AFL · ROUND 1 · MARVEL STADIUM
Western Bulldogs v GWS GIANTS
Sat 14 Mar 2026, 1:15pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
WB by 14
WB to win, 67% chance
WB 67%33% GWS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WB by 81
HIT Actual margin 81 · 67.0 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Western Bulldogs
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Dale | HBFR | 25.5 / 23.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 5.0 / 4.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 91 / 75 |
| Marcus Bontempelli | C | 25.3 / 33.0 | 1.0 / 3.0 | 4.5 / 6.0 | 5.1 / 3.0 | 103 / 135 |
| Ed Richards | R | 24.6 / 19.0 | 0.8 / 0.0 | 3.4 / 5.0 | 3.5 / 5.0 | 92 / 83 |
| Tom Liberatore | FPR | 23.8 / 29.0 | 0.4 / 1.0 | 3.5 / 7.0 | 5.0 / 6.0 | 90 / 122 |
| Matthew Kennedy | RR | 21.9 / 27.0 | 0.5 / 1.0 | 3.8 / 6.0 | 4.7 / 4.0 | 85 / 110 |
| Bailey Williams | WR | 19.3 / 17.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 5.5 / 4.0 | 1.9 / 5.0 | 72 / 76 |
| Ryley Sanders | INT | 18.4 / 21.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 3.1 / 1.0 | 2.7 / 0.0 | 66 / 48 |
| Lachlan Bramble | INT | 18.2 / 16.0 | 0.1 / 1.0 | 4.5 / 4.0 | 1.8 / 0.0 | 66 / 56 |
| Tim English | RK | 17.0 / 22.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 5.4 / 6.0 | 2.9 / 4.0 | 103 / 121 |
| Michael Sellwood | INT | 16.6 / 9.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 7.0 | 2.2 / 0.0 | 68 / 39 |
| Will Lewis | FPL | 16.6 / 6.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 1.0 | 2.2 / 0.0 | 68 / 22 |
| Joel Freijah | HFFR | 15.5 / 20.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 3.7 / 5.0 | 2.3 / 4.0 | 66 / 77 |
| Oskar Baker | INT | 15.3 / 11.0 | 0.3 / 2.0 | 4.6 / 6.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 | 63 / 58 |
| Sam Davidson | WL | 15.0 / 11.0 | 0.5 / 2.0 | 3.9 / 4.0 | 2.2 / 1.0 | 62 / 60 |
| Sam Darcy | CHF | 13.7 / 16.0 | 2.1 / 4.0 | 4.8 / 3.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 69 / 86 |
| Connor Budarick | HBFL | 12.7 / 23.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.2 / 6.0 | 2.4 / 1.0 | 49 / 86 |
| Aaron Naughton | FF | 11.7 / 15.0 | 2.3 / 6.0 | 4.9 / 11.0 | 1.9 / 2.0 | 65 / 123 |
| Rory Lobb | BPR | 11.7 / 12.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.2 / 7.0 | 1.8 / 0.0 | 49 / 55 |
| Rhylee West | HFFL | 11.5 / 13.0 | 1.5 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 4.0 | 2.7 / 2.0 | 58 / 44 |
| James O'Donnell | CHB | 11.3 / 7.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 4.0 / 2.0 | 1.7 / 2.0 | 44 / 29 |
| Lachie Jaques | BPL | 10.1 / 29.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 2.6 / 9.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 44 / 112 |
| Cooper Hynes | INT | 9.9 / 14.0 | 0.7 / 1.0 | 2.6 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 | 44 / 43 |
| Buku Khamis | FB | 8.7 / 13.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 9.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 43 / 62 |
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Callaghan | R | 27.8 / 27.0 | 0.3 / 2.0 | 3.9 / 5.0 | 4.7 / 4.0 | 100 / 109 |
| Lachie Whitfield | CHB | 27.6 / 25.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.1 / 7.0 | 2.4 / 2.0 | 97 / 92 |
| Lachie Ash | HBFL | 26.1 / 31.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.3 / 13.0 | 2.2 / 3.0 | 90 / 136 |
| Clayton Oliver | C | 25.7 / 26.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.1 / 3.0 | 4.8 / 2.0 | 92 / 79 |
| Stephen Coniglio | HFFR | 18.1 / 15.0 | 0.3 / 1.0 | 2.1 / 3.0 | 4.0 / 4.0 | 68 / 65 |
| Xavier O'Halloran | INT | 17.4 / 13.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 3.1 / 3.0 | 2.9 / 2.0 | 69 / 58 |
| Harry Himmelberg | INT | 17.1 / 17.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.8 / 8.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 73 / 70 |
| Harry Rowston | INT | 16.3 / 15.0 | 0.9 / 1.0 | 3.5 / 4.0 | 2.2 / 2.0 | 66 / 61 |
| Max Gruzewski | FPR | 16.3 / 7.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 3.5 / 4.0 | 2.2 / 1.0 | 66 / 34 |
| Ryan Angwin | WR | 16.2 / 15.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 3.1 / 6.0 | 3.7 / 2.0 | 61 / 65 |
| Connor Idun | BPR | 15.8 / 23.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.7 / 10.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 57 / 88 |
| Harvey Thomas | WL | 15.1 / 21.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 5.0 | 3.0 / 2.0 | 59 / 70 |
| Jayden Laverde | BPL | 14.5 / 19.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 6.1 / 13.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 57 / 94 |
| Toby Greene | RR | 14.5 / 26.0 | 1.6 / 1.0 | 4.3 / 6.0 | 3.0 / 2.0 | 69 / 92 |
| Kieren Briggs | RK | 12.8 / 9.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 3.3 / 3.0 | 80 / 55 |
| Joe Fonti | HBFR | 12.7 / 20.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 3.5 / 7.0 | 2.4 / 4.0 | 46 / 84 |
| Jack Buckley | FB | 12.2 / 16.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.2 / 9.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 46 / 68 |
| Jake Riccardi | CHF | 11.8 / 19.0 | 1.2 / 1.0 | 3.8 / 8.0 | 2.9 / 1.0 | 62 / 95 |
| Jake Stringer | FPL | 11.1 / 5.0 | 1.8 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 52 / 30 |
| Callum Brown | INT | 10.9 / 9.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 3.2 / 3.0 | 2.2 / 2.0 | 51 / 43 |
| Josaia Delana | INT | 10.2 / 7.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 5.0 | 45 / 38 |
| Phoenix Gothard | HFFL | 10.0 / 12.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.6 / 4.0 | 2.0 / 5.0 | 44 / 67 |
| Jesse Hogan | FF | 9.2 / 10.0 | 2.2 / 0.0 | 4.7 / 3.0 | 1.7 / 3.0 | 54 / 47 |