AFLW · ROUND 9 · IKON PARK
Richmond v Adelaide Crows
Sat 10 Oct 2026, 7:15pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
ADE by 25
ADE to win, 85% chance
RIC 15%85% ADE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
ADE by 32
HIT Actual margin 32 · 7.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Richmond
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie McKenzie | RR | 22.0 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 109 |
| Isabel Bacon | WL | 15.8 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 85 |
| Sierra Grieves | HFFR | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 54 / outside our 90% range: 87 |
| Montana Beruldsen | CHB | 13.7 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Dana East | INT | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Libby Graham | HBFL | 12.6 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Katie Brennan | WR | 12.1 / - | 0.5 / - | 2.5 / - | 2.5 / - | 51 / - |
| Laura McClelland | BPL | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Rebecca Miller | FB | 10.9 / - | 0.0 / - | 2.5 / - | 1.6 / - | 43 / - |
| Emelia Yassir | R | 10.8 / - | 0.5 / - | 2.0 / - | 3.8 / - | 50 / - |
| Charli Wicksteed | C | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Olivia Wolmarans | FF | 10.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Caitlin Greiser | FPR | 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 57 / outside our 90% range: 24 |
| Gabby Seymour | CHF | 10.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Poppy Kelly | RK | 9.0 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Baia Pugh | INT | 8.8 / - | 0.1 / - | 1.3 / - | 2.2 / - | 35 / - |
| Beth Lynch | INT | 8.8 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 40 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Aoibhin Cleary | INT | 8.1 / - | 0.4 / - | 1.2 / - | 1.9 / - | 36 / - |
| Mackenzie Ford | HFFL | 7.9 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 43 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Fina Dethlefsen | HBFR | 7.1 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 33 / inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Georgia Stubs | INT | 7.1 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 32 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
Adelaide Crows
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebony Marinoff | R | 26.7 / outside our 90% range: 39.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 10.0 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 117 / outside our 90% range: 169 |
| Madison Newman | WL | 21.3 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Sarah Goodwin | C | 20.3 / outside our 90% range: 30.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 91 |
| Grace Egan | HFFR | 19.4 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 94 |
| Teah Charlton | RR | 16.0 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 6.9 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Niamh Kelly | WR | 15.5 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Chelsea Biddell | CHB | 14.8 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Grace Kelly | CHF | 13.4 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Hannah Munyard | FPR | 11.9 / - | 0.5 / - | 2.1 / - | 2.8 / - | 52 / - |
| Jemmika Douglas | BPL | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Chloe Bown | INT | 11.4 / outside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 48 / outside our 90% range: 93 |
| India Rasheed | HFFL | 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Caitlin Gould | FF | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Eloise Jones | HBFL | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Sarah Allan | FB | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Jess Allan | RK | 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Keeley Kustermann | HBFR | 8.4 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 38 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Amy Boyle-Carr | INT | 7.6 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 35 / inside our 50% range: 29 |
| Lucy Waye | INT | 6.8 / - | 0.3 / - | 1.0 / - | 2.1 / - | 31 / - |
| Olivia Gorman | INT | 6.5 / - | 0.1 / - | 1.1 / - | 1.9 / - | 30 / - |
| Kayleigh Cronin | INT | 5.7 / - | 0.1 / - | 1.1 / - | 1.9 / - | 30 / - |