HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026 Round 1WB v GWS
AFL · ROUND 1 · MARVEL STADIUM

Western Bulldogs v GWS GIANTS

Sat 14 Mar 2026, 1:15pm AEDT (venue time)

FINAL HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL

WB by 14

WB to win, 67% chance

WB 67%33% GWS
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

WB by 81

HIT Actual margin 81 · 67.0 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 29 Mar 2026

Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Western Bulldogs

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 70+80+90+100+110+ ACTUAL
Marcus Bontempelli C 103 - - 94%86%73%56%37% 135
Tim English RK 103 - - 94%87%74%56%38% 121
Ed Richards R 92 - - 85%71%53%35%19% 83
Bailey Dale HBFR 91 - - 84%69%51%33%18% 75
Tom Liberatore FPR 90 - - 82%67%49%31%17% 122
Matthew Kennedy RR 85 - - 76%60%41%24%12% 110
Bailey Williams WR 72 - - 54%36%20%9%4% 76
Sam Darcy CHF 69 - - 48%30%16%7%3% 86
Michael Sellwood INT 68 - - 47%29%15%7%2% 39
Will Lewis FPL 68 - - 47%29%15%7%2% 22
Joel Freijah HFFR 66 - - 42%25%13%5%2% 77
Lachlan Bramble INT 66 - - 43%26%13%6%2% 56
Ryley Sanders INT 66 - - 43%26%13%6%2% 48
Aaron Naughton FF 65 - - 40%24%12%5%2% 123
Oskar Baker INT 63 - - 37%21%10%4%1% 58
Sam Davidson WL 62 - - 36%20%10%4%1% 60
Rhylee West HFFL 58 - - 28%14%6%2%1% 44
Connor Budarick HBFL 49 - - 16%7%2%1%0% 86
Rory Lobb BPR 49 - - 16%7%2%1%0% 55
Cooper Hynes INT 44 - - 11%5%2%0%0% 43
James O'Donnell CHB 44 - - 11%4%2%0%0% 29
Lachie Jaques BPL 44 - - 11%4%2%0%0% 112
Buku Khamis FB 43 - - 10%4%1%0%0% 62

GWS GIANTS

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 70+80+90+100+110+ ACTUAL
Finn Callaghan R 100 - - 92%83%68%50%32% 109
Lachie Whitfield CHB 97 - - 90%78%62%44%26% 92
Clayton Oliver C 92 - - 85%71%54%35%20% 79
Lachie Ash HBFL 90 - - 83%69%51%32%18% 136
Kieren Briggs RK 80 - - 68%50%31%17%8% 55
Harry Himmelberg INT 73 - - 55%36%20%10%4% 70
Toby Greene RR 69 - - 48%30%16%7%3% 92
Xavier O'Halloran INT 69 - - 48%30%16%7%3% 58
Stephen Coniglio HFFR 68 - - 46%28%15%6%2% 65
Harry Rowston INT 66 - - 42%25%12%5%2% 61
Max Gruzewski FPR 66 - - 42%25%12%5%2% 34
Jake Riccardi CHF 62 - - 36%20%9%4%1% 95
Ryan Angwin WR 61 - - 34%19%9%3%1% 65
Harvey Thomas WL 59 - - 31%16%7%3%1% 70
Connor Idun BPR 57 - - 27%14%6%2%1% 88
Jayden Laverde BPL 57 - - 27%14%6%2%1% 94
Jesse Hogan FF 54 - - 23%11%5%2%0% 47
Jake Stringer FPL 52 - - 20%9%4%1%0% 30
Callum Brown INT 51 - - 19%9%3%1%0% 43
Jack Buckley FB 46 - - 13%5%2%0%0% 68
Joe Fonti HBFR 46 - - 13%6%2%1%0% 84
Josaia Delana INT 45 - - 12%5%2%0%0% 38
Phoenix Gothard HFFL 44 - - 11%5%2%0%0% 67