AFLW · ROUND 9 · MISSION WHITTEN OVAL
Western Bulldogs v Essendon
Fri 9 Oct 2026, 7:15pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
WB by 25
WB to win, 85% chance
WB 85%15% ESS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WB by 43
HIT Actual margin 43 · 17.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Western Bulldogs
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabelle Pritchard | C | 94 | 79 to 109 | 58 to 130 | 86% | 73% | 56% | 37% | 22% | inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Jess Fitzgerald | HBFR | 76 | 62 to 89 | 42 to 109 | 59% | 41% | 26% | 12% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Ellie Blackburn | FPR | 75 | 61 to 89 | 42 to 108 | 58% | 40% | 26% | 11% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Alice Edmonds | RK | 73 | 59 to 86 | 40 to 106 | 55% | 38% | 21% | 10% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Mikala Cann | RR | 64 | 51 to 78 | 33 to 96 | 38% | 23% | 10% | 4% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 90 |
| Rylie Wilcox | WR | 57 | 44 to 70 | 27 to 87 | 26% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Emma McDonald | FF | 57 | 44 to 69 | 26 to 87 | 26% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Elle Bennetts | CHB | 54 | 42 to 67 | 25 to 84 | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Britney Gutknecht | INT | 54 | 42 to 66 | 24 to 84 | 20% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | - |
| Elisabeth Georgostathis | INT | 54 | 42 to 66 | 24 to 84 | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Jasmyn Smith | WL | 52 | 39 to 64 | 22 to 81 | 14% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Ellie Gavalas | INT | 51 | 39 to 63 | 22 to 80 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Heidi Woodley | HFFR | 50 | 38 to 62 | 21 to 79 | 16% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Cleo Buttifant | R | 50 | 38 to 62 | 21 to 79 | 15% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 81 |
| Kaylee Kimber | BPL | 47 | 35 to 59 | 19 to 76 | 11% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Elaine Grigg | HFFL | 47 | 35 to 58 | 18 to 75 | 10% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Sarah Hartwig | CHF | 46 | 34 to 57 | 17 to 74 | 9% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 87 |
| Vaomua Laloifi | FB | 42 | 31 to 53 | 15 to 69 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Isabella Grant | HBFL | 42 | 30 to 53 | 14 to 69 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 33 |
| Dominique Carruthers | INT | 40 | 28 to 51 | 13 to 66 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Louise Stephenson | INT | 39 | 28 to 50 | 12 to 65 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
Essendon
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Prespakis | C | 98 | 82 to 113 | 61 to 134 | 89% | 79% | 63% | 44% | 29% | inside our 50% range: 93 |
| Amy Gaylor | RR | 78 | 63 to 92 | 44 to 111 | 62% | 44% | 30% | 14% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Stephanie Wales | RK | 70 | 56 to 83 | 37 to 102 | 49% | 33% | 14% | 7% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 87 |
| Georgia Nanscawen | INT | 67 | 54 to 81 | 35 to 99 | 42% | 27% | 13% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Bonnie Toogood | CHF | 65 | 52 to 78 | 33 to 96 | 38% | 23% | 10% | 4% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 88 |
| Stephanie Cain | R | 58 | 45 to 70 | 27 to 88 | 22% | 11% | 5% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Mia Busch | HFFL | 54 | 42 to 67 | 25 to 84 | 21% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 24 |
| Georgia Gee | WR | 54 | 42 to 66 | 24 to 84 | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 71 |
| Bess Keaney | INT | 50 | 38 to 63 | 21 to 80 | 16% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Georgia Clarke | INT | 48 | 36 to 59 | 19 to 76 | 11% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Chloe Adams | FPR | 47 | 35 to 59 | 19 to 75 | 10% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Holly Ridewood | CHB | 46 | 34 to 58 | 18 to 74 | 9% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Alexandra Morcom | HBFR | 45 | 34 to 57 | 17 to 73 | 8% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 23 |
| Sophie Van De Heuvel | HBFL | 45 | 33 to 57 | 17 to 73 | 8% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Grace Belloni | HFFR | 45 | 33 to 56 | 17 to 72 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Zoe Prowse | FB | 42 | 30 to 53 | 14 to 69 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Emily Gough | FF | 42 | 30 to 53 | 14 to 69 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Maggie MacLachlan | WL | 40 | 28 to 51 | 13 to 66 | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Matilda Dyke | BPL | 38 | 27 to 49 | 11 to 64 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 26 |
| Nalu Brothwell | INT | 33 | 23 to 44 | 8 to 59 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Madison Ibrahim | INT | 28 | 18 to 38 | 4 to 52 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |