AFL · ROUND 10 · ADELAIDE OVAL
Adelaide Crows v North Melbourne
Sat 16 May 2026, 12:45pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
ADE by 18
ADE to win, 74% chance
ADE 74%26% NM
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
ADE by 68
HIT Actual margin 68 · 49.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Adelaide Crows
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wayne Milera | HBFR | 24.9 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Jordan Dawson | C | 24.6 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 110 / inside our 50% range: 106 |
| Sam Berry | INT | 23.8 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 6.5 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Josh Worrell | BPL | 23.6 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Rory Laird | HBFL | 23.2 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 94 |
| James Peatling | R | 21.0 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 107 |
| Izak Rankine | HFFL | 20.0 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 102 |
| Jake Soligo | INT | 19.6 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Josh Rachele | RR | 18.8 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Brayden Cook | WR | 18.2 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Alex Neal-Bullen | FPL | 17.3 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Daniel Curtin | HFFR | 15.9 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Isaac Cumming | WL | 15.5 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Ben Keays | FPR | 15.4 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Max Michalanney | BPR | 15.0 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Riley Thilthorpe | CHF | 13.3 / - | 2.1 / - | 5.5 / - | 1.6 / - | 82 / - |
| Lachlan McAndrew | RK | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Darcy Fogarty | FF | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Jordon Butts | CHB | 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 20 |
| Zac Taylor | INT | 10.3 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Toby Murray | INT | 9.7 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / outside our 90% range: 91 |
| James Borlase | FB | 9.4 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 42 / outside our 90% range: 72 |
| Luke Pedlar | INT | 8.8 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
North Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Sheezel | R | 30.8 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 110 / inside our 90% range: 93 |
| Luke Davies-Uniacke | RR | 26.6 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 93 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Caleb Daniel | CHB | 25.0 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Luke Parker | HBFR | 24.1 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Colby McKercher | HBFL | 23.0 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Jy Simpkin | WL | 21.7 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 81 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Finn O'Sullivan | C | 20.8 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Tristan Xerri | RK | 19.7 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 6.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 96 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Dylan Stephens | WR | 19.4 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| George Wardlaw | INT | 18.4 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.9 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Luke McDonald | INT | 16.4 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Tom Blamires | INT | 15.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Cameron Zurhaar | FPL | 14.1 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 47 |
| Charlie Comben | BPR | 12.6 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Charlie Spargo | HFFR | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Paul Curtis | HFFL | 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Griffin Logue | FB | 11.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 21 |
| Jack Darling | INT | 11.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Jacob Konstanty | INT | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Nick Larkey | FF | 9.8 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Cooper Trembath | CHF | 8.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Wil Dawson | BPL | 8.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 41 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Zane Duursma | FPR | 7.7 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 27 |