Western Bulldogs v GWS GIANTS

Sat 14 Mar 2026, 1:15pm AEDT (venue time)

FINAL HIT

OUR TIPNEW MODEL

WB by 14

WB to win, 67% chance

WB 67%33% GWS

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

WB by 81

HIT Actual margin 81 · 67.0 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Western Bulldogs

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	1+	2+	3+	4+	5+	ACTUAL
Aaron Naughton	FF	2.3	-	-	90%	67%	40%	20%	8%	6.0
Sam Darcy	CHF	2.1	-	-	88%	62%	34%	16%	6%	4.0
Rhylee West	HFFL	1.5	-	-	78%	45%	20%	7%	2%	0.0
Marcus Bontempelli	C	1.0	-	-	64%	27%	8%	2%	0%	3.0
Michael Sellwood	INT	0.9	-	-	61%	24%	7%	2%	0%	0.0
Will Lewis	FPL	0.9	-	-	61%	24%	7%	2%	0%	0.0
Ed Richards	R	0.8	-	-	54%	18%	4%	1%	0%	0.0
Buku Khamis	FB	0.7	-	-	50%	15%	3%	1%	0%	0.0
Cooper Hynes	INT	0.7	-	-	48%	14%	3%	0%	0%	1.0
Tim English	RK	0.6	-	-	42%	11%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Joel Freijah	HFFR	0.5	-	-	37%	8%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Matthew Kennedy	RR	0.5	-	-	40%	9%	2%	0%	0%	1.0
Ryley Sanders	INT	0.5	-	-	38%	8%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Sam Davidson	WL	0.5	-	-	39%	9%	1%	0%	0%	2.0
Connor Budarick	HBFL	0.4	-	-	34%	7%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Lachie Jaques	BPL	0.4	-	-	33%	6%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Tom Liberatore	FPR	0.4	-	-	33%	6%	1%	0%	0%	1.0
Bailey Williams	WR	0.3	-	-	23%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Oskar Baker	INT	0.3	-	-	29%	5%	0%	0%	0%	2.0
Bailey Dale	HBFR	0.2	-	-	15%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Lachlan Bramble	INT	0.1	-	-	10%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
James O'Donnell	CHB	0.0	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Rory Lobb	BPR	0.0	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0

GWS GIANTS

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	1+	2+	3+	4+	5+	ACTUAL
Jesse Hogan	FF	2.2	-	-	88%	64%	37%	17%	7%	0.0
Jake Stringer	FPL	1.8	-	-	84%	54%	28%	11%	4%	0.0
Toby Greene	RR	1.6	-	-	80%	47%	22%	8%	2%	1.0
Jake Riccardi	CHF	1.2	-	-	69%	33%	12%	3%	1%	1.0
Callum Brown	INT	0.9	-	-	59%	22%	6%	1%	0%	0.0
Harry Rowston	INT	0.9	-	-	60%	23%	7%	1%	0%	1.0
Max Gruzewski	FPR	0.9	-	-	60%	23%	7%	1%	0%	0.0
Josaia Delana	INT	0.6	-	-	44%	11%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Phoenix Gothard	HFFL	0.6	-	-	43%	11%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Xavier O'Halloran	INT	0.6	-	-	44%	11%	2%	0%	0%	1.0
Harvey Thomas	WL	0.4	-	-	34%	7%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Clayton Oliver	C	0.3	-	-	27%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Finn Callaghan	R	0.3	-	-	28%	4%	0%	0%	0%	2.0
Kieren Briggs	RK	0.3	-	-	24%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Stephen Coniglio	HFFR	0.3	-	-	26%	4%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Ryan Angwin	WR	0.2	-	-	17%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Harry Himmelberg	INT	0.1	-	-	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Lachie Ash	HBFL	0.1	-	-	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Lachie Whitfield	CHB	0.1	-	-	6%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Connor Idun	BPR	0.0	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jack Buckley	FB	0.0	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jayden Laverde	BPL	0.0	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Joe Fonti	HBFR	0.0	-	-	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0