Gold Coast SUNS v Geelong Cats

Fri 6 Mar 2026, 7:05pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL MISS

OUR TIPNEW MODEL

GEE by 2

GEE to win, 52% chance

GCS 48%52% GEE

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

GCS by 56

MISS Actual margin 56 · 57.8 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Gold Coast SUNS

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	1+	2+	3+	4+	5+	ACTUAL
Ben King	FF	2.3	-	-	96%	66%	20%	2%	0%	4.0
Ben Long	INT	1.9	-	-	88%	45%	8%	0%	0%	2.0
Christian Petracca	HFFL	1.0	-	-	51%	11%	1%	0%	0%	3.0
Ethan Read	FPL	0.9	-	-	44%	8%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Will Graham	HFFR	0.9	-	-	43%	7%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Bailey Humphrey	CHF	0.7	-	-	38%	6%	0%	0%	0%	4.0
Touk Miller	R	0.7	-	-	34%	5%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Zeke Uwland	INT	0.6	-	-	30%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Lachie Weller	WL	0.5	-	-	25%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Leonardo Lombard	FPR	0.4	-	-	23%	2%	0%	0%	0%	2.0
Noah Anderson	RR	0.4	-	-	21%	2%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Sam Clohesy	WR	0.4	-	-	23%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Alex Davies	INT	0.3	-	-	18%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jarrod Witts	RK	0.3	-	-	18%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Daniel Rioli	CHB	0.2	-	-	17%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Joel Jeffrey	HBFR	0.2	-	-	14%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Mac Andrew	BPL	0.2	-	-	16%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Oscar Adams	INT	0.2	-	-	14%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Bodhi Uwland	FB	0.1	-	-	12%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
John Noble	HBFL	0.1	-	-	13%	1%	0%	0%	0%	2.0
Wil Powell	C	0.1	-	-	13%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Sam Collins	BPR	-0.0	-	-	10%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0

Geelong Cats

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	1+	2+	3+	4+	5+	ACTUAL
Oliver Henry	FPL	1.2	-	-	60%	16%	1%	0%	0%	2.0
Shannon Neale	FF	1.2	-	-	61%	16%	1%	0%	0%	1.0
Jack Martin	FPR	1.1	-	-	57%	14%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Shaun Mannagh	CHF	1.0	-	-	48%	9%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Oliver Dempsey	WL	0.9	-	-	47%	9%	0%	0%	0%	4.0
Brad Close	HFFL	0.6	-	-	29%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Mitch Knevitt	INT	0.6	-	-	30%	4%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Gryan Miers	HFFR	0.5	-	-	25%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
James Worpel	INT	0.4	-	-	23%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Max Holmes	C	0.4	-	-	21%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Bailey Smith	R	0.3	-	-	20%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Mark Blicavs	RK	0.3	-	-	18%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Tanner Bruhn	INT	0.2	-	-	17%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Oisin Mullin	INT	0.1	-	-	12%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Sam De Koning	FB	0.1	-	-	12%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Tom Atkins	RR	0.1	-	-	14%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Connor O'Sullivan	BPL	-0.0	-	-	10%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jack Henry	BPR	-0.0	-	-	10%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Lawson Humphries	HBFR	0.0	-	-	11%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Mark O'Connor	WR	0.0	-	-	11%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Tom Stewart	CHB	0.0	-	-	10%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Zach Guthrie	HBFL	0.0	-	-	11%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0