HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFLW2026 Round 9SYD v CAR
AFLW · ROUND 9 · HENSON PARK

Sydney Swans v Carlton

Sun 11 Oct 2026, 3:05pm AEDT (venue time)

FINAL HIT
OUR TIP

CAR by 8

CAR to win, 63% chance

SYD 37%63% CAR
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

CAR by 27

HIT Actual margin 27 · 19.5 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 21 Sep 2026

Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.

Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Sydney Swans

PROJECTED
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Laura Gardiner INT 22.5 / inside our 90% range: 27.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.9 / outside our 90% range: 6.05.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.086 / inside our 90% range: 106
Zippy Fish HBFL 20.4 / inside our 90% range: 24.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.04.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.077 / inside our 90% range: 93
Montana Ham R 20.1 / inside our 90% range: 27.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.02.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.05.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.079 / inside our 90% range: 104
Tanya Kennedy RR 18.7 / inside our 50% range: 20.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.07.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.081 / inside our 50% range: 87
Chloe Molloy FF 15.4 / inside our 90% range: 19.00.6 / outside our 90% range: 3.02.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.068 / inside our 90% range: 90
Lucy McEvoy C 15.4 / inside our 50% range: 18.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.04.2 / outside our 90% range: 0.064 / inside our 50% range: 55
Ally Morphett RK 15.1 / -0.1 / -3.4 / -2.7 / -73 / -
Lulu Pullar WL 11.7 / inside our 90% range: 15.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.047 / inside our 90% range: 62
Emma Juneja WR 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.048 / inside our 90% range: 34
Cynthia Hamilton CHF 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.00.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.048 / inside our 90% range: 33
Alexia Hamilton CHB 10.9 / inside our 90% range: 16.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.047 / inside our 50% range: 57
Lara Hausegger FB 10.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.043 / inside our 90% range: 23
Taylor Smith FPR 9.2 / inside our 90% range: 12.00.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.051 / inside our 50% range: 60
Julie O'Sullivan HBFR 8.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.02.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.037 / inside our 50% range: 33
Paris McCarthy HFFL 8.4 / inside our 90% range: 12.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.03.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.041 / inside our 50% range: 44
Holly Cooper HFFR 8.1 / inside our 90% range: 11.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.02.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.039 / inside our 90% range: 53
Jas Grierson INT 8.0 / -0.1 / -1.8 / -1.7 / -34 / -
Imogen Brown INT 7.9 / inside our 90% range: 13.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.036 / inside our 50% range: 44
Ash Van Loon BPL 7.6 / inside our 50% range: 9.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.034 / inside our 50% range: 37
Sarah Grunden INT 7.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.02.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.033 / inside our 50% range: 40
Maddie Quinn INT 6.6 / inside our 90% range: 9.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.034 / inside our 50% range: 40

Carlton

PROJECTED
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Abbie McKay R 22.8 / inside our 90% range: 14.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.04.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.082 / outside our 90% range: 38
Dayna Finn WR 22.2 / inside our 50% range: 25.00.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.03.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.081 / inside our 50% range: 80
Mimi Hill RR 21.7 / inside our 90% range: 17.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.074 / inside our 90% range: 45
Claudia Whitfort C 21.6 / inside our 90% range: 13.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.06.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.082 / inside our 90% range: 59
Erone Fitzpatrick HFFL 18.6 / inside our 90% range: 23.00.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.04.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.075 / inside our 50% range: 75
Harriet Cordner BPL 18.4 / inside our 90% range: 15.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.068 / inside our 90% range: 51
Keeley Sherar HFFR 15.7 / inside our 50% range: 15.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.04.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.064 / inside our 50% range: 55
Amelia Velardo HBFR 15.3 / outside our 90% range: 23.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.9 / outside our 90% range: 7.02.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.056 / inside our 90% range: 77
Ciara Fitzgerald HBFL 13.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.052 / inside our 50% range: 52
Jessica Good RK 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.068 / inside our 90% range: 52
Lily Goss INT 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.03.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.054 / inside our 50% range: 52
Sophie McKay FPR 12.0 / outside our 90% range: 20.00.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.050 / inside our 90% range: 75
Poppy Scholz CHF 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.00.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.053 / inside our 50% range: 49
Siofra O'Connell CHB 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 9.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.043 / inside our 90% range: 31
Yasmin Duursma WL 10.3 / inside our 90% range: 16.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.02.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.043 / outside our 90% range: 71
Lila Keck INT 8.8 / -0.6 / -1.8 / -2.7 / -41 / -
Nell Morris-Dalton FF 8.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.00.9 / outside our 90% range: 4.02.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.01.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.044 / outside our 90% range: 76
Brooke Vickers INT 7.3 / outside our 90% range: 14.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.033 / inside our 50% range: 43
Madeline Hendrie FB 7.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.01.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.032 / inside our 50% range: 28
Tara Bohanna INT 6.7 / -0.6 / -1.8 / -1.6 / -33 / -
Lauren Bella INT 6.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.033 / inside our 90% range: 15