AFLW · ROUND 9 · RSEA PARK
St Kilda v Collingwood
Sat 10 Oct 2026, 1:05pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
COL by 7
COL to win, 61% chance
STK 39%61% COL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
STK by 2
MISS Actual margin 2 · 8.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
St Kilda
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyanna Smith | R | 20.4 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 91 |
| Jaimee Lambert | RR | 19.6 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 77 / inside our 90% range: 106 |
| Georgia Patrikios | HFFR | 18.3 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Serene Watson | HBFL | 17.5 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Ashleigh Richards | HFFL | 14.9 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Nicola Barr | WL | 14.5 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Molly McDonald | C | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Paige Trudgeon | FB | 12.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Charlotte Baskaran | WR | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Alana Gee | INT | 11.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 20 |
| Jesse Tawhiao-Wardlaw | FF | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Bianca Jakobsson | CHB | 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 40 / inside our 50% range: 31 |
| Maya Louvel-Finn | HBFR | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 39 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Zoe Besanko | RK | 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Ella Friend | BPL | 8.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 34 / inside our 90% range: 22 |
| Kyla Forbes | FPR | 8.3 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 35 / inside our 50% range: 31 |
| Jade McLay | CHF | 7.9 / - | 1.1 / - | 1.1 / - | 1.9 / - | 37 / - |
| Rene Caris | INT | 7.5 / - | 0.1 / - | 1.0 / - | 2.4 / - | 39 / - |
| Darcy Guttridge | INT | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 32 / inside our 50% range: 27 |
| Carys D'Addario | INT | 6.0 / - | 0.1 / - | 1.0 / - | 1.9 / - | 30 / - |
| Saoirse Lally | INT | 5.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 29 / inside our 90% range: 5 |
Collingwood
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Bonnici | RR | 20.0 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Tarni White | WL | 19.5 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Airlie Runnalls | WR | 18.6 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Sarah Rowe | INT | 14.8 / - | 0.2 / - | 1.9 / - | 2.3 / - | 53 / - |
| Carly Remmos | HFFR | 14.7 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Lucille Cronin | CHB | 14.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Dominique Carbone | INT | 14.0 / - | 0.2 / - | 1.2 / - | 4.2 / - | 56 / - |
| Jordyn Allen | HBFR | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 71 |
| Ashley Centra | R | 13.8 / outside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Ruby Schleicher | FF | 12.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 59 / outside our 90% range: 23 |
| Amber Schutte | BPL | 11.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Violet Patterson | HFFL | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Mattea Breed | FPR | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Ariana Hetherington | FB | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Jemma Rigoni | C | 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Sabrina Frederick | INT | 9.2 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 44 / outside our 90% range: 74 |
| Josephine Bamford | RK | 9.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Eliza James | HBFL | 8.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 41 / inside our 50% range: 33 |
| Olivia Lewis | CHF | 8.1 / - | 0.5 / - | 1.1 / - | 2.0 / - | 36 / - |
| Imogen Trengove | INT | 6.9 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 29 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Zara Neuwirth | INT | 6.1 / - | 0.1 / - | 1.0 / - | 1.8 / - | 29 / - |