HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026 Round 1GCS v WCE
AFL · ROUND 1 · PEOPLE FIRST STADIUM

Gold Coast SUNS v West Coast Eagles

Sun 15 Mar 2026, 5:10pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL

GCS by 43

GCS to win, 90% chance

GCS 90%10% WCE
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

GCS by 59

HIT Actual margin 59 · 16.4 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 29 Mar 2026

Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Gold Coast SUNS

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 70+80+90+100+110+ ACTUAL
Noah Anderson RR 100 - - 92%83%69%51%32% 106
Christian Petracca R 90 - - 83%69%50%32%18% 108
John Noble HBFL 90 - - 83%68%50%32%17% 86
Touk Miller HFFL 89 - - 82%67%48%30%16% 92
Jarrod Witts RK 85 - - 76%60%41%24%12% 115
Joel Jeffrey HBFR 74 - - 57%38%22%11%4% 96
Wil Powell C 71 - - 53%34%19%9%3% 90
Alex Davies INT 68 - - 47%29%15%7%2% 82
Zeke Uwland INT 68 - - 47%29%15%7%2% 19
Bodhi Uwland FB 67 - - 44%27%14%6%2% 92
Bailey Humphrey CHF 66 - - 43%26%13%5%2% -
Daniel Rioli CHB 66 - - 43%26%13%6%2% 46
Lachie Weller WL 64 - - 39%22%11%4%2% 32
Ned Moyle INT 62 - - 35%19%9%4%1% -
Sam Clohesy WR 59 - - 30%16%7%3%1% 80
Ben Long INT 58 - - 28%14%6%2%1% 36
Mac Andrew BPL 58 - - 29%15%7%2%1% 49
Will Graham HFFR 54 - - 23%11%5%2%0% 42
Ben King FF 52 - - 20%9%4%1%0% 68
Ethan Read FPL 52 - - 20%9%4%1%0% 37
Caleb Graham INT 50 - - 17%8%3%1%0% -
Leonardo Lombard FPR 49 - - 16%7%3%1%0% 60
Sam Collins BPR 49 - - 16%7%3%1%0% 36
Jy Farrar INT 46 - - 13%5%2%0%0% 39
Oscar Adams INT 46 - - 13%5%2%0%0% 21
Jed Walter INT 44 - - 11%4%2%0%0% -

West Coast Eagles

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 70+80+90+100+110+ ACTUAL
Elliot Yeo C 88 - - 80%65%46%28%15% 71
Harley Reid RR 86 - - 78%61%42%25%13% 62
Liam Duggan HBFL 84 - - 75%58%40%23%11% 91
Tom McCarthy R 80 - - 69%51%33%18%8% 88
Jack Graham HFFL 78 - - 65%46%29%15%7% 91
Matt Flynn RK 74 - - 57%39%22%11%4% 43
Tim Kelly INT 72 - - 55%36%20%10%4% -
Tom Cole INT 72 - - 54%35%20%9%4% 47
Ryan Maric INT 69 - - 49%31%17%7%3% 75
Cooper Duff-Tytler INT 66 - - 42%25%12%5%2% 51
Jacob Newton INT 66 - - 42%25%12%5%2% 38
Josh Lindsay HBFR 66 - - 42%25%12%5%2% 66
Milan Murdock INT 66 - - 42%25%12%5%2% 95
Willem Duursma HFFR 66 - - 42%25%12%5%2% 69
Finlay Macrae INT 62 - - 36%20%10%4%1% -
Deven Robertson WR 61 - - 33%18%8%3%1% 104
Jake Waterman FF 61 - - 33%18%8%3%1% 80
Brady Hough CHB 59 - - 30%16%7%3%1% 48
Reuben Ginbey BPL 56 - - 26%13%5%2%0% 45
Hamish Davis WL 55 - - 24%12%5%2%0% 75
Tylar Young FB 55 - - 24%12%5%2%0% 57
Jamie Cripps FPR 52 - - 20%10%4%1%0% 65
Bo Allan BPR 44 - - 11%4%2%0%0% 50
Rhett Bazzo INT 44 - - 11%4%2%0%0% -
Archer Reid FPL 42 - - 9%4%1%0%0% 40
Jobe Shanahan CHF 42 - - 10%4%1%0%0% 54