HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026 Round 1WB v GWS
AFL · ROUND 1 · MARVEL STADIUM

Western Bulldogs v GWS GIANTS

Sat 14 Mar 2026, 1:15pm AEDT (venue time)

FINAL HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL

WB by 14

WB to win, 67% chance

WB 67%33% GWS
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

WB by 81

HIT Actual margin 81 · 67.0 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 29 Mar 2026

Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Western Bulldogs

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 3+4+5+6+7+ ACTUAL
Marcus Bontempelli C 5.1 - - 88%75%58%40%26% 3.0
Tom Liberatore FPR 5.0 - - 88%74%57%39%24% 6.0
Matthew Kennedy RR 4.7 - - 85%69%50%33%20% 4.0
Ed Richards R 3.5 - - 69%47%28%15%7% 5.0
Tim English RK 2.9 - - 56%34%17%8%3% 4.0
Rhylee West HFFL 2.7 - - 50%28%13%5%2% 2.0
Ryley Sanders INT 2.7 - - 51%29%14%6%2% 0.0
Connor Budarick HBFL 2.4 - - 44%23%10%4%1% 1.0
Joel Freijah HFFR 2.3 - - 41%20%9%3%1% 4.0
Michael Sellwood INT 2.2 - - 39%19%8%3%1% 0.0
Sam Davidson WL 2.2 - - 38%18%7%2%1% 1.0
Will Lewis FPL 2.2 - - 39%19%8%3%1% 0.0
Cooper Hynes INT 2.0 - - 34%15%6%2%0% 0.0
Lachie Jaques BPL 2.0 - - 31%14%5%2%0% 1.0
Oskar Baker INT 2.0 - - 33%14%5%2%0% 0.0
Aaron Naughton FF 1.9 - - 29%12%4%1%0% 2.0
Bailey Dale HBFR 1.9 - - 31%13%5%2%0% 1.0
Bailey Williams WR 1.9 - - 30%12%4%1%0% 5.0
Sam Darcy CHF 1.9 - - 29%12%4%1%0% 1.0
Buku Khamis FB 1.8 - - 28%11%4%1%0% 1.0
Lachlan Bramble INT 1.8 - - 27%11%4%1%0% 0.0
Rory Lobb BPR 1.8 - - 27%11%4%1%0% 0.0
James O'Donnell CHB 1.7 - - 24%9%3%1%0% 2.0

GWS GIANTS

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 3+4+5+6+7+ ACTUAL
Clayton Oliver C 4.8 - - 86%71%53%35%21% 2.0
Finn Callaghan R 4.7 - - 85%69%51%33%20% 4.0
Stephen Coniglio HFFR 4.0 - - 76%57%37%22%11% 4.0
Ryan Angwin WR 3.7 - - 71%50%30%16%8% 2.0
Kieren Briggs RK 3.3 - - 63%41%23%11%5% 3.0
Harvey Thomas WL 3.0 - - 58%35%19%8%3% 2.0
Toby Greene RR 3.0 - - 59%36%19%9%4% 2.0
Jake Riccardi CHF 2.9 - - 56%34%18%8%3% 1.0
Xavier O'Halloran INT 2.9 - - 56%34%17%8%3% 2.0
Joe Fonti HBFR 2.4 - - 42%22%9%3%1% 4.0
Lachie Whitfield CHB 2.4 - - 43%22%9%4%1% 2.0
Callum Brown INT 2.2 - - 39%19%8%3%1% 2.0
Harry Rowston INT 2.2 - - 39%19%8%3%1% 2.0
Lachie Ash HBFL 2.2 - - 36%17%7%2%1% 3.0
Max Gruzewski FPR 2.2 - - 39%19%8%3%1% 1.0
Jake Stringer FPL 2.0 - - 32%14%5%2%0% 3.0
Josaia Delana INT 2.0 - - 32%14%5%2%0% 5.0
Phoenix Gothard HFFL 2.0 - - 33%15%6%2%0% 5.0
Connor Idun BPR 1.8 - - 26%10%3%1%0% 1.0
Jayden Laverde BPL 1.8 - - 26%11%4%1%0% 2.0
Harry Himmelberg INT 1.7 - - 25%10%3%1%0% 0.0
Jack Buckley FB 1.7 - - 25%10%3%1%0% 1.0
Jesse Hogan FF 1.7 - - 25%10%3%1%0% 3.0