AFL · ROUND 1 · PEOPLE FIRST STADIUM
Gold Coast SUNS v West Coast Eagles
Sun 15 Mar 2026, 5:10pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
GCS by 43
GCS to win, 90% chance
GCS 90%10% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GCS by 59
HIT Actual margin 59 · 16.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
29 Mar 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Anderson | RR | 100 | - | - | 92% | 83% | 69% | 51% | 32% | 106 |
| Christian Petracca | R | 90 | - | - | 83% | 69% | 50% | 32% | 18% | 108 |
| John Noble | HBFL | 90 | - | - | 83% | 68% | 50% | 32% | 17% | 86 |
| Touk Miller | HFFL | 89 | - | - | 82% | 67% | 48% | 30% | 16% | 92 |
| Jarrod Witts | RK | 85 | - | - | 76% | 60% | 41% | 24% | 12% | 115 |
| Joel Jeffrey | HBFR | 74 | - | - | 57% | 38% | 22% | 11% | 4% | 96 |
| Wil Powell | C | 71 | - | - | 53% | 34% | 19% | 9% | 3% | 90 |
| Alex Davies | INT | 68 | - | - | 47% | 29% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 82 |
| Zeke Uwland | INT | 68 | - | - | 47% | 29% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 19 |
| Bodhi Uwland | FB | 67 | - | - | 44% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 92 |
| Bailey Humphrey | CHF | 66 | - | - | 43% | 26% | 13% | 5% | 2% | - |
| Daniel Rioli | CHB | 66 | - | - | 43% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 46 |
| Lachie Weller | WL | 64 | - | - | 39% | 22% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 32 |
| Ned Moyle | INT | 62 | - | - | 35% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 1% | - |
| Sam Clohesy | WR | 59 | - | - | 30% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 80 |
| Ben Long | INT | 58 | - | - | 28% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 36 |
| Mac Andrew | BPL | 58 | - | - | 29% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 49 |
| Will Graham | HFFR | 54 | - | - | 23% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 42 |
| Ben King | FF | 52 | - | - | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 68 |
| Ethan Read | FPL | 52 | - | - | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 37 |
| Caleb Graham | INT | 50 | - | - | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Leonardo Lombard | FPR | 49 | - | - | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 60 |
| Sam Collins | BPR | 49 | - | - | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 36 |
| Jy Farrar | INT | 46 | - | - | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 39 |
| Oscar Adams | INT | 46 | - | - | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 21 |
| Jed Walter | INT | 44 | - | - | 11% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | - |
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Yeo | C | 88 | - | - | 80% | 65% | 46% | 28% | 15% | 71 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 86 | - | - | 78% | 61% | 42% | 25% | 13% | 62 |
| Liam Duggan | HBFL | 84 | - | - | 75% | 58% | 40% | 23% | 11% | 91 |
| Tom McCarthy | R | 80 | - | - | 69% | 51% | 33% | 18% | 8% | 88 |
| Jack Graham | HFFL | 78 | - | - | 65% | 46% | 29% | 15% | 7% | 91 |
| Matt Flynn | RK | 74 | - | - | 57% | 39% | 22% | 11% | 4% | 43 |
| Tim Kelly | INT | 72 | - | - | 55% | 36% | 20% | 10% | 4% | - |
| Tom Cole | INT | 72 | - | - | 54% | 35% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 47 |
| Ryan Maric | INT | 69 | - | - | 49% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 75 |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | INT | 66 | - | - | 42% | 25% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 51 |
| Jacob Newton | INT | 66 | - | - | 42% | 25% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 38 |
| Josh Lindsay | HBFR | 66 | - | - | 42% | 25% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 66 |
| Milan Murdock | INT | 66 | - | - | 42% | 25% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 95 |
| Willem Duursma | HFFR | 66 | - | - | 42% | 25% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 69 |
| Finlay Macrae | INT | 62 | - | - | 36% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | - |
| Deven Robertson | WR | 61 | - | - | 33% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 104 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 61 | - | - | 33% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 80 |
| Brady Hough | CHB | 59 | - | - | 30% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 48 |
| Reuben Ginbey | BPL | 56 | - | - | 26% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 45 |
| Hamish Davis | WL | 55 | - | - | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 75 |
| Tylar Young | FB | 55 | - | - | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 57 |
| Jamie Cripps | FPR | 52 | - | - | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 65 |
| Bo Allan | BPR | 44 | - | - | 11% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 50 |
| Rhett Bazzo | INT | 44 | - | - | 11% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Archer Reid | FPL | 42 | - | - | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 40 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 42 | - | - | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 54 |