AFL · OPENING ROUND · PEOPLE FIRST STADIUM
Gold Coast SUNS v Geelong Cats
Fri 6 Mar 2026, 7:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
GEE by 2
GEE to win, 52% chance
GCS 48%52% GEE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GCS by 56
MISS Actual margin 56 · 57.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Anderson | RR | 28.8 / 24.0 | 0.4 / 1.0 | 4.4 / 5.0 | 5.6 / 3.0 | 99 / 100 |
| Touk Miller | R | 25.6 / 30.0 | 0.7 / 1.0 | 3.1 / 3.0 | 6.0 / 6.0 | 96 / 109 |
| Christian Petracca | HFFL | 25.1 / 34.0 | 1.0 / 3.0 | 4.2 / 5.0 | 5.9 / 2.0 | 93 / 121 |
| John Noble | HBFL | 23.9 / 28.0 | 0.1 / 2.0 | 5.2 / 6.0 | 4.2 / 3.0 | 93 / 115 |
| Daniel Rioli | CHB | 20.6 / 24.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 3.8 / 4.0 | 4.3 / 3.0 | 76 / 90 |
| Alex Davies | INT | 17.6 / 17.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 | 7.2 / 8.0 | 66 / 60 |
| Bodhi Uwland | FB | 16.8 / 19.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 3.0 | 3.6 / 2.0 | 66 / 57 |
| Lachie Weller | WL | 16.6 / 21.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 3.1 / 2.0 | 4.0 / 3.0 | 67 / 71 |
| Wil Powell | C | 16.6 / 19.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.0 / 2.0 | 3.9 / 5.0 | 71 / 69 |
| Bailey Humphrey | CHF | 15.8 / 15.0 | 0.7 / 4.0 | 2.3 / 4.0 | 5.4 / 3.0 | 70 / 86 |
| Joel Jeffrey | HBFR | 15.7 / 22.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 3.4 / 5.0 | 4.5 / 2.0 | 64 / 80 |
| Sam Clohesy | WR | 15.2 / 19.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.7 / 5.0 | 3.8 / 1.0 | 67 / 64 |
| Mac Andrew | BPL | 13.1 / 26.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 4.6 / 5.0 | 3.0 / 1.0 | 62 / 78 |
| Jarrod Witts | RK | 12.7 / 8.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 4.5 / 1.0 | 82 / 79 |
| Leonardo Lombard | FPR | 11.6 / 15.0 | 0.4 / 2.0 | 2.8 / 4.0 | 5.6 / 4.0 | 49 / 75 |
| Sam Collins | BPR | 11.4 / 17.0 | -0.0 / 0.0 | 4.7 / 8.0 | 2.8 / 1.0 | 54 / 64 |
| Zeke Uwland | INT | 11.2 / 16.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 1.0 | 6.2 / 1.0 | 58 / 42 |
| Ben Long | INT | 10.9 / 14.0 | 1.9 / 2.0 | 4.2 / 1.0 | 4.2 / 5.0 | 67 / 70 |
| Oscar Adams | INT | 10.3 / 12.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 1.0 | 3.9 / 3.0 | 44 / 44 |
| Will Graham | HFFR | 10.3 / 8.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 2.3 / 4.0 | 5.0 / 4.0 | 52 / 42 |
| Ben King | FF | 8.8 / 5.0 | 2.3 / 4.0 | 3.6 / 2.0 | 2.8 / 0.0 | 56 / 39 |
| Ethan Read | FPL | 7.8 / 14.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 2.4 / 3.0 | 4.9 / 4.0 | 48 / 62 |
Geelong Cats
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Smith | R | 28.4 / 23.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.8 / 3.0 | 6.0 / 2.0 | 98 / 80 |
| Max Holmes | C | 23.3 / 29.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 4.7 / 8.0 | 5.4 / 5.0 | 90 / 108 |
| James Worpel | INT | 20.8 / 17.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 2.6 / 1.0 | 6.5 / 11.0 | 76 / 92 |
| Tanner Bruhn | INT | 19.7 / 31.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 5.0 | 8.1 / 1.0 | 78 / 98 |
| Lawson Humphries | HBFR | 19.5 / 16.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.0 / 1.0 | 3.7 / 5.0 | 74 / 63 |
| Tom Atkins | RR | 19.5 / 26.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 2.2 / 3.0 | 9.6 / 6.0 | 82 / 102 |
| Zach Guthrie | HBFL | 18.8 / 18.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.8 / 5.0 | 3.7 / 3.0 | 78 / 75 |
| Tom Stewart | CHB | 18.7 / 24.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 6.0 / 2.0 | 4.5 / 1.0 | 82 / 75 |
| Gryan Miers | HFFR | 18.0 / 28.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 4.6 / 10.0 | 5.4 / 4.0 | 77 / 121 |
| Shaun Mannagh | CHF | 17.6 / 10.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 | 2.6 / 3.0 | 6.2 / 2.0 | 79 / 52 |
| Oliver Dempsey | WL | 15.8 / 20.0 | 0.9 / 4.0 | 3.9 / 4.0 | 3.9 / 2.0 | 70 / 94 |
| Jack Martin | FPR | 14.1 / 13.0 | 1.1 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 2.0 | 4.8 / 1.0 | 65 / 40 |
| Sam De Koning | FB | 13.7 / 13.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.5 / 5.0 | 2.9 / 0.0 | 62 / 45 |
| Jack Henry | BPR | 12.8 / 15.0 | -0.0 / 0.0 | 6.3 / 4.0 | 2.9 / 0.0 | 66 / 45 |
| Mitch Knevitt | INT | 12.8 / 11.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 2.8 / 3.0 | 5.0 / 0.0 | 54 / 43 |
| Brad Close | HFFL | 12.7 / 8.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 1.0 | 4.2 / 0.0 | 57 / 18 |
| Oisin Mullin | INT | 12.1 / 4.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 1.0 | 4.7 / 4.0 | 50 / 28 |
| Mark Blicavs | RK | 12.0 / 15.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 2.0 | 4.7 / 2.0 | 66 / 62 |
| Mark O'Connor | WR | 11.8 / 17.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 3.8 / 4.0 | 4.9 / 6.0 | 54 / 79 |
| Connor O'Sullivan | BPL | 11.6 / 18.0 | -0.0 / 0.0 | 4.5 / 5.0 | 3.1 / 3.0 | 50 / 73 |
| Oliver Henry | FPL | 10.4 / 9.0 | 1.2 / 2.0 | 3.2 / 3.0 | 3.9 / 1.0 | 53 / 48 |
| Shannon Neale | FF | 8.4 / 5.0 | 1.2 / 1.0 | 3.6 / 2.0 | 3.9 / 1.0 | 53 / 40 |