HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026 Round 1GCS v WCE
AFL · ROUND 1 · PEOPLE FIRST STADIUM

Gold Coast SUNS v West Coast Eagles

Sun 15 Mar 2026, 5:10pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL

GCS by 43

GCS to win, 90% chance

GCS 90%10% WCE
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

GCS by 59

HIT Actual margin 59 · 16.4 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 29 Mar 2026

Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Gold Coast SUNS

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 1+2+3+4+5+ ACTUAL
Ben King FF 2.3 - - 90%66%40%20%8% 5.0
Ben Long INT 1.8 - - 83%53%26%11%4% 1.0
Bailey Humphrey CHF 1.3 - - 74%39%15%5%1% -
Christian Petracca R 1.0 - - 65%28%9%2%0% 4.0
Ethan Read FPL 1.0 - - 62%26%8%2%0% 0.0
Jed Walter INT 1.0 - - 63%26%8%2%0% -
Jy Farrar INT 0.9 - - 60%24%7%1%0% 1.0
Zeke Uwland INT 0.9 - - 61%24%7%2%0% 0.0
Will Graham HFFR 0.8 - - 55%19%5%1%0% 0.0
Leonardo Lombard FPR 0.6 - - 44%11%2%0%0% 2.0
Noah Anderson RR 0.5 - - 41%10%2%0%0% 1.0
Sam Clohesy WR 0.4 - - 32%6%1%0%0% 1.0
Touk Miller HFFL 0.4 - - 32%6%1%0%0% 1.0
Alex Davies INT 0.3 - - 26%4%0%0%0% 1.0
Daniel Rioli CHB 0.2 - - 15%1%0%0%0% 1.0
Jarrod Witts RK 0.2 - - 16%1%0%0%0% 1.0
Lachie Weller WL 0.2 - - 20%2%0%0%0% 0.0
Ned Moyle INT 0.2 - - 20%2%0%0%0% -
Bodhi Uwland FB 0.1 - - 5%0%0%0%0% 0.0
Caleb Graham INT 0.1 - - 6%0%0%0%0% -
Joel Jeffrey HBFR 0.1 - - 9%0%0%0%0% 0.0
John Noble HBFL 0.1 - - 11%1%0%0%0% 0.0
Mac Andrew BPL 0.1 - - 6%0%0%0%0% 0.0
Oscar Adams INT 0.1 - - 13%1%0%0%0% 0.0
Wil Powell C 0.1 - - 13%1%0%0%0% 0.0
Sam Collins BPR 0.0 - - 1%0%0%0%0% 0.0

West Coast Eagles

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 1+2+3+4+5+ ACTUAL
Jake Waterman FF 2.0 - - 86%59%32%14%5% 3.0
Jamie Cripps FPR 1.1 - - 67%30%10%3%1% 0.0
Jobe Shanahan CHF 1.1 - - 68%32%11%3%1% 1.0
Cooper Duff-Tytler INT 0.9 - - 60%23%7%1%0% 0.0
Jacob Newton INT 0.9 - - 60%23%7%1%0% 1.0
Josh Lindsay HBFR 0.9 - - 60%23%7%1%0% 0.0
Milan Murdock INT 0.9 - - 60%23%7%1%0% 2.0
Willem Duursma HFFR 0.9 - - 60%23%7%1%0% 0.0
Archer Reid FPL 0.8 - - 55%19%5%1%0% 1.0
Harley Reid RR 0.6 - - 46%13%2%0%0% 0.0
Elliot Yeo C 0.5 - - 36%8%1%0%0% 2.0
Finlay Macrae INT 0.5 - - 41%10%2%0%0% -
Deven Robertson WR 0.4 - - 30%5%1%0%0% 0.0
Hamish Davis WL 0.4 - - 30%5%1%0%0% 0.0
Bo Allan BPR 0.3 - - 24%3%0%0%0% 0.0
Matt Flynn RK 0.3 - - 22%3%0%0%0% 0.0
Tim Kelly INT 0.3 - - 26%4%0%0%0% -
Jack Graham HFFL 0.2 - - 21%2%0%0%0% 0.0
Ryan Maric INT 0.2 - - 15%1%0%0%0% 0.0
Tom McCarthy R 0.2 - - 15%1%0%0%0% 0.0
Brady Hough CHB 0.1 - - 8%0%0%0%0% 0.0
Liam Duggan HBFL 0.1 - - 8%0%0%0%0% 0.0
Tom Cole INT 0.1 - - 8%0%0%0%0% 0.0
Reuben Ginbey BPL 0.0 - - 3%0%0%0%0% 0.0
Rhett Bazzo INT 0.0 - - 2%0%0%0%0% -
Tylar Young FB 0.0 - - 1%0%0%0%0% 0.0