AFL · OPENING ROUND · ENGIE STADIUM
GWS GIANTS v Hawthorn
Sat 7 Mar 2026, 4:15pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
GWS by 4
GWS to win, 55% chance
GWS 55%45% HAW
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GWS by 27
HIT Actual margin 27 · 23.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachie Whitfield | CHB | 28.8 / 27.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.7 / 5.0 | 4.4 / 1.0 | 104 / 87 |
| Finn Callaghan | R | 27.5 / 26.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 1.0 | 6.1 / 4.0 | 97 / 86 |
| Lachie Ash | HBFR | 26.1 / 20.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.1 / 8.0 | 3.8 / 1.0 | 98 / 84 |
| Clayton Oliver | C | 25.0 / 26.0 | 0.2 / 1.0 | 2.9 / 3.0 | 6.8 / 4.0 | 89 / 89 |
| Connor Idun | BPR | 18.5 / 13.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 6.3 / 5.0 | 3.7 / 2.0 | 74 / 61 |
| Harry Himmelberg | INT | 18.5 / 19.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.2 / 5.0 | 3.6 / 2.0 | 78 / 66 |
| Stephen Coniglio | RR | 16.9 / 22.0 | 0.4 / 2.0 | 2.4 / 6.0 | 5.5 / 2.0 | 61 / 94 |
| Toby Greene | FPL | 15.4 / 20.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 3.5 / 1.0 | 4.9 / 5.0 | 76 / 77 |
| Ryan Angwin | WL | 15.1 / 12.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 3.1 / 1.0 | 5.1 / 5.0 | 63 / 52 |
| Jayden Laverde | BPL | 14.8 / 14.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.8 / 7.0 | 3.1 / 2.0 | 66 / 64 |
| Xavier O'Halloran | INT | 12.9 / 9.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.7 / 4.0 | 4.7 / 1.0 | 57 / 36 |
| Kieren Briggs | RK | 12.1 / 9.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 2.2 / 0.0 | 6.7 / 5.0 | 72 / 67 |
| Jack Buckley | FB | 11.9 / 12.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.5 / 6.0 | 3.9 / 2.0 | 58 / 60 |
| Jake Stringer | FPR | 11.5 / 14.0 | 1.5 / 5.0 | 3.1 / 5.0 | 4.3 / 2.0 | 62 / 97 |
| Harry Rowston | INT | 11.3 / 15.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 3.2 / 6.0 | 5.9 / 0.0 | 57 / 63 |
| Phoenix Gothard | HFFL | 11.3 / 10.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 3.2 / 1.0 | 5.9 / 3.0 | 57 / 46 |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 11.2 / 20.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.5 / 4.0 | 4.6 / 1.0 | 52 / 68 |
| Joe Fonti | HBFL | 11.1 / 22.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 9.0 | 3.8 / 1.0 | 51 / 90 |
| Jake Riccardi | CHF | 10.9 / 17.0 | 1.3 / 3.0 | 4.5 / 7.0 | 4.0 / 4.0 | 61 / 95 |
| Jesse Hogan | FF | 10.9 / 8.0 | 3.7 / 3.0 | 5.6 / 3.0 | 3.0 / 1.0 | 67 / 52 |
| Josaia Delana | HFFR | 10.7 / 6.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 0.0 | 5.7 / 1.0 | 49 / 13 |
| Callum Brown | INT | 10.6 / 10.0 | 1.1 / 1.0 | 3.3 / 1.0 | 3.7 / 1.0 | 56 / 37 |
Hawthorn
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jai Newcombe | RR | 25.7 / 25.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 4.3 / 4.0 | 6.5 / 3.0 | 95 / 83 |
| James Sicily | CHB | 21.0 / 23.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 6.8 / 5.0 | 3.3 / 2.0 | 87 / 89 |
| Josh Battle | HBFL | 19.5 / 20.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.5 / 7.0 | 3.3 / 1.0 | 81 / 77 |
| Conor Nash | C | 19.2 / 17.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 2.6 / 2.0 | 7.5 / 3.0 | 77 / 61 |
| Massimo D'Ambrosio | INT | 19.2 / 17.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 5.2 / 1.0 | 3.8 / 0.0 | 77 / 47 |
| Harry Morrison | INT | 18.4 / 17.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 4.6 / 6.0 | 4.6 / 2.0 | 72 / 69 |
| Jarman Impey | WR | 16.8 / 18.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.6 / 3.0 | 3.7 / 3.0 | 68 / 68 |
| Dylan Moore | WL | 16.3 / 13.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 1.0 | 5.2 / 2.0 | 70 / 43 |
| Jack Ginnivan | CHF | 15.9 / 17.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 | 3.5 / 6.0 | 4.1 / 1.0 | 66 / 82 |
| Jack Scrimshaw | BPR | 15.9 / 20.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.9 / 5.0 | 3.3 / 0.0 | 71 / 67 |
| Josh Ward | R | 15.3 / 18.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 4.2 / 6.0 | 3.9 / 2.0 | 57 / 73 |
| Josh Weddle | HBFR | 14.7 / 14.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 3.0 | 3.4 / 1.0 | 62 / 49 |
| Connor Macdonald | INT | 14.3 / 20.0 | 1.1 / 0.0 | 4.5 / 3.0 | 4.8 / 4.0 | 68 / 79 |
| Blake Hardwick | BPL | 13.9 / 12.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 5.5 / 2.0 | 3.4 / 2.0 | 64 / 46 |
| Finn Maginness | HFFL | 13.9 / 8.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 1.0 | 3.9 / 1.0 | 56 / 25 |
| Lloyd Meek | RK | 13.9 / 6.0 | 0.5 / 1.0 | 2.4 / 2.0 | 5.3 / 3.0 | 81 / 70 |
| Tom Barrass | FB | 12.3 / 8.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.9 / 3.0 | 3.0 / 0.0 | 57 / 22 |
| Jack Gunston | FPR | 10.9 / 7.0 | 2.0 / 4.0 | 5.3 / 4.0 | 3.3 / 2.0 | 66 / 62 |
| Sam Butler | INT | 10.6 / 10.0 | 0.7 / 2.0 | 3.1 / 2.0 | 4.0 / 1.0 | 50 / 50 |
| Nick Watson | HFFR | 10.1 / 17.0 | 1.5 / 2.0 | 3.0 / 0.0 | 3.9 / 4.0 | 52 / 72 |
| Mabior Chol | FF | 9.9 / 9.0 | 1.9 / 2.0 | 4.4 / 3.0 | 3.9 / 1.0 | 64 / 56 |
| Mitch Lewis | FPL | 8.9 / 10.0 | 1.4 / 1.0 | 3.5 / 6.0 | 4.6 / 3.0 | 56 / 67 |