Amy Franklin | HFFR | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 46% | 27% | 11% | 6% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Belinda Smith | INT | 2.3 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 32% | 16% | 7% | 5% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Sarah Lakay | INT | 2.3 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 32% | 20% | 8% | 5% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Sienna Gerardi | HFFL | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 38% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | - |
| Beth Schilling | CHB | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 24% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Georgie Cleaver | BPL | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |